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Predict The Next 20 Years

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Salvarity
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Founded: Jun 28, 2011
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Salvarity » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:53 am

Chinese Regions wrote:
New Helier wrote:2024- First manned mission to Luna begins. A Far-Right terrorist group blows up a mosque in Iowa. Is downplayed by the media.

This is a very specific prediction, why Iowa?



i wonder if thats what he plans on doing
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New Genoa
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby New Genoa » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:54 am

Sibirsky wrote:
New Genoa wrote:Obama will be re-elected. The economy will suffer at least 2 or 3 more recessions. The US will be involved in at least 3 more conflicts. The poor will get poorer, and the rich will get richer. The Liberals of this era will become the Conservatives of the next.

Oh, and parachute pants will make a comeback.

Why will the poor get poorer?


Recessions tend to hit the poorest the hardest. And given the way politicians have been handling all these boom-and-bust recessions the past twenty years with no sign of improvement...well, I expect the trend to continue. Not to mention more and more people need to have a higher and higher level of education to get a decent paying job, while education costs just keep going up and up.
Or were you just born with a heart full of neutrality?

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-St George
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Founded: Apr 25, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby -St George » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:54 am

Sibirsky wrote:
-St George wrote:NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

Um... in regards to your signature...

Funny how people raised in different nations describe the same thing differently.

I ran into a neighbor (American, born and raised) of mine and he says "where is your top hat?" I was like :eyebrow: and he said "you look like Abraham Lincoln!"

I ran into my aunt (Soviet, born and raised) and she said "you look like a young Karl Marx."

Yeah, I'm bearding up.

Lol.

And yay.
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Grave_n_idle
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Posts: 44837
Founded: Feb 11, 2004
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Grave_n_idle » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:55 am

Sibirsky wrote:
New Genoa wrote:Obama will be re-elected. The economy will suffer at least 2 or 3 more recessions. The US will be involved in at least 3 more conflicts. The poor will get poorer, and the rich will get richer. The Liberals of this era will become the Conservatives of the next.

Oh, and parachute pants will make a comeback.

Why will the poor get poorer?


Because the trend is to increase the income inequality. Perhaps.
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Sibirsky
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Founded: Mar 22, 2009
Anarchy

Postby Sibirsky » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:58 am

New Genoa wrote:
Sibirsky wrote:Why will the poor get poorer?


Recessions tend to hit the poorest the hardest. And given the way politicians have been handling all these boom-and-bust recessions the past twenty years with no sign of improvement...well, I expect the trend to continue. Not to mention more and more people need to have a higher and higher level of education to get a decent paying job, while education costs just keep going up and up.

Ok. But during expansions, which are longer (usually) things improve for everyone. Including the poor.

Education is the next healthcare. Needs reform.
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Lessnt
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Founded: Jul 07, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby Lessnt » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:58 am

The Parkus Empire wrote:In the 1950's, you would have been one of those people who said there would be a nuclear holocaust, or that Communists would take over the U.S. government.

My prediction: shitty times, followed by shittier times. Dramatic rise in crime levels. Obama wins his next term. If things get really bad, more rioting. Things later improve.

Crappy times.
Crappy life.
More need for guns for self defense.
To combat the criminals most guns are banned save bolt action rifles.
People are angry.
Riots.
Another depression.
riots against banks and rating agencies....
Government bailout.
Attempted rebellion quickly squashed.
Lots and lots of protests.
Then finally things start to improve and everyone becomes more optimistic.

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Grave_n_idle
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Founded: Feb 11, 2004
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Grave_n_idle » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:59 am

Sibirsky wrote:
New Genoa wrote:
Recessions tend to hit the poorest the hardest. And given the way politicians have been handling all these boom-and-bust recessions the past twenty years with no sign of improvement...well, I expect the trend to continue. Not to mention more and more people need to have a higher and higher level of education to get a decent paying job, while education costs just keep going up and up.

Ok. But during expansions, which are longer (usually) things improve for everyone. Including the poor.

Education is the next healthcare. Needs reform.


Healthcare is still 'the next healthcare'.
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Sibirsky
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Founded: Mar 22, 2009
Anarchy

Postby Sibirsky » Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:59 am

Grave_n_idle wrote:
Sibirsky wrote:Why will the poor get poorer?


Because the trend is to increase the income inequality. Perhaps.

But that does not necessarily mean the poor are getting poorer.
Free market capitalism, path to prosperity
Свободный рынок капитализма, путь к процветанию
IBC 7 Finalists
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2 Silver, 4 Bronze medals V Winter Olympics
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Sibirsky
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Founded: Mar 22, 2009
Anarchy

Postby Sibirsky » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:00 am

Grave_n_idle wrote:
Sibirsky wrote:Ok. But during expansions, which are longer (usually) things improve for everyone. Including the poor.

Education is the next healthcare. Needs reform.


Healthcare is still 'the next healthcare'.

I wasn't implying that healthcare reform is done. I'm trying to say that education is in need of reform, almost as badly.
Free market capitalism, path to prosperity
Свободный рынок капитализма, путь к процветанию
IBC 7 Finalists
8 Gold, 9 Silver, 2 Bronze medals IV Summer Olympics
2 Silver, 4 Bronze medals V Winter Olympics
Golfinator Classic Champion
Scott Cup I Champions
World Bowl 11 4th Place

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Grave_n_idle
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Founded: Feb 11, 2004
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Grave_n_idle » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:01 am

Sibirsky wrote:
Grave_n_idle wrote:
Because the trend is to increase the income inequality. Perhaps.

But that does not necessarily mean the poor are getting poorer.


Not necessarily, no. But in real terms, historically, that is what it's meaning.

Maybe that'll change...
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Sibirsky
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Founded: Mar 22, 2009
Anarchy

Postby Sibirsky » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:03 am

Grave_n_idle wrote:
Sibirsky wrote:But that does not necessarily mean the poor are getting poorer.


Not necessarily, no. But in real terms, historically, that is what it's meaning.

Maybe that'll change...

You mean in relative terms. In relative terms that would be true. In real terms, maybe, maybe not.
Free market capitalism, path to prosperity
Свободный рынок капитализма, путь к процветанию
IBC 7 Finalists
8 Gold, 9 Silver, 2 Bronze medals IV Summer Olympics
2 Silver, 4 Bronze medals V Winter Olympics
Golfinator Classic Champion
Scott Cup I Champions
World Bowl 11 4th Place

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Sibirsky
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Posts: 44940
Founded: Mar 22, 2009
Anarchy

Postby Sibirsky » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:04 am

Lessnt wrote:
The Parkus Empire wrote:In the 1950's, you would have been one of those people who said there would be a nuclear holocaust, or that Communists would take over the U.S. government.

My prediction: shitty times, followed by shittier times. Dramatic rise in crime levels. Obama wins his next term. If things get really bad, more rioting. Things later improve.

Crappy times.
Crappy life.
More need for guns for self defense.
To combat the criminals most guns are banned save bolt action rifles.
People are angry.
Riots.
Another depression.
riots against banks and rating agencies....
Government bailout.
Attempted rebellion quickly squashed.
Lots and lots of protests.
Then finally things start to improve and everyone becomes more optimistic.


Hooray for optimism!
Free market capitalism, path to prosperity
Свободный рынок капитализма, путь к процветанию
IBC 7 Finalists
8 Gold, 9 Silver, 2 Bronze medals IV Summer Olympics
2 Silver, 4 Bronze medals V Winter Olympics
Golfinator Classic Champion
Scott Cup I Champions
World Bowl 11 4th Place

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Soviet Haaregrad
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Founded: Antiquity
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Soviet Haaregrad » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:06 am

Belarus joins Russia, Ukraine joins Russia, Russia changes their name to the Soviet Union, then applies for NATO membership to save themselves from Chinese aggression. The world is destroyed from 8 billion heads all exploding at once.
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Zebbstar
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Founded: Dec 13, 2010
Ex-Nation

Postby Zebbstar » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:06 am

The Parkus Empire wrote:In the 1950's, you would have been one of those people who said there would be a nuclear holocaust, or that Communists would take over the U.S. government.

My prediction: shitty times, followed by shittier times. Dramatic rise in crime levels. Obama wins his next term. If things get really bad, more rioting. Things later improve.



This, I believe the world is just going to get worse, Bleak times ahead
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Grave_n_idle
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Founded: Feb 11, 2004
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Grave_n_idle » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:09 am

Sibirsky wrote:
Grave_n_idle wrote:
Not necessarily, no. But in real terms, historically, that is what it's meaning.

Maybe that'll change...

You mean in relative terms. In relative terms that would be true. In real terms, maybe, maybe not.


No, I mean in real terms. If the value of your currency is less, and the cost of essentials is proportionally greater, you might be 'relatively' constant, but you're poorer in 'real' terms. Your dollar won't buy you breakfast like it would in '99, and you don't have more dollars.
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New Genoa
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby New Genoa » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:10 am

Soviet Haaregrad wrote:Belarus joins Russia, Ukraine joins Russia, Russia changes their name to the Soviet Union, then applies for NATO membership to save themselves from Chinese aggression. The world is destroyed from 8 billion heads all exploding at once.


UN ambassador: Soviet Union, I thought you guys broke up?

Soviet ambassador: That's what we wanted you to think, muahahaha!
Image
Image
Last edited by New Genoa on Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
Or were you just born with a heart full of neutrality?

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Grainne Ni Malley
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Founded: Oct 17, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Grainne Ni Malley » Sun Aug 28, 2011 3:42 am

Lots of people will be born, lots of people will die. Mass confusion will arise when the end of the world doesn't come as soon as they had expected/hoped. And a prostitute will become President of the US. Oh, wait...
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Jinos
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Founded: Oct 10, 2007
Ex-Nation

Postby Jinos » Sun Aug 28, 2011 4:13 am

Sometime within the next 20 years :

- Obama Reelected
- GOP falls apart, moderate republicans try to create their own party and distance themselves from those fringe lunatics.
- New Quasi democratic governments spring up in the middle east
- Oil prices skyrocket
- Iranian revolution
- Isreal gets into a war
- America still in Iraq and Afghanistan
- Large scale riots begin about increasing wealth disparity in America
Last edited by Jinos on Sun Aug 28, 2011 4:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
Political Compass:
Economic Left/Right: -5.62
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Stychia
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Founded: Dec 07, 2010
Ex-Nation

Postby Stychia » Sun Aug 28, 2011 11:36 am

The only sensible predictions in this thread are Obama re-elected, oil prices rising, China's bubble bursting and a lunar expedition in the 20's.

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Sremski okrug
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Founded: Jul 02, 2010
Ex-Nation

Postby Sremski okrug » Sun Aug 28, 2011 11:43 am

New Genoa wrote:
Soviet Haaregrad wrote:Belarus joins Russia, Ukraine joins Russia, Russia changes their name to the Soviet Union, then applies for NATO membership to save themselves from Chinese aggression. The world is destroyed from 8 billion heads all exploding at once.


UN ambassador: Soviet Union, I thought you guys broke up?

Soviet ambassador: That's what we wanted you to think, muahahaha!
Image
Image


What episode is that from?
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Wikipedia and Universe
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Founded: Jul 30, 2009
Ex-Nation

Postby Wikipedia and Universe » Mon Aug 29, 2011 10:15 pm

Within 20 years of this very moment, I will have at least one orgasm, likely more. I dare someone to challenge my prediction. :p
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Kragenmoor
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Founded: Jul 15, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby Kragenmoor » Mon Aug 29, 2011 11:41 pm

2020s
UFO sightings increase after USAF adopts new stealth bomber.
America's debt increases.
Foreign support for Israel decreases.
European Space Agency puts astronauts into space.
Colonel Gaddafi sneaks into US and founds Gaddafi Burgers.

2030s
Reductions in size of US military.
Iran is restored to a democracy.
New NASA space shuttle is launched.
China's economy is now larger than the US economy.
KFC sues Gaddafi Burgers for calling their mascot "The Colonel"

2040s
Men's rights decreased as feminist campaigns plague the globe.
Cuba has big party, they still exist no matter what the US has done.
Tax on tea is raised to incredible new levels, no one in America notices.
NASA attempts landing a person on Mars (failed metric to US unit conversion cause massive crash)

2050s
Russia with the assistance of the ESA lands joint European-Russian astronaut team on Mars.
United Kingdom cedes northern Ireland to Ireland.
Pornography industry now bigger than US economy.

2060s
I realize how old I am getting and have a mental breakdown.
Genetically modified gorilla damages many buildings in New York.
Iceland and Greenland join to create the Greater Frozen Republic.

The Future
Facebook establishes first colony on mars.
Last edited by Kragenmoor on Mon Aug 29, 2011 11:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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-St George
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Posts: 4537
Founded: Apr 25, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby -St George » Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:11 pm

Kragenmoor wrote:United Kingdom cedes northern Ireland to Ireland.

LOLWAT.
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Cresilia
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Posts: 1070
Founded: Nov 28, 2009
Ex-Nation

Postby Cresilia » Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:52 pm

Sibirsky wrote:It's notoriously hard to make predictions of any meaning. Consider the following.

In 1900 London was the capital of the world. Europe ruled the eastern hemisphere. Europe was at peace, and enjoying unprecedented prosperity. European nations were interdependent on each other due to massive trade and investments. Very serious people claimed that war in Europe was no longer possible, due to the trade, investment and interdependence that has created. The most logical prediction of the time would be that a peaceful, prosperous Europe would rule the world.

Fast forward 20 years. Europe has been torn apart by what was thought to be impossible. Millions had died. The Austro-Hungarian, Russian, German and Ottoman empires were gone. The was ended when a million Americans intervened. The United States and Japan emerged as great powers. Russia was now dominated by socialism, and it was hard to tell if it could survive. The peace treaty imposed on Germany was a recipe for one very easy prediction. Germany would not emerge as a great military and economy power any time soon.

20 more years. Not only did Germany reemerge as a great power, it conquered France and dominated Europe. The Soviet Union, still socialist, survived and was allied with Nazi Germany. Great Britain stood alone against Germany. To any reasonable person, the war was over. Prediction? Germany would dominate Europe for the next century or more.

Fast forward another two decades. Germany had been crushed in that war. Europe was split between the US and the USSR. European empires were collapsing. The US, and the USSR were competing to become the next superpower. The US, dominated the oceans, and had a nuclear arsenal to annihilate anyone in a matter of hours. The cold war, was heating up.

Two more decades. The United States had just lost a seven year war. Not to the Soviet Union but to North Vietnam. It had been kicked out from Iran, and it's oil wells looked certain to fall into Soviet hands. The Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan, and occupied Kabul in just two days. It was surging, and the United States was in decline.

A couple of more decades. The surging Soviet Union has completely collapsed. China is now a capitalist nation. NATO has advanced it's reach into Eastern Europe.


I see where you got that from Sibirsky :/
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Sibirsky
Post Czar
 
Posts: 44940
Founded: Mar 22, 2009
Anarchy

Postby Sibirsky » Tue Aug 30, 2011 12:55 pm

Cresilia wrote:
I see where you got that from Sibirsky :/

It's a good book. If only I'd read it.
Free market capitalism, path to prosperity
Свободный рынок капитализма, путь к процветанию
IBC 7 Finalists
8 Gold, 9 Silver, 2 Bronze medals IV Summer Olympics
2 Silver, 4 Bronze medals V Winter Olympics
Golfinator Classic Champion
Scott Cup I Champions
World Bowl 11 4th Place

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