EnragedMaldivians wrote:Gdstark wrote:
That's certainly the most comic example.
Hey, would any of you who are worried about defining democracy be willing to go out on a limb and say "North Korea is not a democracy"? The reality is that you probably do value democracy. All you need to do now is live it. That's the whole point of the United Democratic Nations idea. If somebody has a better idea for increasing world peace, they need to tell everybody.
Hegemonic stability.
Also, may I reccomend the book,"from voting to violence" by Jack Snyder of Columbia University, in which he challenges the view of democratic peace theorists that increasing democratization will inevitably make the world more peaceful.
To quote a review of the Book by G.John Ikenberry, by:Marshaling an impressive body of empirical evidence, both historical and contemporary, Snyder tests his hypotheses by first looking at turning points in British, French, and German history. The following survey of the transition in the postcommunist and developing worlds also shows similar connections, concluding that recent nationalist and ethnic violence stems not from resurgent ancient hatreds but from elites struggling to maintain authority. A timely reminder that democracy can produce violence as well as peace.
While the book concedes that stable, liberal democracies are unlikely to go to war, there are historically salient precedents which demonstrate that emerging, unstable democracies can actually be detrimental to peace; especially when that instability is infused with revolutionary ideological sentiments or nationalism (see for instance late 18th century France), further exarcebated when those passions are channelled towards an external enemy or/and for the purposes of domestic consolidation (the French revolutionary wars apply here as well).
Anyways, as to your proposed "United Democratic Nations"; the way I see it (All the while appreciating the benefits of the spread of liberal democracy in the long term as a secular trend) external pressure on autocratic regimes to democratize by proxy of an international organization, is to isolate and antagonize those regimes, that the democracies need to partner and work with, if they care about their economic and security interests. China being an obvious example.
Let's examine a hypothetical case in which the UNDC has been established and the foreign policy of liberal democratic states operate by ideologically prioritizing the spread of democracy while ostracizing and putting pressure on "illegitimate" autocratic regimes to change to a "legitimate" representative one. Consider the American relationship with Saudi Arabia, in which the former relies on the latter to act as a swing producer of oil, in order to maintain a low price, in return for which the Americans provide the Sauds with military protection against other gulf states.
What would happen if the U.S policy shifted to no longer maintaining this deal, in consideration of the fact that S.A is an absoloute monarchy and follows suit by cutting off its oil imports and declaring that they will no longer maintain their bases until Saudi Arabia democratize and meet the criteria to join this nascent organization of yours?
I mean other than consolidate the locking of the Saudi-Iranian relationship into an escalating security dilemma (hey, I thought you said you were worried about Nuclear proliferation), since the Saudis no longer have guranteed American military protection, and sending the price of oil skyrocketing which would hurt the U.S economy, their consumer demand, corrolarily the economies of those countries which rely on exporting their goods to the U.S, what would it accomplish exactly?
(And if you think that actual democratization in S.A would neatly avoid such a situation, you would be ignoring the Salaafist grip over their domestic institutions and social paradigms (come to think of it any democracy here would be extremely transient anyway), which are hostile to the Shi'ite and hostile to American interests and would thus be unlikely to maintain the oil for security deal that is currently the status quo, with the consequence that they would be left to their own devices to face Iran. Anyway, the question I want to ask you is, what's the point in being ideologically commited to democracy in all instances, if the effects are pragmatically deleterious?)
Oh, I'm not too worried about overall world peace at the moment, given the trend that overall world conflict has been on the decline for a while. But I would kindly like to ask the United States to stop pushing for regime change in Syria, which I think would be a disaster for the regional peace of the Middle East (not to mention the religious minorities in Syria.)
I think the Hegemonic stability theory is nonsense. And it is unlikely I would have enjoyed living in Roman times. Or in a nation occupied by the British Empire. I think you confuse peace with domination.
As for some reviewer concluding that democracy causes violence, that's fairly nonsensical as well. There will always be bad people in the world. There will always be violence, trains blown up, race problems, and all that. But not because of democracy, but because it's an imperfect world. I don't need to here anyone tell me that democracy is not the best system unless they are willing to point out a better one. Pretty much what Churchil said...
"Many forms of Government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of government except all those other forms that have been tried from time to time."
-- Sir Winston Churchill, Hansard, November 11, 1947
And when you do find problems with democracy, here's the solution...
"The cure for the evils of democracy is more democracy."
-- Mencken, H. L.
> to isolate and antagonize those regimes
I have no doubt that dictators will sometimes be frustrated with the UDN, for no other reason than they dislike the example it sets. But think about it...at least you can sleep at night knowing you didn't betray the poor people living under these tyrants. So it's really a tradeoff. Your argument that dictators would not like the UDN is more unconvincing that you realize.
As for our support support of the Saudi princes, all I can say is that I'm ashamed as an American. Ultimately we make a lot of people justifiably angry with that undemocratic shit. Absolutely embarassing. And while I disagree with you that the politics would override the global oil market, I would do the right thing regardless.
> locking of the Saudi-Iranian relationship into an escalating security dilemma
I don't know if you're watching middle east politics these days, but it's the dictators that are on the run. No need for us to escalate anything.
> ignoring the Salaafist grip over their domestic institutions
It's my opinion that you are underestimating the S.A. people. They are discovering that they want television. They want to send their kids to school. Same stuff everybody wants. They're not looking to build new cults or new dictators. They watch the news now. IMO your concerns are unfounded in the internet age. The current crop of uprisings will show that.
> I would kindly like to ask the United States to stop pushing for regime change in Syria
Let's go with Syria as an example. I would want the UDN to help keep the internet free and alive. Fight against the IT people working for the dictator and make sure that all phone videos of soldiers beating civilions are widely published. And cell networks still work. And, although this probably goes without saying, Syria would NOT meet the UDN membership requirements. I would also imagine that the UDN would participate in a world court which would prevent the king from vacationing in UDN member nations without being handcuffed.
But let's stop there. Suppose the UDN did nothing else. No missiles, no predator drones. Would that be a foreign policy position more to your liking?
> what's the point in being ideologically commited to democracy in all instances, if the effects are pragmatically deleterious?
Of course I can't answer your question because I don't buy the premise.
gary


