Bottle wrote:From the other rape thread, where I posted this a day or so back:
Statistics from countries like the US and the UK suggest that only about 15-20% of rapes are ever reported. Of those that are reported, less than ONE IN FIVE will end up in court. Of those that end up in court, between 5-10% will result in a conviction.
Or, to put it another way, for an actual rapist, there is an 85% chance that he will never be investigated at all. There is a 12% chance he will be questioned but the investigation will never make it as far as formal charges or court. There is only a 3% chance that he will have to buy a suit and hire a lawyer to deal with a court case. And even for the poor guys in that 3%, there's a 90% chance they'll be found Not Guilty.
Or, to put it yet another way, for every 1,000 girls and women who are raped, less than 10 will ever see their rapist do time.
Meanwhile, the false reporting rate for rape is about 2-8%. (http://www.ndaa.org/publications/newsle ... 1_2009.pdf) And that includes cases where the victim makes an incorrect ID or similar error, and thus doesn't mean that all those case were situations where somebody intentionally lied about having been raped or about who raped them.
Another way for you to look at it is this:
Each year, in the USA, there are about 5-6 rapes reported per 10,000 people. Even if we assume that HALF of these reports are false (which is almost 10 times the actual rates), that means that you've got less than 0.03% chance of being falsely accused of rape each year. And if that 0.03% chance does happen to strike, you have only about a 20% chance of even seeing the inside of a courtroom.
Meanwhile, one in three women in America has been raped. Do you know at least three women?
Forgive me for laughing my ass off at the transparent, cowardly freak-out by guys who claim that THEM BITCHEZ IS ALWAYS LYING ABOUT RAPE. No, they're not. In fact, assuming you're not a rapist, your odds of being falsely accused of rape aren't any higher than your odds of being falsely accused of any other violent crime. But for some reason, golly I wonder what it could possibly be, it's always this fear of tricksy lying womenzes that surfaces with a certain type of guy.
And that's the thread.
Well researched, well said.




