NATION

PASSWORD

AIDS "vaccine"?

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)
User avatar
Lackadaisical2
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 50831
Founded: Mar 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

AIDS "vaccine"?

Postby Lackadaisical2 » Thu Sep 24, 2009 12:10 am

Its pretty recent, so this is the only link I could find:
http://www.livemint.com/2009/09/2411331 ... T.html?h=B

So they took two drugs that didn't seem to have any effect, and now they're claiming a 33% reduction in AIDs rates for those who were given the combination of the two, vs. the placebo group. It was a pretty big study (something like 16,000 people, although only about 100 cases of HIV), so unless someone has been falsifying data, it sounds fairly successful.

EDIT: 'nother link http://www.forbes.com/feeds/reuters/200 ... RGENT.html
Last edited by Lackadaisical2 on Thu Sep 24, 2009 12:13 am, edited 2 times in total.
The Republic of Lanos wrote:Proud member of the Vile Right-Wing Noodle Combat Division of the Imperialist Anti-Socialist Economic War Army Ground Force reporting in.

User avatar
Kobrania
Minister
 
Posts: 3446
Founded: May 11, 2009
Ex-Nation

Postby Kobrania » Thu Sep 24, 2009 12:25 am

Unfortunately a certain group of people might try to ban it's use or play down it's effectiveness, if it actually works.
"Only when you acknowledge that your country has done evil and ignore it will you be a patriot." -TJ.

ZIONISM = JUSTIFYING GENOCIDE WITH GOD.

Kobrania, the anti-KMA.

User avatar
Querinos
Diplomat
 
Posts: 508
Founded: Jan 01, 2007
Ex-Nation

Postby Querinos » Thu Sep 24, 2009 12:27 am

Sounds iffy at best. The two drugs may be giving false negatives, or flase positives. Also why did the defuncted AIDSVAX only work with this new drug. That needs some serious looking into... A little trobled with their control group aswell; not one of the test subjects could have lied. Why even limit which sexual oreintation to test? Then again this is Thailand where Jews are blamed for the Bird Flu.

User avatar
Non Aligned States
Minister
 
Posts: 3156
Founded: Nov 14, 2004
Ex-Nation

Postby Non Aligned States » Thu Sep 24, 2009 12:39 am

Querinos wrote:Then again this is Thailand where Jews are blamed for the Bird Flu.


Wut? Care to source that?

User avatar
Lackadaisical2
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 50831
Founded: Mar 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Lackadaisical2 » Thu Sep 24, 2009 12:48 am

Querinos wrote:Sounds iffy at best. The two drugs may be giving false negatives, or flase positives. Also why did the defuncted AIDSVAX only work with this new drug. That needs some serious looking into... A little trobled with their control group aswell; not one of the test subjects could have lied. Why even limit which sexual oreintation to test? Then again this is Thailand where Jews are blamed for the Bird Flu.


lol... right. Maybe its a Jew vaccine.

My guess would be that its possible, given the massive size of the study, they're finding the differences, that would otherwise have been below the significance level of a smaller test. Or its just a fluke, but that seems ridiculously unlikely.
The Republic of Lanos wrote:Proud member of the Vile Right-Wing Noodle Combat Division of the Imperialist Anti-Socialist Economic War Army Ground Force reporting in.

User avatar
Querinos
Diplomat
 
Posts: 508
Founded: Jan 01, 2007
Ex-Nation

Postby Querinos » Thu Sep 24, 2009 1:16 am

Non Aligned States wrote:Wut? Care to source that?


a source

Ok, Indonesia and Thialand are kind of like spliting hairs.

User avatar
Risottia
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 54744
Founded: Sep 05, 2006
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby Risottia » Thu Sep 24, 2009 2:39 am

1.Linky #1 doesn't work.

2.Fron linky #2: "An experimental AIDS vaccine made using two older vaccines protected volunteers, lowering the risk of infection by about a third, U.S. and Thai researchers reported Thursday."
WHAT?
So thousands of people actually volunteered into being infected with HIV after taking the experimental vaccine? Mh... Sanofi-Aventis + experiments in Thailand... why do I suspect a little-less-than-ethical behaviour, like exploiting the poverty to get human guinea pigs?

3.Well, lowering the risk is a step forward in the road to the vaccine... still it's not a working vaccine.
Statanist through and through.
Evilutionist Atheist Crusadjihadist. "Darwinu Akhbar! Dawkins vult!"
Founder of the NSG Peace Prize Committee.
I'm back.
SUMMER, BLOODY SUMMER!

User avatar
SoWiBi
Diplomat
 
Posts: 718
Founded: Sep 09, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby SoWiBi » Thu Sep 24, 2009 2:59 am

Risottia wrote:2.Fron linky #2: "An experimental AIDS vaccine made using two older vaccines protected volunteers, lowering the risk of infection by about a third, U.S. and Thai researchers reported Thursday."
WHAT?
So thousands of people actually volunteered into being infected with HIV after taking the experimental vaccine? Mh... Sanofi-Aventis + experiments in Thailand... why do I suspect a little-less-than-ethical behaviour, like exploiting the poverty to get human guinea pigs?


This question arose with me immediately as well.. but if you read on, you will find that what they did was take a whole bunch of HIV-negative people, supply them with condoms and advice on safer sex, let them run wild, and then re-test them all three years later - and then they found that out of the group that received the "effective" shots, the number of infected people was 31% less than with those who received the dummy shots (though both numbers of course were rather small, what with 51 and 74 out of a rough 8,000, respectively).

The study tested the combo in HIV-negative Thai men and women ages 18 to 30 at average risk of becoming infected. Half received four "priming" doses of ALVAC and two "boost" doses of AIDSVAX over six months. The others received dummy shots. No one knew who got what until the study ended.

All were given condoms, counseling and treatment for any sexually transmitted infections, and were tested every six months for HIV. Any who became infected were given free treatment with antiviral medicines.

Participants were followed for three years after vaccination ended.

Results: New infections occurred in 51 of the 8,197 given vaccine and in 74 of the 8,198 who received dummy shots. That worked out to a 31 percent lower risk of infection for the vaccine group.


Source: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090924/ap_ ... ds_vaccine

..SoWiBi....Oeck....ElkElks....NietzscheHeretics....Isjan....I am a False Statement..
are all expressing the above view in an indiscernible cacophony

We'll also all vanish now for a while. So long and thanks for all the fish!


User avatar
Risottia
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 54744
Founded: Sep 05, 2006
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby Risottia » Thu Sep 24, 2009 3:01 am

SoWiBi wrote:
Risottia wrote:2.Fron linky #2: "An experimental AIDS vaccine made using two older vaccines protected volunteers, lowering the risk of infection by about a third, U.S. and Thai researchers reported Thursday."
WHAT?
So thousands of people actually volunteered into being infected with HIV after taking the experimental vaccine? Mh... Sanofi-Aventis + experiments in Thailand... why do I suspect a little-less-than-ethical behaviour, like exploiting the poverty to get human guinea pigs?


This question arose with me immediately as well.. but if you read on, you will find that what they did was take a whole bunch of HIV-negative people, supply them with condoms and advice on safer sex, let them run wild, and then re-test them all three years later - and then they found that out of the group that received the "effective" shots, the number of infected people was 31% less than with those who received the dummy shots (though both numbers of course were rather small, what with 51 and 74 out of a rough 8,000, respectively).

The study tested the combo in HIV-negative Thai men and women ages 18 to 30 at average risk of becoming infected. Half received four "priming" doses of ALVAC and two "boost" doses of AIDSVAX over six months. The others received dummy shots. No one knew who got what until the study ended.

All were given condoms, counseling and treatment for any sexually transmitted infections, and were tested every six months for HIV. Any who became infected were given free treatment with antiviral medicines.

Participants were followed for three years after vaccination ended.

Results: New infections occurred in 51 of the 8,197 given vaccine and in 74 of the 8,198 who received dummy shots. That worked out to a 31 percent lower risk of infection for the vaccine group.


Source: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090924/ap_ ... ds_vaccine


Thanks for the explanation. It's not as bad as I thought (still I don't like this kind of testing for vaccines against a disease we still can't cure).
Statanist through and through.
Evilutionist Atheist Crusadjihadist. "Darwinu Akhbar! Dawkins vult!"
Founder of the NSG Peace Prize Committee.
I'm back.
SUMMER, BLOODY SUMMER!

User avatar
UnhealthyTruthseeker
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 11988
Founded: Aug 16, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby UnhealthyTruthseeker » Thu Sep 24, 2009 5:26 am

If this actually works, certain religious groups will be against it, because having sex is infinitely worse than people dying of AIDS.
A little homework for you!

What part of L(f(t)) = Int(exp(-s*t)*f(t),t,0,inf) don't you understand?

User avatar
Non Aligned States
Minister
 
Posts: 3156
Founded: Nov 14, 2004
Ex-Nation

Postby Non Aligned States » Thu Sep 24, 2009 5:30 am

SoWiBi wrote:This question arose with me immediately as well.. but if you read on, you will find that what they did was take a whole bunch of HIV-negative people, supply them with condoms and advice on safer sex, let them run wild, and then re-test them all three years later - and then they found that out of the group that received the "effective" shots, the number of infected people was 31% less than with those who received the dummy shots (though both numbers of course were rather small, what with 51 and 74 out of a rough 8,000, respectively).


Another thing gumming up the works is whether simple probability screwed up the results. E.g. the control group had less luck in finding uninfected partners/shot up on drugs, etc, etc.

User avatar
Neo Art
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14258
Founded: Jan 09, 2007
Ex-Nation

Postby Neo Art » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:22 am

Biology people, answer me a question. Isn't "AIDS vaccine" scientifically incorrect? Doesn't a vaccine vaccinate against a virus, which would mean it's an HIV vaccine?
if you were Batman you'd be home by now

"Consistency is a matter we are attempting to remedy." - Dread Lady Nathinaca

User avatar
Non Aligned States
Minister
 
Posts: 3156
Founded: Nov 14, 2004
Ex-Nation

Postby Non Aligned States » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:26 am

Neo Art wrote:Biology people, answer me a question. Isn't "AIDS vaccine" scientifically incorrect? Doesn't a vaccine vaccinate against a virus, which would mean it's an HIV vaccine?


Congratulations NA, you win a nitpick cookie. Eat it with pride. :p

User avatar
Neo Art
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14258
Founded: Jan 09, 2007
Ex-Nation

Postby Neo Art » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:28 am

Non Aligned States wrote:
Neo Art wrote:Biology people, answer me a question. Isn't "AIDS vaccine" scientifically incorrect? Doesn't a vaccine vaccinate against a virus, which would mean it's an HIV vaccine?


Congratulations NA, you win a nitpick cookie. Eat it with pride. :p


heh, it's more a matter of getting my heckles all risen by journalistic inaccuracy, so before I get all huffy about articles discussing an "AIDS vaccine" I should at least confirm that they're the wrong ones, not me.
if you were Batman you'd be home by now

"Consistency is a matter we are attempting to remedy." - Dread Lady Nathinaca

User avatar
Non Aligned States
Minister
 
Posts: 3156
Founded: Nov 14, 2004
Ex-Nation

Postby Non Aligned States » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:34 am

Neo Art wrote:heh, it's more a matter of getting my heckles all risen by journalistic inaccuracy, so before I get all huffy about articles discussing an "AIDS vaccine" I should at least confirm that they're the wrong ones, not me.


Acquired immune deficiency syndrome is the result of HIV infection, so yes, you can get your hackles up. I'd like to see your heckles all risen though... :p

User avatar
Northwest Slobovia
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 12531
Founded: Sep 16, 2006
Anarchy

Postby Northwest Slobovia » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:36 am

Risottia wrote:
Thanks for the explanation. It's not as bad as I thought (still I don't like this kind of testing for vaccines against a disease we still can't cure).

Well, um, that's how we test vaccines (and all new medical treatments). Run all the animal studies you want, but at some point, it has to be tested in humans...

FWIW, we can't "cure" most of the diseases we vaccinate against (the various poxes, polio, measles, etc), as vaccines are the only treatment for them. It's prevention or suffering, as 't'ain't much we can do about most viruses.
Gollum died for your sins.
Power is an equal-opportunity corrupter.

User avatar
Neo Art
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14258
Founded: Jan 09, 2007
Ex-Nation

Postby Neo Art » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:37 am

Non Aligned States wrote:
Neo Art wrote:heh, it's more a matter of getting my heckles all risen by journalistic inaccuracy, so before I get all huffy about articles discussing an "AIDS vaccine" I should at least confirm that they're the wrong ones, not me.


Acquired immune deficiency syndrome is the result of HIV infection, so yes, you can get your hackles up. I'd like to see your heckles all risen though... :p


pft.

And yes, I know, AIDS is the "disease" whereas HIV is the "virus". I just don't know, from a technical standpoint, whether we vaccinate against the disease or the virus. I suppose "flu vaccine" is no worse than "AIDS vaccine", since "the flu" is as much a syndrome as AIDS is.
if you were Batman you'd be home by now

"Consistency is a matter we are attempting to remedy." - Dread Lady Nathinaca

User avatar
Northwest Slobovia
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 12531
Founded: Sep 16, 2006
Anarchy

Postby Northwest Slobovia » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:43 am

Neo Art wrote:Biology people, answer me a question. Isn't "AIDS vaccine" scientifically incorrect? Doesn't a vaccine vaccinate against a virus, which would mean it's an HIV vaccine?

Eh. AFAIK, AIDS is the only disease where people commonly distinguish between the name of the infectious agent and the disease it causes.
Gollum died for your sins.
Power is an equal-opportunity corrupter.

User avatar
Xsyne
Negotiator
 
Posts: 6537
Founded: Apr 30, 2009
Ex-Nation

Postby Xsyne » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:51 am

Neo Art wrote:
Non Aligned States wrote:
Neo Art wrote:heh, it's more a matter of getting my heckles all risen by journalistic inaccuracy, so before I get all huffy about articles discussing an "AIDS vaccine" I should at least confirm that they're the wrong ones, not me.


Acquired immune deficiency syndrome is the result of HIV infection, so yes, you can get your hackles up. I'd like to see your heckles all risen though... :p


pft.

And yes, I know, AIDS is the "disease" whereas HIV is the "virus". I just don't know, from a technical standpoint, whether we vaccinate against the disease or the virus. I suppose "flu vaccine" is no worse than "AIDS vaccine", since "the flu" is as much a syndrome as AIDS is.

Well, the term for the virus that causes the flu is the "influenza virus". In that case, the disease and the causative agent can be referred to with the same name..
If global warming is real, why are there still monkeys? - Msigroeg
Pro: Stuff
Anti: Things
Chernoslavia wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:according to both the law library of congress and wikipedia, both automatics and semi-autos that can be easily converted are outright banned in norway.


Source?

User avatar
Tekania
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 21669
Founded: May 26, 2004
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Tekania » Thu Sep 24, 2009 6:58 am

SoWiBi wrote:
Risottia wrote:2.Fron linky #2: "An experimental AIDS vaccine made using two older vaccines protected volunteers, lowering the risk of infection by about a third, U.S. and Thai researchers reported Thursday."
WHAT?
So thousands of people actually volunteered into being infected with HIV after taking the experimental vaccine? Mh... Sanofi-Aventis + experiments in Thailand... why do I suspect a little-less-than-ethical behaviour, like exploiting the poverty to get human guinea pigs?


This question arose with me immediately as well.. but if you read on, you will find that what they did was take a whole bunch of HIV-negative people, supply them with condoms and advice on safer sex, let them run wild, and then re-test them all three years later - and then they found that out of the group that received the "effective" shots, the number of infected people was 31% less than with those who received the dummy shots (though both numbers of course were rather small, what with 51 and 74 out of a rough 8,000, respectively).

The study tested the combo in HIV-negative Thai men and women ages 18 to 30 at average risk of becoming infected. Half received four "priming" doses of ALVAC and two "boost" doses of AIDSVAX over six months. The others received dummy shots. No one knew who got what until the study ended.

All were given condoms, counseling and treatment for any sexually transmitted infections, and were tested every six months for HIV. Any who became infected were given free treatment with antiviral medicines.

Participants were followed for three years after vaccination ended.

Results: New infections occurred in 51 of the 8,197 given vaccine and in 74 of the 8,198 who received dummy shots. That worked out to a 31 percent lower risk of infection for the vaccine group.


Source: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090924/ap_ ... ds_vaccine


Also shows some statistical number scewing going on by presenting the differences in infection rates... Really not a 31% improvement on the vaccine.... if you take the data at face value the infection rate in the vac group was only 00.6%, and in the control group it was 00.9%, which makes a 00.3% margin of difference in favor of the vac group (not 31% success rate).... The "Success rate" on the vaccine is 99.4%, off is 99.1%.... In fact, looking at the numbers it makes me thing they moved the decimal two too many times when they came up with the percentile.
Such heroic nonsense!

User avatar
Soheran
Minister
 
Posts: 3444
Founded: Jun 15, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Soheran » Thu Sep 24, 2009 7:28 am

Tekania wrote:The "Success rate" on the vaccine is 99.4%, off is 99.1%....


Their numbers are right. You are confused about the terminology. The percentage reduction in risk is the percentage of the risk: 0.09 - 0.06 = 0.03, 0.03/0.09 = 33% (a little lower in reality, because the numbers I used are rounded).

Think about it: this is by far a better measure of the efficacy of a vaccine. Your method makes the measure vary with the percentage of people who get the disease, which is beside the point: the question is what proportion of the people who would have gotten the disease will not get it because of the vaccine.
Last edited by Soheran on Thu Sep 24, 2009 7:29 am, edited 1 time in total.

User avatar
Tekania
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 21669
Founded: May 26, 2004
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Tekania » Thu Sep 24, 2009 7:54 am

Soheran wrote:
Tekania wrote:The "Success rate" on the vaccine is 99.4%, off is 99.1%....


Their numbers are right. You are confused about the terminology. The percentage reduction in risk is the percentage of the risk: 0.09 - 0.06 = 0.03, 0.03/0.09 = 33% (a little lower in reality, because the numbers I used are rounded).

Think about it: this is by far a better measure of the efficacy of a vaccine. Your method makes the measure vary with the percentage of people who get the disease, which is beside the point: the question is what proportion of the people who would have gotten the disease will not get it because of the vaccine.


To be honest, no one.... Those numbers are too small to account for any real effect. Their studyies margin of error, given the lack of control, would have been pretty high (well above 1%), so having a scew of only 00.3% in the data falls well below what-ever the studies margin of error was.... Meaning the results don't show anything. They would need to vaccinate people and then purposely expose them to HIV in order to get an accurate result.... Or at least show a study which exceeds a reasonable margin of error...
Last edited by Tekania on Thu Sep 24, 2009 7:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
Such heroic nonsense!

User avatar
Flameswroth
Senator
 
Posts: 4773
Founded: Sep 05, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Flameswroth » Thu Sep 24, 2009 8:51 am

Is it ironic, or poetic justice that this AIDS 'vaccine' has been developed in Bangkok, with the assistance of VaxGen, a pharmaceutical company out of SanFran? :)
Czardas wrote:Why should we bail out climate change with billions of dollars, when lesbians are starving in the streets because they can't afford an abortion?

Reagan Clone wrote:What you are proposing is glorifying God by loving, respecting, or at least tolerating, his other creations.

That is the gayest fucking shit I've ever heard, and I had Barry Manilow perform at the White House in '82.



User avatar
Lackadaisical2
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 50831
Founded: Mar 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Lackadaisical2 » Thu Sep 24, 2009 9:29 am

Flameswroth wrote:Is it ironic, or poetic justice that this AIDS 'vaccine' has been developed in Bangkok, with the assistance of VaxGen, a pharmaceutical company out of SanFran? :)


It wasn't developed in Bangkok, it was developed in the US, we're just testing it there because its presumably cheaper to do so.

Tekania wrote:To be honest, no one.... Those numbers are too small to account for any real effect. Their studyies margin of error, given the lack of control, would have been pretty high (well above 1%), so having a scew of only 00.3% in the data falls well below what-ever the studies margin of error was.... Meaning the results don't show anything. They would need to vaccinate people and then purposely expose them to HIV in order to get an accurate result.... Or at least show a study which exceeds a reasonable margin of error...


how can you be sure the margin of error would be that large? Personally I'm interested in that part, but I've yet to see an such data. It was a massive study for a reason though, so I'm sure they must have thought of this, it reportedly cost over $100 million.

Neoart wrote:Biology people, answer me a question. Isn't "AIDS vaccine" scientifically incorrect? Doesn't a vaccine vaccinate against a virus, which would mean it's an HIV vaccine?


heh, I knew this would happen, but it was like 1 am or so when I posted it.
Last edited by Lackadaisical2 on Thu Sep 24, 2009 9:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
The Republic of Lanos wrote:Proud member of the Vile Right-Wing Noodle Combat Division of the Imperialist Anti-Socialist Economic War Army Ground Force reporting in.

User avatar
Flameswroth
Senator
 
Posts: 4773
Founded: Sep 05, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Flameswroth » Thu Sep 24, 2009 9:31 am

Lackadaisical2 wrote:
Flameswroth wrote:Is it ironic, or poetic justice that this AIDS 'vaccine' has been developed in Bangkok, with the assistance of VaxGen, a pharmaceutical company out of SanFran? :)


It wasn't developed in Bangkok, it was developed in the US, we're just testing it there because its presumably cheaper to do so.

Details, details! The point is a city with a sexually suggestive name was pivotal in its development :)
Czardas wrote:Why should we bail out climate change with billions of dollars, when lesbians are starving in the streets because they can't afford an abortion?

Reagan Clone wrote:What you are proposing is glorifying God by loving, respecting, or at least tolerating, his other creations.

That is the gayest fucking shit I've ever heard, and I had Barry Manilow perform at the White House in '82.



Next

Advertisement

Remove ads

Return to General

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Ifreann, Oceasia, Point Blob, Riviere Renard

Advertisement

Remove ads