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Denying Global Warming

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Do you believe that humans are causing global warming?

Yes
184
70%
No
77
30%
 
Total votes : 261

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Camicon
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Founded: Aug 26, 2010
Ex-Nation

Postby Camicon » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:02 pm

Tubbsalot wrote:
Camicon wrote:Forgive me for pointing this out, but the Cretaceous was marked by sea level temperatures 17oC degrees warmer then current levels. That's 42oC boys and girls. And as you should all know, it takes a shit-ton (pardon the language) more energy to warm water then it does to warm air.

I never said we don't need to limit our impacts on our environment. What I said is that we are not going to be able to stop the warming and cooling trends of the Earth, that previous attempts to create an environment in stasis have failed miserably, and resulted in unexpected outcomes. We need to shift our focus from stopping global warming, to limiting the immediate and harmful effects we have on the environments around us.

Your argument is that the Earth naturally changes temperature... so we should ignore that we are changing the temperature now, that this change represents a threat to our quality of life, and that we could prevent this change with relatively little effort.

Just because we're not godlike masters of the universe, with raw power flowing straight from our eyes, doesn't mean we should knowingly ignore a major threat which we are capable of preventing or mitigating. In fact, I'd imagine it should be just the opposite.

How about you re-read my first post. It has a counter point for every argument you just raised.
Free Soviets wrote:
Camicon wrote:The fact of the matter is that the Earth has undergone, since it could be defined as we now know it, cyclic changes in temperature and atmospheric gas concentration. This is also evidenced by Arctic and Antarctic ice-core data. If the pattern holds true then the temperature of the Earth is increasing, regardless of what we try and do to reduce CO2 emissions. These are facts that have been around since the fifties.

The only evidence I take as unbiased with regards to the Global Warming debate are ice-core results. Analysis of them has long since been mastered, and the interpretation of their data is rock solid. There are no conjectures and guesswork that essentially every other method contains. There is no opportunity for the researchers to make a biased interpretation of data. I sincerely don't trust a person who can't tell me what the weather will be like at my city in a month, but who has the gall to tell me what the global climate will be like fifty years down the road.

you don't appear to know much about what the ice core data say, let alone about anything else involved in climate research. i mean, you don't even know the difference between weather and climate, for fuck's sake (hint - i can tell you with certainty that in the northern hemisphere it will be warmer on average in july than it is now, but i can't tell you what days to bring an umbrella then).

anyways, there is nothing in the ice core data that suggest we should be warming regardless of CO2 emissions. not a single damn thing at all in the slightest. like, you'd have to never have learned about them at all to even begin to think that.

Everything you just said, sir, is completely and utterly wrong.

I know the difference between weather and climate, but just as I don't trust a psychic that can't tell me what I ate for breakfast and then tries to tell me I'll be a millionaire in ten years, nor will I trust climate scientists that try to predict the outcome of an immensely complex system that they will never fully understand. Chaos Theory tells us as much.

That point aside, the ice-core data shows that the Earth has undergone warming and cooling cycles for as long as we have had ice at the poles. Should the pattern hold true as it has in the past, it tells us that the Earth has entered a period of warming. What we can take from this is that the Earth has warmed, cooled, warmed, cooled, warmed, and cooled again, and again, and again, long before primates even entered the fossil record. It shows that the current change the Earth is experiencing is not the most dramatic, either in temperature or in the rate of increase, that the Earth, or life on Earth, has ever experienced. And by virtue of the fact that our planet is teeming with life, it tells us that this change is survivable. The cycles also tells us that the Earth's global climate is self-regulating. Since life appeared on the surface of the planet, the climate has never become so extreme that everything died.

Please, next time you try to invalidate what I've said read up on the subject a little.

Goodbye everyone. I don't enjoy debating with people that don't understand the subject matter.
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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:24 pm

Nazi Flower Power wrote:Anyone that questions the extent of human responsibility for climate change is automatically assumed to be opposed to environmental protection. They couldn't possibly have an honest reason for questioning it!

indeed. we can't blame people for not knowing that the science is incredibly fucking solid - they don't read the literature and get their info from often terrible sources. but when ignorance and unwitting misinformation keep up after being corrected, well, then we've gone beyond honest reasons.
Last edited by Free Soviets on Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Hamelburg
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Founded: Nov 08, 2011
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Postby Hamelburg » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:36 pm

Free Soviets wrote:
Nazi Flower Power wrote:Anyone that questions the extent of human responsibility for climate change is automatically assumed to be opposed to environmental protection. They couldn't possibly have an honest reason for questioning it!

indeed. we can't blame people for not knowing that the science is incredibly fucking solid - they don't read the literature and get their info from often terrible sources. but when ignorance and unwitting misinformation keep up after being corrected, well, then we've gone being honest reasons.


He was being pretty sarcastic with that... :p but when the sources that most people see are manipulated for politicals, then thats when people start disbelieving it. (or not caring.)

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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:39 pm

Camicon wrote:That point aside, the ice-core data shows that the Earth has undergone warming and cooling cycles for as long as we have had ice at the poles. Should the pattern hold true as it has in the past, it tells us that the Earth has entered a period of warming.

nope. first, because we're already in the interglacial. but second because the ice cores record the effects, not the causes. shit don't just happen. global temperature is the result of a limited number of drivers and a larger number of secondary effects and feedbacks. the forces that drive the glacial cycle are explicitly not forcing us into a warmer state. we can measure this shit.

if you feel like not running away, i'd like to hear your thoughts on what does drive the cycles of glaciation. because your posts imply complete ignorance on the topic. but maybe that's just poor communication.

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Te Gi
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Posts: 111
Founded: Oct 28, 2009
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Postby Te Gi » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:40 pm

*Edit Delete*
Last edited by Te Gi on Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
"May your mind stay sharp!"

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Free Soviets
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Founded: Antiquity
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Postby Free Soviets » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:42 pm

Te Gi wrote:I saw this thread, and I thought, "ooh, this could be interesting." Then I read a bit, and saw that this thread (and quite possibly this game) is full of arrogant so-and-so's who actually believe that we miniscule humans could possibly damage this planet.

see, this is basically retarded. like, have you never looked outside your window? see all that shit out there? yeah, that used to not be there.

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Te Gi
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Founded: Oct 28, 2009
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Postby Te Gi » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:44 pm

*Edit Delete*
Last edited by Te Gi on Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
"May your mind stay sharp!"

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Salandriagado
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Founded: Apr 03, 2008
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Postby Salandriagado » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:44 pm

Te Gi wrote:I saw this thread, and I thought, "ooh, this could be interesting." Then I read a bit, and saw that this thread (and quite possibly this game) is full of arrogant so-and-so's who actually believe that we miniscule humans could possibly damage this planet.

Look at how huge the Myans and the Aztecs were. That wasn't that long ago, and where are their huge cities now? Buried under layers of plants. We're STILL finding pyramids that they built? Look at that nuclear power plant that melted down, resulting in total abandonment of the entire area around it. That was less then 60 years ago and it's already dissapearing. This planet can take care of itself people. When Mt. St. Helens blew, it put more "pollutants" in the world since we have since the industrial revolution.

The world goes through cycles. The world gets cold, polar ice caps form. The world warms up, melting the ice caps, and cooling the world down again. That resulted in Britians near ice age in the 1920's.

But that doesn't matter to you guys, does it. I'm just wasting my time typing up this little post here trying to put some sense into your heads, aren't I?

But, I completly and totallysay "pff" to "Global Warming." What a load of nonsense.



In the long term, no, we probably can't destroy the biosphere. Wiping ourselves and the vast majority of everything else around (including just about anything above the microbial level), on the other hand, we are perfectly capable of. Come back when you have actually bothered to do the research.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

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EnragedMaldivians
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Founded: Feb 01, 2010
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby EnragedMaldivians » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:47 pm

Hi global warming skeptics! I'm from the lowest lying country on planet earth! Thank you for your concern! :)
Taking a break.

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Te Gi
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Posts: 111
Founded: Oct 28, 2009
Ex-Nation

Postby Te Gi » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:47 pm

*Edit Delete*
Last edited by Te Gi on Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
"May your mind stay sharp!"

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Aggicificicerous
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Posts: 2148
Founded: Apr 24, 2007
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Aggicificicerous » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:51 pm

Te Gi wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:see all that shit out there? yeah, that used to not be there.

And if it sits there for a small amount of time without us maintaining it, it will all be reclaimed by what we call nature like I said earlier.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Paci ... bage_Patch

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plastic

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extinction ... xtinctions

Et cetera.

Keep telling yourself that a bunch of rocks put together by the Mayans is equivalent to modern pollution.
Last edited by Aggicificicerous on Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Salandriagado
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Postby Salandriagado » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:52 pm

Te Gi wrote:Of course we can kill ourselves and destroy items around us, but the planet can do that by itself too, and it's better at it then we are. It's impossible for us to live without having some sort of an effect on our surroundings.



Therefore, we should just fuck ourselves over deliberately, right?
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

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Avenio
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Founded: Feb 08, 2009
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Postby Avenio » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:52 pm

Camicon wrote:I know the difference between weather and climate, but just as I don't trust a psychic that can't tell me what I ate for breakfast and then tries to tell me I'll be a millionaire in ten years, nor will I trust climate scientists that try to predict the outcome of an immensely complex system that they will never fully understand. Chaos Theory tells us as much.


Chaos theory is difficult to apply to climatology because we can see patterns, and we can see cause-and-effect in said patterns. We may not know every variable, but we've gotten accurate enough to know

Camicon wrote:That point aside, the ice-core data shows that the Earth has undergone warming and cooling cycles for as long as we have had ice at the poles. Should the pattern hold true as it has in the past, it tells us that the Earth has entered a period of warming.


Interestingly, since we're in an interglacial, arguably the planet should (And was, prior to our industrialization) entering a period of slight cooling. (See here for a graphical representation)

Camicon wrote:What we can take from this is that the Earth has warmed, cooled, warmed, cooled, warmed, and cooled again, and again, and again, long before primates even entered the fossil record.


No-one's doubting that. Anyone with a cursory knowledge of climate science knows that.

Camicon wrote:It shows that the current change the Earth is experiencing is not the most dramatic, either in temperature or in the rate of increase, that the Earth, or life on Earth, has ever experienced.


As said previously,

Camicon wrote:And by virtue of the fact that our planet is teeming with life, it tells us that this change is survivable. The cycles also tells us that the Earth's global climate is self-regulating.


'Self-regulating' isn't the right word for it, as it implies that it moderates its own behaviour. 'Self-acclimatization' is better; the climate shifts to respond to changing conditions, but it doesn't regulate itself. In fact, as conditions get more extreme, so does it.

Camicon wrote:Since life appeared on the surface of the planet, the climate has never become so extreme that everything died.


No, but as stated previously, we have gotten to the point where 70% of all terrestrial and 90% of all marine species went extinct. Needless to say, that's not something we should try to achieve, if we have the choice.

Camicon wrote:No climate change that humans ever cause will kill of life completely.


I don't think anyone here is claiming that. What climate change will do is make our continued functioning on this planet as an industrial civilization much more difficult.

Camicon wrote:Please, next time you try to invalidate what I've said read up on the subject a little.


Believe me, there are people here that know much more than you do. So you don't need to worry about that.

Camicon wrote:Goodbye everyone. I don't enjoy debating with people that don't understand the subject matter.


Physician, heal thyself.

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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:54 pm

Te Gi wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:see all that shit out there? yeah, that used to not be there.

And if it sits there for a small amount of time without us maintaining it, it will all be reclaimed by what we call nature like I said earlier.

but it won't - and this is key - be back to how it was. we'll have killed off species that used to exist, introduced new ones that never could have gotten there on their own, changed the way water moves through the system, changed the chemical composition of the soil and bodies of water, and changed the climate. that eventually nature would adapt to the new world doesn't mean we didn't change the old one.

the fact that you can heal from rather significant wounds does not imply that you cannot be damaged.
Last edited by Free Soviets on Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Te Gi
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Founded: Oct 28, 2009
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Postby Te Gi » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:01 pm

*Edit Delete*
Last edited by Te Gi on Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
"May your mind stay sharp!"

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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:12 pm

Te Gi wrote: I'm a 4th generation logger, one of whom's job was ruined thanks to business killing enviromentalists such as you.

no you aren't.

but even if you were, so what? the fact that you haven't moved on doesn't even begin to have any bearing on the truth of climate change.

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Te Gi
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Postby Te Gi » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:15 pm

*Edit Delete*
Last edited by Te Gi on Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:03 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Fartsniffage
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Founded: Dec 19, 2005
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Fartsniffage » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:40 pm

Te Gi wrote:The fact is that Global Warming is being pushed by the same people who shut down businesses that provide jobs, they tear down dams that provide energy and water, amoung other things.

But, here's this http://www.environmentalgraffiti.com/sc ... lacier/714 that should prove to be an interesting read.

Enjoy. I gotta run.


That was interesting. It said you are wrong.

Nice article.

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Uchinaa
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Founded: Mar 14, 2011
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Postby Uchinaa » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:45 pm

Farnhamia wrote:And anyway, what would be the harm if we cleaned up the environment?


Yeah!

Image

It's happening, and we are already feeling the effects. How many natural disasters did we have in the past year, in the US alone? How many more years of record-breaking hurricanes, droughts, floods, fires etc do we need before the denialists finally agree to face reality?

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Acrainia
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Founded: Aug 11, 2010
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Postby Acrainia » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:46 pm

I somewhat believe humanity is effecting the climate on a small level.

However there is little real evidence that all the warming we're seeing is man-made. I am not willing to gut our economy based on speculation and Ice cores that may or may not be contaminated by on the the dozens of known contaminates (and likely hundreds they don't know about).

I've tried arguing that point before but sadly many of its proponents regard proof of the earth warming as proof of mankind causing it. With incidents like Climategate I'm no longer ready to accept the conclusions of scientists based on their word. This issue is too politicized for the scientific community to be outside the influence of groups who expect the theory to be proven totally right.

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Salandriagado
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Postby Salandriagado » Sun Jan 01, 2012 3:47 pm

Te Gi wrote:The fact is that Global Warming is being pushed by the same people who shut down businesses that provide jobs, they tear down dams that provide energy and water, amoung other things.

But, here's this http://www.environmentalgraffiti.com/sc ... lacier/714 that should prove to be an interesting read.

Enjoy. I gotta run.


Come back once you've learnt how science worked and actually bothered to review the data. Then get your head out of your arse and realise that your job is less important than the entire world.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

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Free Soviets
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Founded: Antiquity
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Postby Free Soviets » Sun Jan 01, 2012 4:12 pm

Acrainia wrote:However there is little real evidence that all the warming we're seeing is man-made.

do you accept the existence of the greenhouse effect?
do you accept that CO2 is a greenhouse gas?
do you accept the burning oil releases CO2
do you accept that the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing at a rate that is more than accounted for by human emissions?
etc.

causality is easy. we know that:
a) we've dug up fossil carbon
b) we've burned enough of it to account for all of the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere and ocean
c) the increase in CO2 actually is the result of fossil carbon*
d) carbon dioxide is the primary driver of the greenhouse effect
e) changing the amount of energy held in the atmosphere by the greenhouse effect results in changing the planetary temperature
f) other drivers of climate are, on balance, on a cooling trend
and yet
g) the planet is warming by what you get if you calculated the effects of this much carbon increase.

not a single one of these points is disputable. there is a reason that all of the academies of science are on board. it's really that solid and obvious.


* this is probably the least obvious point, but it's really easy for us to know. carbon comes in a variety of isotopes. the isotropic composition of fossil fuels is measurably different from the composition of the atmosphere. as we have added fossil carbon into the atmosphere, we have measured a change that is precisely the change in isotope ratios that you would expect.

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Fartsniffage
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Posts: 41248
Founded: Dec 19, 2005
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Fartsniffage » Sun Jan 01, 2012 4:17 pm

Free Soviets wrote:
Acrainia wrote:However there is little real evidence that all the warming we're seeing is man-made.

do you accept the existence of the greenhouse effect?
do you accept that CO2 is a greenhouse gas?
do you accept the burning oil releases CO2
do you accept that the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing at a rate that is more than accounted for by human emissions?
etc.

causality is easy. we know that:
a) we've dug up fossil carbon
b) we've burned enough of it to account for all of the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere and ocean
c) the increase in CO2 actually is the result of fossil carbon*
d) carbon dioxide is the primary driver of the greenhouse effect
e) changing the amount of energy held in the atmosphere by the greenhouse effect results in changing the planetary temperature
f) other drivers of climate are, on balance, on a cooling trend
and yet
g) the planet is warming by what you get if you calculated the effects of this much carbon increase.

not a single one of these points is disputable. there is a reason that all of the academies of science are on board. it's really that solid and obvious.


* this is probably the least obvious point, but it's really easy for us to know. carbon comes in a variety of isotopes. the isotropic composition of fossil fuels is measurably different from the composition of the atmosphere. as we have added fossil carbon into the atmosphere, we have measured a change that is precisely the change in isotope ratios that you would expect.


Pfft, those are just words on a screen. We need real evidence dammit.

Where's Gil Grissom? He could prove anthropogenic climate change in an hour minus ad breaks. I bet there's DNA on those carbon isotopes.

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Acrainia
Diplomat
 
Posts: 597
Founded: Aug 11, 2010
Ex-Nation

Postby Acrainia » Sun Jan 01, 2012 5:21 pm

Free Soviets wrote:
Acrainia wrote:However there is little real evidence that all the warming we're seeing is man-made.

do you accept the existence of the greenhouse effect?
do you accept that CO2 is a greenhouse gas?
do you accept the burning oil releases CO2
do you accept that the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing at a rate that is more than accounted for by human emissions?
etc.

causality is easy. we know that:
a) we've dug up fossil carbon
b) we've burned enough of it to account for all of the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere and ocean
c) the increase in CO2 actually is the result of fossil carbon*
d) carbon dioxide is the primary driver of the greenhouse effect
e) changing the amount of energy held in the atmosphere by the greenhouse effect results in changing the planetary temperature
f) other drivers of climate are, on balance, on a cooling trend
and yet
g) the planet is warming by what you get if you calculated the effects of this much carbon increase.

not a single one of these points is disputable. there is a reason that all of the academies of science are on board. it's really that solid and obvious.


* this is probably the least obvious point, but it's really easy for us to know. carbon comes in a variety of isotopes. the isotropic composition of fossil fuels is measurably different from the composition of the atmosphere. as we have added fossil carbon into the atmosphere, we have measured a change that is precisely the change in isotope ratios that you would expect.


I might be willing to reexamine my views if you can get me good sources for all that info.

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Te Gi
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Posts: 111
Founded: Oct 28, 2009
Ex-Nation

Postby Te Gi » Sun Jan 01, 2012 6:21 pm

*Edit Delete* Gone for good. Never coming back. Sorry for everything. I learned my lesson.
Last edited by Te Gi on Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
"May your mind stay sharp!"

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