Exalted Inquellian State wrote:Atheris wrote:Unlikely, but possible. Hungary would object to having its Balkan territory taken away, but it wouldn't be a major problem. Hungary would lose their shit if Transylvania was taken from it, though.
Germany didn't lose its eastern puppets, though. Ukraine, the Baltic Duchy, Belarus, etc. were kept as independent after WW1. They were taken by the Soviets, who knew Germany didn't have the power to face them. If the German Revolution still happens ITTL and Versailles restricts Germany's military, then the USSR will still take Germany's puppets.
Alright, so Hungary would object if all of Transylvania would be a federal subject. What about just south Transylvania?
They'd still probably rise in revolt.
Regarding the Amiens one, Germany basically lost the east at Versailles. Poland was recognized as a sovereign and a republic which took land from it's masters. The other puppets Germany couldn't maintain after loosing Poland. In this timeline however, the German revolution would probably fail if it happened at all, since the fleet wouldn't be on suicidal orders at the time of the ceasefire. My guess is it takes months to get the French army in proper supply before a new offensive, by the end of which there is little ground exchanged and both sides are tired. The Ottomans, however, are defeated, and loose even more land, with Bulgaria later occupying Thrace and Constantinople. Austria Hungary collapses to after loosing to the Italians, making them sign a ceasefire. By fall 1919 both armies would be mutinying, the French would be near revolt, and the Germans would be starving. In the end, they meet in Bern to sign a treaty. Germany cedes Alsace-Lorraine to France, and Togoland is split between France and Britain. The east remain in the German Sphere, and are allowed to "secure" Galicia, since Austria is in a civil war. Italy gains what it did OTL(though they probably start occupying other lands in Austria) and Austria itself gains Montenegro and puppets Serbia. There's a chance Germany will gain a small part of Poland. Bulgaria gets it's land from Serbia and Greece, along with lands from Turkey(till the republic comes, that it). None of the armies are reduced, except the German navy has to be half the British, and everyone pays war reparations. The league of Nations is made, and declares Galicia a Ukrainian and Polish mandate. Overall, most sides achieve most of their goals and in the end will likely gain a surplus of land if they lost any. Thoughts on what happens next?
The DNVP or something similar rises in Germany; the NSDAP isn't coming to power without a Bavarian People's Republic. The Turkish War of Independence would still happen, and Turkey would gain its land back. Why would Bulgaria gain any land from Turkey? Bulgaria was a Central Power, and allied with the Ottoman Empire and Germany. If Italy gains Dalmatia, then there's a chance that we won't see Mussolini in '22 and instead see the rise of the socialist/communist parties.