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by Silex Lariat » Wed Mar 14, 2012 1:19 pm
by The Steel Magnolia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 1:30 pm
Silex Lariat wrote:Fools! With their machinations and mudslinging they have played right into the hands of the RON PAUL RELOVEUTION! The more chaos sown among the Republican frontrunners, the more delegates will defect when the time comes, and swarm to the ranks of the reloveutionaries who shall take back America and bring it into a glorious age of glorious glory! And gold! Also ending the Federal Reserve and... that other thing RON PAUL always says.
I'm actually a bit disappointed Santorum won't be the nominee. Mitt will say whatever he needs to say to get elected, which is generally boring and predictable stuff. Newt is a pompous windbag of the type we see plenty of in Congress. Paul has been repeating the same speech for thirty years. Santorum, though... he's a true wildcard. You have no idea what he's going to do next, and when he's going to open his mouth and say something absolutely pants-on-head retarded. For that reason alone I'd support a ticket with Santorum on it. Possibly Santorum/Bachmann but that would be too perfect for real life :<
by Gauthier » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:14 pm
The Steel Magnolia wrote:Silex Lariat wrote:Fools! With their machinations and mudslinging they have played right into the hands of the RON PAUL RELOVEUTION! The more chaos sown among the Republican frontrunners, the more delegates will defect when the time comes, and swarm to the ranks of the reloveutionaries who shall take back America and bring it into a glorious age of glorious glory! And gold! Also ending the Federal Reserve and... that other thing RON PAUL always says.
I'm actually a bit disappointed Santorum won't be the nominee. Mitt will say whatever he needs to say to get elected, which is generally boring and predictable stuff. Newt is a pompous windbag of the type we see plenty of in Congress. Paul has been repeating the same speech for thirty years. Santorum, though... he's a true wildcard. You have no idea what he's going to do next, and when he's going to open his mouth and say something absolutely pants-on-head retarded. For that reason alone I'd support a ticket with Santorum on it. Possibly Santorum/Bachmann but that would be too perfect for real life :<
I don't know... Santorum/Gingrich... it has possibilities...
by Salandriagado » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:19 pm
The Steel Magnolia wrote:Silex Lariat wrote:Fools! With their machinations and mudslinging they have played right into the hands of the RON PAUL RELOVEUTION! The more chaos sown among the Republican frontrunners, the more delegates will defect when the time comes, and swarm to the ranks of the reloveutionaries who shall take back America and bring it into a glorious age of glorious glory! And gold! Also ending the Federal Reserve and... that other thing RON PAUL always says.
I'm actually a bit disappointed Santorum won't be the nominee. Mitt will say whatever he needs to say to get elected, which is generally boring and predictable stuff. Newt is a pompous windbag of the type we see plenty of in Congress. Paul has been repeating the same speech for thirty years. Santorum, though... he's a true wildcard. You have no idea what he's going to do next, and when he's going to open his mouth and say something absolutely pants-on-head retarded. For that reason alone I'd support a ticket with Santorum on it. Possibly Santorum/Bachmann but that would be too perfect for real life :<
I don't know... Santorum/Gingrich... it has possibilities...
by Gauthier » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:24 pm
by Jocabia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:36 pm
by Kaeshar » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:36 pm
Alien Space Bats wrote:I expect vote-rigging and delegate-stealing; of course, that cuts both ways. Remember that while Democrats habitually vote for the candidate they dislike the least, Republicans simply refuse to compromise and end up not voting for any candidate they can't support. If Romney cheats his way to a win, there's a good chance that the far right will simply stay home, believing that electing Mitt Romney is no better then re-electing Barack Obama. This was a factor for the GOP in 1996 and in 2008; it will be a factor in 2012, even if the race ends today.
Second, there's a good chance that Newt will fade from the equation from here on out. I expect him to try and fight for Louisiana and I expect him to try and fight for Texas, but past that point his relevance to the race will fade. He won't drop out, because he wants to keep his delegates as a bargaining chip in Tampa; but he isn't likely to bite as hard into Santorum's side from here on out.
I also think Mitt has committed a strategic blunder in saying publicly that he can't accept Santorum as his VP because Frothy isn't conservative enough on birth control and abortion. You have to wonder if there's some sort of gene in the Romney family tree that makes him say stupid things that can kill his campaign. But with that quote, not only has Mitt bought Rick Santorum's position on reproductive rights, he's actually committed himself to exceeding it.
Santorum will naturally air ads showing Romney saying that and then showing 90's Mitt speaking of how he supports a woman's right to choose, of how he supports Planned Parenthood, of how he and his wife raised money for Planned Parenthood, and essentially call him out as a flip-flopping liar. Indeed, Santorum has to do that if he wants to be viable in 2016 (and following the standard GOP succession rules, Frothy has essentially established himself as the heir apparent for 2016); he has to defend his core brand.
So where does that leave Mitt? He has no choice but to double down and move to Santorum's right on reproductive issues. He has to come out and say that 90's Mitt was before he saw the light, and that now he's hard-core pro-life and anti-contraception. He has to endorse a complete elimination of Title X money (because he's been attacking Santorum for supporting Title X); he has to say he's going to throw poor women under the bus when it comes to mammograms, etc. He has to endorse fetal personhood. He has to endorse mandatory waiting periods, "informed consent" ultrasounds, the works. All of this is going to alienate the GOP's "silentmajorityminority" of moderates and Republican-leaning independents - and it may just infuriate true conservatives (from the sheer flaming chutzpah of it all) enough to bring them out in droves for Santorum.
It was more than a stupid thing to say. It was a fucking bloody stupid thing to say.
I'm not at all discounting the possibility that Mitt will get 1144 before Tampa, or even the 1000 or so he needs to get to within striking distance for a deal. But given his weakness in the red States - which have a louder voice at the convention than the blue States (because that's how the delegate allocation system works; the Democratic system works the same way, but in reverse) - my point is that there's no reason why the Fab Four shouldn't all stay in the race and ride this thing all the way through to the convention.
And indeed, the longer this goes on, the greater the rewards for staying in, in so far as everybody's delegate count rises, and those delegates become ever more important as leverage the closer and closer we get to the Convention.
by Gauthier » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:46 pm
Kaeshar wrote:Alien Space Bats wrote:I expect vote-rigging and delegate-stealing; of course, that cuts both ways. Remember that while Democrats habitually vote for the candidate they dislike the least, Republicans simply refuse to compromise and end up not voting for any candidate they can't support. If Romney cheats his way to a win, there's a good chance that the far right will simply stay home, believing that electing Mitt Romney is no better then re-electing Barack Obama. This was a factor for the GOP in 1996 and in 2008; it will be a factor in 2012, even if the race ends today.
Second, there's a good chance that Newt will fade from the equation from here on out. I expect him to try and fight for Louisiana and I expect him to try and fight for Texas, but past that point his relevance to the race will fade. He won't drop out, because he wants to keep his delegates as a bargaining chip in Tampa; but he isn't likely to bite as hard into Santorum's side from here on out.
I also think Mitt has committed a strategic blunder in saying publicly that he can't accept Santorum as his VP because Frothy isn't conservative enough on birth control and abortion. You have to wonder if there's some sort of gene in the Romney family tree that makes him say stupid things that can kill his campaign. But with that quote, not only has Mitt bought Rick Santorum's position on reproductive rights, he's actually committed himself to exceeding it.
Santorum will naturally air ads showing Romney saying that and then showing 90's Mitt speaking of how he supports a woman's right to choose, of how he supports Planned Parenthood, of how he and his wife raised money for Planned Parenthood, and essentially call him out as a flip-flopping liar. Indeed, Santorum has to do that if he wants to be viable in 2016 (and following the standard GOP succession rules, Frothy has essentially established himself as the heir apparent for 2016); he has to defend his core brand.
So where does that leave Mitt? He has no choice but to double down and move to Santorum's right on reproductive issues. He has to come out and say that 90's Mitt was before he saw the light, and that now he's hard-core pro-life and anti-contraception. He has to endorse a complete elimination of Title X money (because he's been attacking Santorum for supporting Title X); he has to say he's going to throw poor women under the bus when it comes to mammograms, etc. He has to endorse fetal personhood. He has to endorse mandatory waiting periods, "informed consent" ultrasounds, the works. All of this is going to alienate the GOP's "silentmajorityminority" of moderates and Republican-leaning independents - and it may just infuriate true conservatives (from the sheer flaming chutzpah of it all) enough to bring them out in droves for Santorum.
It was more than a stupid thing to say. It was a fucking bloody stupid thing to say.
I'm not at all discounting the possibility that Mitt will get 1144 before Tampa, or even the 1000 or so he needs to get to within striking distance for a deal. But given his weakness in the red States - which have a louder voice at the convention than the blue States (because that's how the delegate allocation system works; the Democratic system works the same way, but in reverse) - my point is that there's no reason why the Fab Four shouldn't all stay in the race and ride this thing all the way through to the convention.
And indeed, the longer this goes on, the greater the rewards for staying in, in so far as everybody's delegate count rises, and those delegates become ever more important as leverage the closer and closer we get to the Convention.
It would have been better to say 'I am not considering Santorum as a VP choice at this time." Neutral and leaves room for maneuvering.
Still, even if he is forced to change his message, he is a serial flip flopper, so will people believe him? Also his opponents will just call him out on flip flopping. So, he is stuck in a catch-22 here.
by Grave_n_idle » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:46 pm
by Alien Space Bats » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:14 pm
by New England and The Maritimes » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:19 pm
Alien Space Bats wrote:I expect vote-rigging and delegate-stealing; of course, that cuts both ways. Remember that while Democrats habitually vote for the candidate they dislike the least, Republicans simply refuse to compromise and end up not voting for any candidate they can't support. If Romney cheats his way to a win, there's a good chance that the far right will simply stay home, believing that electing Mitt Romney is no better then re-electing Barack Obama. This was a factor for the GOP in 1996 and in 2008; it will be a factor in 2012, even if the race ends today.
Second, there's a good chance that Newt will fade from the equation from here on out. I expect him to try and fight for Louisiana and I expect him to try and fight for Texas, but past that point his relevance to the race will fade. He won't drop out, because he wants to keep his delegates as a bargaining chip in Tampa; but he isn't likely to bite as hard into Santorum's side from here on out.
I also think Mitt has committed a strategic blunder in saying publicly that he can't accept Santorum as his VP because Frothy isn't conservative enough on birth control and abortion. You have to wonder if there's some sort of gene in the Romney family tree that makes him say stupid things that can kill his campaign. But with that quote, not only has Mitt bought Rick Santorum's position on reproductive rights, he's actually committed himself to exceeding it.
Santorum will naturally air ads showing Romney saying that and then showing 90's Mitt speaking of how he supports a woman's right to choose, of how he supports Planned Parenthood, of how he and his wife raised money for Planned Parenthood, and essentially call him out as a flip-flopping liar. Indeed, Santorum has to do that if he wants to be viable in 2016 (and following the standard GOP succession rules, Frothy has essentially established himself as the heir apparent for 2016); he has to defend his core brand.
So where does that leave Mitt? He has no choice but to double down and move to Santorum's right on reproductive issues. He has to come out and say that 90's Mitt was before he saw the light, and that now he's hard-core pro-life and anti-contraception. He has to endorse a complete elimination of Title X money (because he's been attacking Santorum for supporting Title X); he has to say he's going to throw poor women under the bus when it comes to mammograms, etc. He has to endorse fetal personhood. He has to endorse mandatory waiting periods, "informed consent" ultrasounds, the works. All of this is going to alienate the GOP's "silentmajorityminority" of moderates and Republican-leaning independents - and it may just infuriate true conservatives (from the sheer flaming chutzpah of it all) enough to bring them out in droves for Santorum.
It was more than a stupid thing to say. It was a fucking bloody stupid thing to say.
I'm not at all discounting the possibility that Mitt will get 1144 before Tampa, or even the 1000 or so he needs to get to within striking distance for a deal. But given his weakness in the red States - which have a louder voice at the convention than the blue States (because that's how the delegate allocation system works; the Democratic system works the same way, but in reverse) - my point is that there's no reason why the Fab Four shouldn't all stay in the race and ride this thing all the way through to the convention.
And indeed, the longer this goes on, the greater the rewards for staying in, in so far as everybody's delegate count rises, and those delegates become ever more important as leverage the closer and closer we get to the Convention.
Soviet Haaregrad wrote:Some people's opinions are based on rational observations, others base theirs on imaginative thinking. The reality-based community ought not to waste it's time refuting delusions.
by Gauthier » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:24 pm
New England and The Maritimes wrote:Mitt Romney is the most incompetent politician I have ever seen in action. He starts with the potential to bring "moderates"(read: right-wing people who aren't insane,) to the polls, and then tries to completely redesign himself as a backwoods psychotic cultural fascist mid-campaign because he saw that his largest opponent managed to exploit the niche market for that brand of crazy. What the fuck is wrong with this idiot?
by Grave_n_idle » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:29 pm
Ashmoria wrote:
i love that she calls it nerdland. the pretty litlle professor lady is a freaking NERD.
as we all are.
by Alien Space Bats » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:44 pm
New England and The Maritimes wrote:What the fuck is wrong with this idiot?
by The Steel Magnolia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:49 pm
by Jari Head » Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:55 pm
by Wikkiwallana » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:21 pm
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.
by Farnhamia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:22 pm
by Jocabia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:28 pm
by Farnhamia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:30 pm
by Jocabia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:32 pm
by New England and The Maritimes » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:32 pm
Soviet Haaregrad wrote:Some people's opinions are based on rational observations, others base theirs on imaginative thinking. The reality-based community ought not to waste it's time refuting delusions.
by The UK in Exile » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:35 pm
by Farnhamia » Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:42 pm
The UK in Exile wrote:gingrinch: a moral vaccum so dense the truth can never escape it.
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