Oh, I wasn't disagreeing or arguing with you, just expanding upon it.

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by Keronians » Thu Sep 22, 2011 2:33 pm


by William Delaney III » Thu Sep 22, 2011 2:35 pm

by Nicole Scherzinger » Thu Sep 22, 2011 2:45 pm

by The Utopia of Bill » Thu Sep 22, 2011 2:57 pm

by Infinite Harmony » Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:01 pm

by Free Soviets » Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:10 pm
Independant States of America wrote:Am I to understand that Free Soviets actually believes that there are no non-human factors involved in the Earth's climate?
Free Soviets wrote:Independant States of America wrote:Q. How is this climate change emergency different than previous natural changes?
there are no non-human climate forcing factors that can be blamed. the sun has not been giving off more energy, the earth's core hasn't suddenly started heating up, the continents haven't moved into a new configuration and redirected ocean currents, the earth's orbital wobbles aren't doing anything new, and there are no non-anthropogenic sources of new greenhouse gases being added to the atmosphere.
Independant States of America wrote:But what about that sun? Free Soviets states it has not been giving off more energy. Hmmm is that true? Hey, Free Soviets that is fabulous, we CAN ACTUALLY CHECK THE DATA WE DO HAVE, that is crazy, so lets see if there is any data that would suggest my solar activity theory is a possibility...
(Image)
http://www.tmgnow.com/repository/solar/lassen1.html
The red curve illustrates the recorded scientific data of solar activity and mean temperatures from 1960 to 2000. Quite simply a correlation cannot just be denied on the sole basis that one wants to believe in a different theory.
(Reference: Friis-Christensen, E., and K. Lassen, Length of the solar cycle: An indicator of solar activity closely associated with climate, Science, 254, 698-700, 1991).


by Patriqvinia » Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:19 pm
Augarundus wrote:Farnhamia wrote:Well, we ought to at least leave the place clean when we go. Anyway, you and Frank Fenner can give up. I won't until I die.
Why do you care about the state of the earth? Especially after you're dead and nothing can be done.
If climate change is the threat the world assumes it to be, then our deaths are imminent; don't worry. Embrace and love the inevitability of your own death, and to hell with the human race. There's no turning back now; extinction is inevitable.
We may as well not cause further pain and suffering by regulating the use of fossil fuels in the short term, and, in doing so, harm those reliant upon fossil fuels (which is to say, the poor, particularly in developing nations, who rely upon fossil fuels for industrialization).
There is no "leaving the place clean"; all life on the world will be dead, save that which can evolve to the new conditions.

by Wikkiwallana » Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:20 pm
Independant States of America wrote:Wikkiwallana wrote:There's a big difference between your claim that non-one is sure, which implies it could easily go either way, and the reality of everyone who knows enough to meaningfully comment on the subject saying "We're 90% certain it's our fault".
There is simply not enough scientific data to claim the evidence supports even at 90%, you know that. Again you are trying to change a theory to a fact or close to a fact when the evidence does not support such claims. Period.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming wrote:Global warming is the current temperature rise in Earth's atmosphere and oceans. The evidence for this temperature rise is unequivocal[2] and, with greater than 90% certainty, scientists have determined that most of it is caused by human activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning of fossil fuels.[3][4][5][6] This finding is recognized by the national science academies of all the major industrialized countries and is not disputed by any scientific body of national or international standing.[7][8][A]
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.

by Wikkiwallana » Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:34 pm
William Delaney III wrote:I say we get a whole lot of highly trained experts in climatology to figure it out, tell them what our values and goals are, and have them recommend the best course of action for adhering to those values and staying true to those goals.
I don't see any sense in doing it differently.
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.

by Lacadaemon » Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:38 pm

by Independant States of America » Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:00 pm
Free Soviets wrote:yo, ISA. quote button. use it.Independant States of America wrote:Am I to understand that Free Soviets actually believes that there are no non-human factors involved in the Earth's climate?
no. why if we look just slightly up in your post, you have quoted my words on the subject. as a refresher, they were thatFree Soviets wrote:there are no non-human climate forcing factors that can be blamed. the sun has not been giving off more energy, the earth's core hasn't suddenly started heating up, the continents haven't moved into a new configuration and redirected ocean currents, the earth's orbital wobbles aren't doing anything new, and there are no non-anthropogenic sources of new greenhouse gases being added to the atmosphere.
so...what part of that was unclear? did you lose the plot on your own question that was being answered? because it wasn't about factors involved in climate per se, but involved in the current changes. its hard to figure out a charitable approach to this level of 'misunderstanding'...Independant States of America wrote:But what about that sun? Free Soviets states it has not been giving off more energy. Hmmm is that true? Hey, Free Soviets that is fabulous, we CAN ACTUALLY CHECK THE DATA WE DO HAVE, that is crazy, so lets see if there is any data that would suggest my solar activity theory is a possibility...
(Image)
http://www.tmgnow.com/repository/solar/lassen1.html
The red curve illustrates the recorded scientific data of solar activity and mean temperatures from 1960 to 2000. Quite simply a correlation cannot just be denied on the sole basis that one wants to believe in a different theory.
(Reference: Friis-Christensen, E., and K. Lassen, Length of the solar cycle: An indicator of solar activity closely associated with climate, Science, 254, 698-700, 1991).
{checks calendar}
um, i think you might need to set your clock ahead a decade. you're a bit behind. (or, more plausibly, you are stealing lines from the standard denialist sources. that's a bad idea, as they are all wrong about everything in truly embarrassing ways.)
the simplified chart you are after actually looks like this these days:
note that even when the sun probably was having a significant effect - the first half of the last century - it was lagging behind the trend often enough. but now? that shit is headed in completely the opposite direction.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-a ... vanced.htm

by Mosasauria » Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:04 pm

by Wikkiwallana » Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:19 pm
Infinite Harmony wrote:DaWoad wrote:It holds scientific consensus, if these people had any valid points it wouldn't and they would have pulled in all sorts of awards.
argument from authority doesn't worrk all that well.
If you cared to read the credentials of the scientists in question you would find out they were highly respected by their colleagues. I will repost some of their credentials again for your elucidation. Re. "awards", it is uncommon for awards to be given to those who are not in line with the current scientific paradigm, as those holding the paradigm are also those who tend to hand out the awards.
Also, <snip> is hardly a useful quote, and "arguement from authority" is probably used more by the proponents of MMGL theory than those who question it.
Also see http://www.petitionproject.org/ and http://www.petitionproject.org/review_article.php, and realize that the scientific establishment can make serious mistakes, as nicely covered in this article: http://amasci.com/weird/vindac.html.
The credentials of those who dispute MMGL theory from their area of scientific expertise:
Dr. Edward Wegman--former chairman of the Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics of the National Academy of Sciences.
Dr. David Bromwich--president of the International Commission on Polar Meteorology.
Prof. Paul Reiter--Chief of Insects and Infectious Diseases at the famed Pasteur Institute.
Prof. Hendrik Tennekes--director of research, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute.
Dr. Christopher Landsea--past chairman of the American Meteorological Society's Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones.
Dr. Antonino Zichichi--one of the world's foremost physicists, former president of the European Physical Society.
Dr. Zbigniew Jaworowski--world-renowned expert on the ancient ice cores used in climate research.
Prof. Tom V. Segalstad--head of the Geological Museum.
Dr. Syun-Ichi Akasofu--founding director of the International Arctic Research Center, twice named one of the "1,000 Most Cited Scientists.
Dr. Claude Allegre--member, U.S. National Academy of Sciences and French Academy of Science.
Dr. Richard Lindzen--Professor of Meteorology at M.I.T., member, the National Research Council Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate.
Dr. Habibullo Abdussamatov--head of the space research laboratory of the Russian Academy of Science's Pulkovo Observatory and of the International Space Station's Astrometria project.
Dr. Richard Tol--Principal researcher at the Institute for Environmental Studies at Vrije Universiteit, and Adjunct Professor at the Center for Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change, at Carnegie Mellon University.
Dr. Sami Solanki--director and scientific member at the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Germany.
Prof. Freeman Dyson--one of the world's most eminent physicists.
Dr. Eigils Friis-Christensen--director of the Danish National Space Centre, vice-president of the International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy.
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.

by Wikkiwallana » Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:32 pm
Independant States of America wrote:Free Soviets wrote:yo, ISA. quote button. use it.
no. why if we look just slightly up in your post, you have quoted my words on the subject. as a refresher, they were that
so...what part of that was unclear? did you lose the plot on your own question that was being answered? because it wasn't about factors involved in climate per se, but involved in the current changes. its hard to figure out a charitable approach to this level of 'misunderstanding'...
{checks calendar}
um, i think you might need to set your clock ahead a decade. you're a bit behind. (or, more plausibly, you are stealing lines from the standard denialist sources. that's a bad idea, as they are all wrong about everything in truly embarrassing ways.)
the simplified chart you are after actually looks like this these days:
note that even when the sun probably was having a significant effect - the first half of the last century - it was lagging behind the trend often enough. but now? that shit is headed in completely the opposite direction.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-a ... vanced.htm
Hmm, looks like that chart leaves a little to be desired. It does not reflect the 6 year cooling trend of 2004-2010. This trend is well documented and is also accepted by most of the MMGL scientific community as having occured. (In fact it prompted the term Climate Change, which of course was previously Global Warming. Got to cover yourself no matter how the climate changes.)
http://www.c3headlines.com/global-cooli ... ncetrends/
You see, while I do not claim your theories are incorrect, I do claim that they are just theories and not scientific fact. However much you want them to be fact they are not, and we do not have enough evidence to claim them as such. I offer plausible theories in opposition. I do not know that my theory is correct or not, just a scientific guess....just like the theory you propose. Say what you want, but you cannot have a legitimate scientific study when you know the outcome will support your theory regardless of data that does not fit your theory, or some evidence which may support an opposite theory. And that is the position the MMGL has taken. They take the facts they want, ignore the ones they don't, and claim a scientific conclusion, just like your opposition who claim the facts prove man does not impact the climate. There is insufficient evidence to make any call on mans effect climate at this time with any degree of certainty. I am sorry if you disagree, but you do not have the evidence to claim otherwise. You just have majority consensus, which as you know does not, and has never, made a theory factual.
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.

by Independant States of America » Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:58 pm
Wikkiwallana wrote:Independant States of America wrote:
There is simply not enough scientific data to claim the evidence supports even at 90%, you know that. Again you are trying to change a theory to a fact or close to a fact when the evidence does not support such claims. Period.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming wrote:Global warming is the current temperature rise in Earth's atmosphere and oceans. The evidence for this temperature rise is unequivocal[2] and, with greater than 90% certainty, scientists have determined that most of it is caused by human activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning of fossil fuels.[3][4][5][6] This finding is recognized by the national science academies of all the major industrialized countries and is not disputed by any scientific body of national or international standing.[7][8][A]
You se all those little numbers? Those are citations that back it up. Don't tell me I'm distorting facts again.
Edit: fixed my tag

by Bitchkitten » Thu Sep 22, 2011 5:36 pm

by Free Soviets » Thu Sep 22, 2011 8:46 pm
Independant States of America wrote:Hmm, looks like that chart leaves a little to be desired. It does not reflect the 6 year cooling trend of 2004-2010. This trend is well documented and is also accepted by most of the MMGL scientific community as having occured.

Independant States of America wrote:(In fact it prompted the term Climate Change, which of course was previously Global Warming. Got to cover yourself no matter how the climate changes.)

by Free Soviets » Thu Sep 22, 2011 8:54 pm
Wikkiwallana wrote:A six year cooling trend that included the hottest summers on record? I'm skeptical, to say the least.

by Free Soviets » Thu Sep 22, 2011 9:14 pm
Patriqvinia wrote:Also, the notion that CO2 is the biggest greenhouse gas is frankly, bunk alarmism, and there is almost definitely some political motivation.
Patriqvinia wrote:While most agree that CO2 levels have risen a good bit in the last 300 years

by Thalam » Thu Sep 22, 2011 9:28 pm
Independant States of America wrote:
You see, while I do not claim your theories are incorrect, I do claim that they are just theories and not scientific fact. However much you want them to be fact they are not, and we do not have enough evidence to claim them as such. I offer plausible theories in opposition. I do not know that my theory is correct or not, just a scientific guess....just like the theory you propose. Say what you want, but you cannot have a legitimate scientific study when you know the outcome will support your theory regardless of data that does not fit your theory, or some evidence which may support an opposite theory. And that is the position the MMGL has taken. They take the facts they want, ignore the ones they don't, and claim a scientific conclusion, just like your opposition who claim the facts prove man does not impact the climate. There is insufficient evidence to make any call on mans effect climate at this time with any degree of certainty. I am sorry if you disagree, but you do not have the evidence to claim otherwise. You just have majority consensus, which as you know does not, and has never, made a theory factual.

by DaWoad » Fri Sep 23, 2011 1:11 am
Independant States of America wrote:Wikkiwallana wrote:There's a big difference between your claim that non-one is sure, which implies it could easily go either way, and the reality of everyone who knows enough to meaningfully comment on the subject saying "We're 90% certain it's our fault".
There is simply not enough scientific data to claim the evidence supports even at 90%, you know that. Again you are trying to change a theory to a fact or close to a fact when the evidence does not support such claims. Period.

by Wikkiwallana » Fri Sep 23, 2011 9:42 am
Free Soviets wrote:Wikkiwallana wrote:A six year cooling trend that included the hottest summers on record? I'm skeptical, to say the least.
it also included the 4 hottest years on record. every year but one is hotter than 2004. in fact, every year but one in this 'cooling trend' (haha) is one of the hottest ten years in the instrumental record. the other one is number eleven.
whoever our friend here is reading, they are doing a particularly swell job at being laughably wrong. even by denialist standards.
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.

by Sociobiology » Fri Sep 23, 2011 9:51 am
Wikkiwallana wrote:Free Soviets wrote:it also included the 4 hottest years on record. every year but one is hotter than 2004. in fact, every year but one in this 'cooling trend' (haha) is one of the hottest ten years in the instrumental record. the other one is number eleven.
whoever our friend here is reading, they are doing a particularly swell job at being laughably wrong. even by denialist standards.
What really confused me about the graph was that the line that supposedly averaged the temperatures only touched the actual temperatures once and then continued to go on below it. How does that even work? It's like saying 5, 8, 7, 10, 6, and 7 average out to 5.


by Sociobiology » Fri Sep 23, 2011 10:00 am
Wikkiwallana wrote:Independant States of America wrote:
Hmm, looks like that chart leaves a little to be desired. It does not reflect the 6 year cooling trend of 2004-2010. This trend is well documented and is also accepted by most of the MMGL scientific community as having occured. (In fact it prompted the term Climate Change, which of course was previously Global Warming. Got to cover yourself no matter how the climate changes.)
http://www.c3headlines.com/global-cooli ... ncetrends/
You see, while I do not claim your theories are incorrect, I do claim that they are just theories and not scientific fact. However much you want them to be fact they are not, and we do not have enough evidence to claim them as such. I offer plausible theories in opposition. I do not know that my theory is correct or not, just a scientific guess....just like the theory you propose. Say what you want, but you cannot have a legitimate scientific study when you know the outcome will support your theory regardless of data that does not fit your theory, or some evidence which may support an opposite theory. And that is the position the MMGL has taken. They take the facts they want, ignore the ones they don't, and claim a scientific conclusion, just like your opposition who claim the facts prove man does not impact the climate. There is insufficient evidence to make any call on mans effect climate at this time with any degree of certainty. I am sorry if you disagree, but you do not have the evidence to claim otherwise. You just have majority consensus, which as you know does not, and has never, made a theory factual.
A six year cooling trend that included the hottest summers on record? I'm skeptical, to say the least.

by Wikkiwallana » Fri Sep 23, 2011 10:02 am
Sociobiology wrote:Wikkiwallana wrote:What really confused me about the graph was that the line that supposedly averaged the temperatures only touched the actual temperatures once and then continued to go on below it. How does that even work? It's like saying 5, 8, 7, 10, 6, and 7 average out to 5.
actually the average would be 7.16
you could actually learn something about statistics or just mathematics.
each point on the graph is an average for that year, the line is a plot of the regression of all the data points, not just the averages.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Average
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_regression
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Halt!
Just because these people are stupid, wrong and highly dangerous does not mean you have the right to make them feel sad.
Avenio wrote:Just so you know, the use of the term 'sheep' 'sheeple' or any other herd animal-based terminology in conjunction with an exhortation to 'think outside the box' or stop going along with groupthink generally indicates that the speaker is actually more closed-minded on the subject than the people that he/she is addressing. At least, in my experience at least.
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