IshCong wrote:Shofercia wrote:
How many times do I have to explain this to you? The UN will determine what type of attack was carried out, and from there, we can better assess about who carried out such an attack. Besides, the Russians found proof that it was the insurgents, and are in negotiations with Syrians regarding their nuclear stockpile.
You'll have to keep explaining it until it makes sense. Let's say the UN determines it was a sarin gas attack. That tells us nothing about who used the sarin. Let's say they determined the delivery vehicle to be a mortar or a rocket. That also tells us nothing about who launched it. So the UN mission will do precisely nothing to determine who launched the attack, it will only determine if an attack was launched which seems to be a moot issue at present as the consensus seems to be that yes, an attack with chemical weapons was carried out.
Your vague assertions that the UN investigation will help determine the actor behind the attacks remain unsubstantiated and can therefore be discarded.
You do understand that if it was simply determining "was it Sarin", we wouldn't need the UN, right? If it's not making sense for you, I don't care. If you think that telling you "the bullet was fired from the gun that's favored by Billy the Kid" tells us nothing, that's your problem. Not mine. If you want to discard that, feel free to do so.
IshCong wrote:Shofercia wrote:From the Official News of United Russia, using the official link: http://www.1tv.ru/news/world/241431
My unofficial translation: New development in the Syrian Crisis. Russia and US found some similarities, which could affect the Civil War's outcome. Washington offered, Moscow and London supported, and Damascus stated that they won't mind. It's very possible that the change occurred when Pierre da Prata stated that he was imprisoned by the FSA, along with the Italian Journalists, and told the Belgian TV Station that the insurgents used chemical weapons. He was captured by the FSA, and recently freed. "It wasn't Assad's Government that used Sarin in Damascus" stated Prata, "we understood that after we accidentally overheard the insurgents talking about using Sarin. It's our moral duty to tell the World about it". The specialists determinedand be that all of Assad's chemical weaponry is located in three secure locations, and can easily be turned over to the UN.
Yes, we've established that there is some work between the Russians and the Syrian government to possibly hand over the Syrian chemical weapons. Got that.
Now, do you have a reliable and independently verifiable source I can use for that? Because right now I have a source I can't read and your word on it. I'd much prefer something I can actually read for myself, thanks.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/s ... al-weapons
Took me two seconds on Google.
They are: http://www.clevelandstar.com/index.php/ ... 630faf3631
Took me another 2 seconds.
IshCong wrote:
The lack of a compelling argument to initiate the strike is not the same as a lack of compelling evidence as it can equally apply to a failure on Cameron's part to convince the MPs this won't go the way of a second Iraq.
I'm guessing that no matter how much logic and sources I throw at you, that's not going to help. You'll still be sticking by your guns. Have fun with that.
IshCong wrote:Shofercia wrote:
What options? Initially Obama was asking for a Missile Strike. Now you're talking about "leaving his options open". What options do you need for a one time Cruise Missile Strike to punish the perpetrator?
Just because all you want to do is a limited missile strike doesn't mean that you don't want to retain the possibility to do more than that if the situation changes suddenly.
Spoiler alert: Situations involving military force can change suddenly.
Thus, it is common for leaders to desire to retain a level of flexibility even if their goals are very limited. This way they can avoid being incredibly constrained in their options later and more easily avoid failure. There's nothing new about this. It's like, strategy 101 here.
If the situation changes, the President can react. The President doesn't need Congressional Approval to defend America. Bush sent in the Special Forces into Afghanistan before speaking with Congress. It's like Strategy 101 here. Additionally, you can still use limiting language, one that prevents the President from "No Fly Zoning" certain countries. I'm not seeing that here.
IshCong wrote:Shofercia wrote:
We're talking about trusting Russia and China to prevent Syria from being bombed, and to prevent use of chemical attacks by Assad's Government. In both of those aspects, Russia and China are completely trustworthy in my opinion. You're welcome to a different opinion. But it's not like I'm the one saying "trust them on everything, they love to keep their options open".
I'm hardly saying trust the government on everything. I'm saying it's not unusual for military or political leaders to want to retain some level of flexibility for future operations rather than constraining themselves into an over-specific plan that later might prove unworkable for a number of reasons. For example, asking permission for a single strike on the specific field commander who ordered the chemical weapons attack (whomever that may be) would run into problems if that single strike, for any number of reasons, failed to actually kill/hit said field commander.
Some level? Have you read the Resolutions?
IshCong wrote:Russia and China, on the other hand, have thus far shown that they aren't exactly keen on pressuring Syria to do a whole lot, especially absent any tangible threat from the US or other nations. If you truly want a UNSC operated missile shield then you're going to have to throw in more nations than just Russia or China. Not even the US or France, but other nations who don't have a ridiculously obvious bias towards Assad.
Russo-Chinese Conversation, according to IshCong:
Russia: "Yo, China, Assad's winning conventionally, and we just took control of his chemical stockpiles. Wanna use them?"
China: "Sure thing Russia! Let's act like North Korea! Yeehaw!"
IshCong wrote:Shofercia wrote:
So you're telling me that Assad would risk breaking a contract with the UNSC? Hang on, I need to step outside for a sec.
Ok, continue.
Yes. Or his commanders might. Breaking contracts with the UN is considerably less risky than actually using chemical weapons in war anyway.
Breaking contracts with the UNSC is suicidal, unless you're Israel. I can assure you that Syria is not Israel. I can source that too, if you'd like.
IshCong wrote:Shofercia wrote:And again, Assad isn't going to go back on his word to the entire UNSC. To even suggest that, it's laughable.
Yeah, because a party who is willing to lob chemical weapons at their own people is the very bastion of honesty and contractual loyalty.
If I'm going to suggest he's willing to do that you can be sure I think he's willing to break agreements with the UN.
Once again, unless you're Israel, you do not fuck with the UNSC.