The Weather Thread- Lightning, Hail and Tornados, Oh My!

[Eahland]

https://vtdigger.org/2024/03/10/heavy-snow-knocks-out-power-in-vermont-as-another-storm-approaches/

Heavy snow knocks out power in Vermont as another storm approaches
The first round of precipitation brought up to 12 inches of dense snow primarily to the eastern slopes of the Green Mountains. A second round is expected to bring lighter, fluffier snow to the western slopes.

There was like half an inch of wet snow blanketing the ground when I got up Sunday morning, and it was raining, kind of. You know that kind of rain where you can tell it started out as snow, but melted on the way down? It had melted back to patchy coverage by the time I left for fighter practice at 1. There was more snow on the ground in Underhill, and it was kind of half-raining half-snowing there. It kept that up all afternoon, but there was less snow on the ground when I left about 5:30 than there was when I got there. By the time I got back home, the ground was bare here, and it was raining intermittently. It turned back into snow overnight, and there was about an inch on the ground yesterday morning, but it's almost all melted now. Remnants of the plow ridge at the end of the driveway, nothing else.

[San Lumen]

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news ... -i-25-i-70

Denver faces worst snowstorm in 3 years with travel disruptions, feet of snow expected in Front Range
Winter weather alerts stretch across seven states in the West, including Colorado, where a majority of the Winter Storm Warnings are in effect.

storms like this in March are not unusual.

[Orifna]

ENHANCED risk today. Here's what the SPC has to say.

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND
SOUTHERN MISSOURI...

...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes, large to very large hail, and strong to locally severe
thunderstorm gusts are expected from parts of north-central Texas
into the Midwest and Mid-South. The greatest overall severe threat
still appears to be across eastern Oklahoma into Arkansas and
southern Missouri.

...Synopsis...
In mid/upper levels, the pattern will slow considerably and become
blocky over the western CONUS, as a closed cyclone continues to
retrograde south-southwestward across the southern Great Basin and
southern CA. The associated/cut-off 500-mb low should stall near
the Imperial Valley by 12Z tomorrow, with troughing southward over
Baja and northeastward over southwestern WY. A broad swath of
southwest flow aloft will extend downstream of the cyclone, across
the southern Plains, lower/mid Mississippi Valley and lower Ohio
Valley. Weak synoptic-scale height rises are expected over much of
OK, AR, east/north TX, and LA, in response to the cyclonic
retrogression farther west.

At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a low near TOP with cold front
southwestward across northwestern OK to the TX Panhandle, and warm
front over northern portions of MO/IL/IN to central OH. A dryline
was drawn from central OK across west-central TX. The dryline is
expected to move only slightly eastward through the day, being
positioned over central/east-central to south-central OK and north-
central/central TX during mid/late afternoon. A combination of the
cold front and convective outflow will overtake the dryline over MO
and OK by late afternoon and evening, and the front should catch the
dryline over north TX overnight. Meanwhile, a sequence of
convective outflows -- already underway across parts of the Midwest
and forecast to continue through the day -- will shunt the effective
baroclinic zone and best regional convective foci south of the
synoptic warm-frontal position.

...Ozarks to north TX and Mid-South...
Scattered thunderstorms should develop as early as midday along and
east of the OK/TX dryline, and increase in coverage/intensity
through the evening, while shifting eastward into AR, perhaps
reaching parts of the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions
overnight. Supercells with tornadoes (some strong), locally very
large/destructive hail, and severe gusts will be possible this
afternoon into early evening. Activity should evolve into one or
two dominant quasi-linear segments with the threat trending more
toward wind and sporadic QLCS/embedded tornadoes with time this
evening and overnight.

Continued theta-e advection east of the dryline, amidst strong
diurnal heating, will erode MLCINH, which already did not appear
particularly strong in the 12Z OUN sounding. Modified RAOBs and
forecast soundings over eastern OK this afternoon suggest peak/
preconvective MLCAPE reaching the 2500-3000 J/kg range. Increasing
inflow-layer moisture beneath favorable deep shear (effective-shear
magnitudes 45-55 kt) yield hail over 3 inches in diameter when 2D
hail models and historical analogs are applied. The duration of the
threat, as well as the potential for tornadoes once hodographs
enlarge greatly in late afternoon/evening, will depend on the number
of relatively discrete supercells remaining. That is uncertain,
given a substantial component of deep-layer flow parallel to the
likely corridor of greatest forcing, which suggest a transition to
messier convective modes. However, at least a few tornadoes are
possible, including those with strong damage potential. Upscale
evolution to an MCS appears possible this evening into tonight,
spreading toward the Mid-South/Tennessee Valley regions.

A separate area of convection also may develop this afternoon into
early evening east of the modest EML plume, over parts of the Mid-
South/Delta region. The environment will be characterized by rich
low-level moisture (dewpoints increasing into the upper 60s to low
70s F), subtle mass confluence/convergence, and weak CINH. While
low-level flow/shear will be modest, enough mid/upper-level flow
will spread over the area to support a mix of multicell and
supercell modes, with damaging gusts, large hail possible, and a
marginal tornado threat. Forecast soundings reasonably depict a
deep troposphere occupied by MLCAPE increasing into the 2000-3000
J/kg range, and around 30-40 kt effective-shear magnitudes.
Ultimately, the main area of convection from the west and northwest
also may shift into this area overnight, overtaking any remaining
warm-sector activity and bringing severe probabilities as well.

...Midwest/Ohio Valley region...
Bands of thunderstorms with trailing, progressive outflows are
ongoing across portions of IL/MO. This activity should continue
offering sporadic severe gusts and isolated potential for an
embedded tornado or two, while moving rapidly east-northeastward
this morning. Severe-gust and tornado threats may focus best along
the warm front and leading outflow boundary. Those boundaries are
where low-level convergence/vorticity will be maximized. However,
severe potential also may be tempered regionally by the early-
morning instability minimum in the boundary layer. See SPC severe
thunderstorm watches 39-40 and related mesoscale discussions for
near-term details. Some re-intensification of the combined complex
may occur in parts of IN and perhaps KY today, as it encounters a
plume of diurnal and warm-advection-related destabilization, before
outrunning that plume.

Farther west and southwest across portions of eastern/southeastern
MO and up the lower Ohio Valley, a conditionally concerning threat
is apparent for tornadoes, large to very large hail and severe wind
from another potential round of convection this afternoon and
evening. Where the environment is undisturbed by (or can recover at
least mostly from) morning convection, strong deep-layer shear and
favorable moisture/destabilization will support potential for long-
lasting supercells and bowing clusters. Along and within an ill-
defined distance north of the residual, diurnally destabilized
outflow boundary, enlarged low-level hodographs and maximized
boundary-layer shear/vorticity should concentrate tornado potential.
At this time, however, with
1. Outflow still being newly produced, and
2. Its depth/character not well-resolved yet by higher-resolution
convective guidance, mesoscale uncertainties over the position and
character of the boundary remain too great to assign larger
unconditional risk at this point. A focused corridor of enhanced-
level probabilities may need to be introduced once the timing and
location of the near-boundary threat become clearer.


Fun weather starts now.

[Trump Almighty]

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/denver-boulder-colorado-west-snowstom-winter-storm-i-25-i-70

Denver faces worst snowstorm in 3 years with travel disruptions, feet of snow expected in Front Range
Winter weather alerts stretch across seven states in the West, including Colorado, where a majority of the Winter Storm Warnings are in effect.

storms like this in March are not unusual.

In March? I mean, the Rockies are very beautiful. So beautiful, the other mountains are jealous. But at the same time, I would never live in a place where it snows half the year and is too cold to wear a suit. And playing golf is much better than snowboarding and skiing. This is why Mar-A-Lago is more my speed

[Farnhamia]

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/denver-boulder-colorado-west-snowstom-winter-storm-i-25-i-70

Denver faces worst snowstorm in 3 years with travel disruptions, feet of snow expected in Front Range
Winter weather alerts stretch across seven states in the West, including Colorado, where a majority of the Winter Storm Warnings are in effect.

storms like this in March are not unusual.

In March? I mean, the Rockies are very beautiful. So beautiful, the other mountains are jealous. But at the same time, I would never live in a place where it snows half the year and is too cold to wear a suit. And playing golf is much better than snowboarding and skiing. This is why Mar-A-Lago is more my speed

If you actually knew something about the US, Donald, you'd know that winters along the Front Range can be quite mild and frequently without much snow. What snow we get in December, January, and February is often sweepable, no shovels needed. March and November are the snowiest months.

[Corrian]

Meanwhile we're about to have painfully pleasant weather for the next few days. An unusually early 70 degree day.

[The Xenopolis Confederation]

Meanwhile we're about to have painfully pleasant weather for the next few days. An unusually early 70 degree day.

Hooray for global warming.

[Urine Town]

Meanwhile we're about to have painfully pleasant weather for the next few days. An unusually early 70 degree day.

Hooray for global warming.

This weather is great, especially here in Illinois (not as warm today, but we had back to back 60* for the past few days). Being said, the wildfires back in February down in Texas prove that warm winters are still kinda-sorta-not the best thing in the world

[San Lumen]

https://abcnews.go.com/US/3-dead-after- ... =108137288

3 dead in Ohio after storms, tornadoes tear through Midwest

At least 14 tornadoes were confirmed across seven states.

[Jerzylvania]

Meanwhile we're about to have painfully pleasant weather for the next few days. An unusually early 70 degree day.

Hooray for global warming.

Until you're regularly having tornadoes every spring for the first time in recorded history. The cheers subside then.

[San Lumen]

https://www.9news.com/article/weather/w ... 553f93454a

Colorado mountain neighborhood digs out from 5 feet of snow

[Bayshire]

It's been a mix of rain and snow here in Northern Arizona. We picked up like 2 almost three inches of super wet snow yesterday and about an inch today.

[San Lumen]

https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-w ... st/1632210

Clipper storm to unload snow in Minneapolis, Chicago and eye Northeast

[Eahland]

We got another couple inches of snow yesterday. It's been melting and sliding off the roof today. Supposed to be back down in the teens Thursday night, and snow again this weekend, then back up in the 50s and raining by next week. I really wish it would make up its mind whether we're going to have spring or not. It's been doing this shit since November, and it confuses the plants.

[USS Monitor]

We got another couple inches of snow yesterday. It's been melting and sliding off the roof today. Supposed to be back down in the teens Thursday night, and snow again this weekend, then back up in the 50s and raining by next week. I really wish it would make up its mind whether we're going to have spring or not. It's been doing this shit since November, and it confuses the plants.

Yep, my plants are sprouting, but we got another round of cold weather and now I have little tulip and crocus tips sticking out of the snow.

[San Lumen]

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news ... storm-snow

Minneapolis, Milwaukee to get blasted by snow from fast-moving winter storm zipping across northern US
The winter weather threat comes after the storm first impacted parts of the West and northern Rockies Wednesday, including Glasgow in Montana, which set a daily snowfall record after picking up 2.8 inches.

[Nlarhyalo]

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/minneapolis-milwaukee-midwest-great-lakes-winter-storm-snow

Minneapolis, Milwaukee to get blasted by snow from fast-moving winter storm zipping across northern US
The winter weather threat comes after the storm first impacted parts of the West and northern Rockies Wednesday, including Glasgow in Montana, which set a daily snowfall record after picking up 2.8 inches.

I get that the High Plains are pretty dry but I'm surprised that 2.8 inches is Glasgow's daily record for how far north it is. We're supposed to get 8 inches in South Dakota, the in-laws in ND are getting 20 though. A welcome storm after an unusually dry winter.

[USS Monitor]

Supposed to get 2in of snow tonight... It's not that much, but it still sucks for my plants that are trying to grow.

[Eahland]

Supposed to get 2in of snow tonight... It's not that much, but it still sucks for my plants that are trying to grow.

Count yourself lucky; they're calling for 7"–18" here, depending on the source of the forecast.

[USS Monitor]

Supposed to get 2in of snow tonight... It's not that much, but it still sucks for my plants that are trying to grow.

Count yourself lucky; they're calling for 7"–18" here, depending on the source of the forecast.

Oof.

[Corrian]

Remember when the Atlantic was record warm last year?

Well its already on track as much higher than last year

[San Lumen]

https://www.news10.com/news/albany-comm ... snowstorm/

Albany, New York sees rare March snowstorm.

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news ... inneapolis

Blizzard Warnings issued as major spring snowstorm could dump over foot of snow from Dakotas to Wisconsin

This is not usual in the midwest. Snow has been recorded in the Dakotas into late April.

[New-Minneapolis]

Well, it took until March for Minneapolis to really get some snow. I have a bad feeling that this is not the last of it, and we're going to make up for it by getting snow in May! FUCK!

[San Lumen]

https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-w ... ns/1634485

Record snowfall in Minneapolis as massive storm brings up to 24 inches to Northern Plains

[Orifna]

Rainy day down in Florida today, with a marginal risk of severe storms as well. Pollen pods continue their attack on just about our entire house. Turns out my body doesn't like the pollen, and my feet have had some irritation issues because of all the time I spend in the backyard. Hurricane season is yet to begin, and we'll be covering that, most likely.

Rain and thunderstorms for all of the East Coast, as reported by the WPC, for today and tomorrow. Heavy rain and potential minor flooding possible for Northern FL and eastern NC.

Line of low pressure zones, stretching from out in the Gulf of Mexico to North Carolina. We may want to keep an eye on the low that's out in the gulf, because it could develop into a disturbance. I estimate a very low chance though, because I do not see much circulating at all out there, and the only fully clouded spots are the lows.