Western Vale Confederacy wrote:Badassistanian wrote:The United States is bound to last another 300 years
I don't even give it 50 years at best, let alone 300 years.
In 300 years, too much will have changed for the US to still be either stable or an hegemony.
Even if American global hegemony collapses, it doesn't mean the US will fall into chaos. If the American military were reduced by 3 quarters, it would still be a country that no other country would ever attempt to invade, because 1) No one invades a country with nukes and 2) America is impossible to occupy, the civilian population is armed to the teeth and every American town would be Fallujah a thousandfold. So American sovereignty is guaranteed for a long, long time.
There could be economic decline, but even an economically weakened America is still powerful. The US will never run out of food, and has more than enough energy resources.
And I doubt that any kind of balkanization is possible, because regional cultural differences aren't that significant. The Soviet Union for example was a collective of very different countries. Estonia, Russia, and Turkmenistan just to name a few all had their own ethnic and cultural identities. America is not this way. There may be political differences between Texas and California, the religious and ethnic demographics are not quite the same, but there is a shared overall American culture and Americans tend to identify more with the entire country than their state or region.
So no, America is not going to collapse in 50 years. And don't mistake my words as inspired by some delusional patriotism, I am not a patriot at all, I say this because I understand geopolitics.