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A System For Stats Players

A place to spoil daily issues for those who haven't had them yet, snigger at typos, and discuss ideas for new ones.
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Independence Hill
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Founded: Apr 03, 2018
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A System For Stats Players

Postby Independence Hill » Thu Mar 17, 2022 11:11 am

I made this set of equations, except the one for the exchange rate, to get a better insight as how the stats move from day to day in relation to each other.

I've tested this system on many nations (a few hundred literally) and have found that none have exposed any vulnerabilities in it. It's obvious that I'm a stats player, and I'm asking others to take a look at it and let me know what they think.
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IQ: (√((HDI + Intelligence + Health) - (Ignorance) x Productivity Score) / 100) + ECS = IQ

Example:

(HDI + Intelligence + Health) - (Ignorance) = z

z * Productivity Score = (y)

√(y) / 100 = x

x + Economic Classification Score = IQ.

65.49 + 40.99 + 4.06 = 110.54

110.54 - 4.78 = 105.76

105.76 x 35,000 = 3,701,600

√(3,701,600) = 1,923.9542614106

1,923.9542614106 / 100 = 19.2395426141

19.2395426141 + 85 = 104.2395426141

Economic Productivity Rating: This is used in an equation that tracks the exchange rate of the Universal Treasury Note. A value is attached to whichever classification the economy is given. Example: Frightening = 50,000 and is the maximum. The scoring for this is inspired by NS Economic Formulae, but not identical. Scoring is set by the United States of Independence Hill but not far off from NS Economic Formulae scoring.

Average Cost of an Automobile: (Automobile Manufacturing x Productivity Score) / 404,000,000 x Average Income of the Poor

Cost of a Gallon of Gas: √(Price of Oil per barrel + total gallons in supply * EPR / 404,000,000,000)

If the price per barrel is less than 50, move the decimal of your answer one space to the left

Cost of a Gallon of Diesel, Jet Fuel, Liquid Petroleum Gases, and Heavy Fuel Oil: √(Price of Oil per barrel + total gallons in supply * EPR / 404,000,000,000)

If the price per barrel of oil is less than 50, move the decimal of your answer one space to the left

If the total supply of Diesel, Jet Fuel, Liquid Petroleum Gases, and Heavy Fuel Oil exceeds 1 billion gallons, move the decimal of your answer to calculating gas and other fuels two places to the left.

Average Cost of an Acre of land: √((Food Quality + Agriculture) x Income Equality) = cost per acre of land

Acres of Undeveloped Land for Sale: Population/Avg Cost of An Acre of Land = AULS (Acres of Undeveloped Land for Sale)

Average Cost of a House: ((Timberwood Chipping + Manufacturing + Scientific Advancement) x Productivity Score) / 404,000,000 x Average Income of the Poor + Average Income = Average Price of a House.

Average Cost of Rent Per Month:

poorest 10% income x avg income = x

x/average cost of a house = y

√(y) = z multiplied by a score from below-

Frightening (x1.75)
All Consuming (x1.50)
Powerhouse (x1.25)
Thriving (x1)

Example applied: Economy = Thriving

Exchange rate is []1.00 = $2.84

35,475.61 x 86,654.57 = 3,074,123,730.0377

3,074,123,730.0377 / 129,185.75 = 23,796.15189785019

√(23,796.15189785019) = []154.2600139305393 ($438.0984395627317)

[]154.2600139305393 x 1 = []154.2600139305393/Month's Rent

Unemployment Rate:

(100 - Employment) / Black Market = (X + Unemployment Score) as a percentage

100 - 81 = 19

19 / 217.8 (Blackmarket converted into a decimal) = 0.088

√(0.088) + 2 = 2.30%

Number of Barrels of Fuel Oil Produced in One NS Year (one Earth Day):

(Mining+ Scientific Advancement + Automobile manufacturing + Agriculture) - (Environmental beauty) x Economic Productivity Score

Price of Fuel Oil per Barrel: Square root of Number of Barrels in supply / classification score

√(128,012,850) / 85 =

[]133.11 per barrel ($576.37/barrel of fuel oil)

For every 250,000,000 barrels produced, add 100 to your classification score.
Example: √(1,000,000,000) / 485 = []65.20/barrel

Import/Export by Industry

(Capital 'M' for major gap importer/exporter, lowercase 'm' for minor gap)

What we import from the rest of the world: Arms Manufacturing (M), Cheese (m), Insurance (m), Trout (m)

What we export to the rest of the world: Automobiles (M), Basket Weaving (m), Beverages (M), Book Publishing (M), Furniture Restoration (m), Gambling (m), Information Technology (M), Mining(M), Pizza (M), Retail (M), Timber Wood Chipping (M).

The wider the gap, the more we import or export that particular industry. Nations with a high-value currency should become a net-importer. Some of the items we export have very slim gaps and are not worth the effort in strengthening. Because we have a high-value currency, we should be shedding these slim gap industries and focusing on ones with much wider gaps.

(Highest Value x Lowest Value) / (Highest Value - Lowest Value) = Import or Export. If your trends screen says your industry is higher than your region or the rest of the world, you export. If your value is lower than the world and/or your region, you import. The formula I gave you calculates how much you're importing or exporting.

Balance of Trade: How much more or less are we importing than exporting...

Defense Missile Production & Efficiency:

√((Defense forces + Information Technology + Arms Manufacturing) / Scientific Advancement)

Example:

√((1684.71 + 11,238.04 + 4269.52) / 169.58)

Applying the square root gives you the number of rockets that can be made in one NS year.

10.07 Defense Missiles/NS Year

Without applying the square root, you get the percentage of how efficient the defense missiles are at deflecting a threat from the air.

101.38% efficiency.

Tank Production & Efficiency: √((Defense forces + Information Technology + Arms Manufacturing + Automobile Manufacturing) / Scientific Advancement)

Minimum Wage: Avg income of the poor divided by Public Education (if public education value is zero or a negative number, no minimum wage is established. Nations with high minimum wage may also have a high inflation rate, but more experimentation is required to know for sure.)

Average Exchange Rate: Exchange rate averaged between members of the region, values are taken from NSDossier.

Absolute Exchange Rate: √(GRP Per Capita * EPR / 404,000,000) This is going to be the square root of (GRP per capita multiplied by the Economic Productivity Rating and then divided by 404,000,000).

Credit Available: (Consumer spending + Savings and investment) - Money Supply = x multiplied by credit score listed in the chart below measured in billions

Credit Per Capita: (Total Credit Available / Population) (How much credit is available to every man, woman, and child)

Credit Utilization: (Total Credit Available / Total Credit Per Capita) (How much you're using of your available credit)

Interest: Interest rate percentage of total credit utilization) (How much borrowing the money costs)

Consumer Debt: (Interest accrued + Total Credit Utilization) (How much of what was borrowed plus interest is paid)

Consumer Debt Paid: Consumer Debt - Total Credit Defaulted

Total Credit Defaulted: √(Black Market / Unemployment) (Applied as a percentage. This is how much of the consumer debt didn't get paid and rolled over into the next cycle. Unless the economy expands to the point of paying the entire consumer debt, this amount will keep rolling over and getting bigger as time goes on. The federal government is well within its right to either pay the debt for the consumer using the surplus or letting the debt bubble get bigger.)

Consumer Debt Carried Over: This will be total credit defaulted + its cycle's interest rate. This total is carried over to the next cycle and is subtracted from Credit Available, as this must be paid back to restore the full potential of available credit.

Interest Rate: Keep in mind that I can only have an impact on this data via answering issues. I can only read what the system will tell me. So, having said that, you would take the interest rate I'm about to show you how to calculate and you would subtract the percentage from credit spending. You see, credit spending includes how much is paid in interest. If we can calculate interest, we can find out how much of the total credit spending accounts for consumers buying things vs how much is paid in interest.

It seems that wealthier nations pay higher interest rates, but have much lower default rates. The reverse also happens where poorer nations pay lower interest rates but credit is less available and default rates can be wild.

√(Total Credit Available / Unemployment Rate)

√(600.050 / 3.03)

For our regional nation, our interest rate would be 14.07%

Inflation: Subtract the starting date exchange rate from the end date exchange rate and divide by the starting date exchange rate. Multiply by 100 and your answer is the rate as a percentage.

Federal Income Tax: Set by the United States of Independence Hill and applies to every citizen of every State in the nation.

State Income Tax: Each member of the United States of Independence Hill region is classified by the Federal Government as a State and their taxes apply only to the citizens of their State.

Average Income: NationStates Trends.

Consumer Spending: GDP or GRP divided by the exchange rate, add population.
Example:

GRP = []2.775 Quadrillion ($8.05 Q)

Exchange rate = $2.90

(2.775 / 2.90) + Population = 0.9568965517241379 + .00028791 (Since the population is in billions, you'll want to move the decimal so it coincides with the scale of quadrillions being to the left of the decimal.

0.95718446 (Almost a quadrillion Universal Treasury Notes) Or to simplify []957.184 trillion. ($2.776 Q)

GRP: GDP of all members added together

GRP per capita: NS Trends (GRP / Population)

Federal Budget: Percentage of GDP listed in the Government section applied GRP.

Federal Spending: This can also be found in the Government section, It's the raw number expressed instead of the percentage.

Surplus/Deficit: This can be found by subtracting Federal Spending from Federal Budget. A positive number, of course, is a surplus. Negative means deficit.

Money Supply: GDP or GRP minus 50 Trillion. NS Trends

Savings & Investment: GDP or GRP minus Consumer Spending.

Velocity of Money: GDP or GRP divided by Money Supply. NS Trends

Joseph Stockdale Business Index: Combines values of all industries minus arms and automobile manufacturing in NS Trends.

Erickson Manufacturing Index: Value of manufacturing in NS Trends.

Varnacki Agricultural Index: Value of agricultural output in NS Trends.

How it works: Fill out the order form below. We update the stock ticker every day and after someone buys or sells a stock. You cannot buy and sell the same stock on the same NS Year (Earth Day). Price of stocks are determined by √(how many points total in the market)/π = price per share. Buying shares drives the price up. For example, if someone buys 100,000 shares, we divide 100,000 by the price per share, add it to how many points total are in the market, find its square root, and then divide by pi - √((shares purchased/price per share) + how many points total in the market)/π. Add your answer to the total number of points in any market. Those same number of points that were added to this date's market measurement will be added every time you measure to account for the percentage of share value owned the a stockholder.

As the markets gain or lose value, of course, so will the investments.

Economic Productivity, Classification, Unemployment Score, Rent Multiplier, & Credit Score: (Productivity / Classification / *Unemployment Score / Rent Multiplier/ Credit Score)

Frightening = 50,000 / 100 / +2 / (x1.75) / x5

All-Consuming = 45,000 / 95 / +2.50 / (x1.50) / x4.75

Powerhouse = 40,000 / 90 / +3.00 / (x1.25) / x4.50

Thriving = 35,000 / 85 / +3.50 / NA / x4.25

Very Strong = 30,000 / 80 / +4.00/ NA / x4.00

Strong = 25,000 / 75 / +4.50/ NA / x3.75

Good = 20,000 / 70 / +5.00 / NA / x3.50

Fair = 15,000 / 65 / +6.00 / NA / x3.25

Reasonable = 10,000 / 60 / +7.00 / NA / x3.00

Developing = 5,000 / 55 / +8.00 / NA / x2.75

Struggling = 3,000 / 50 / +9.00 / NA / x1.25

Weak = 1,000 / 45 / +10.00 / NA / x.75

Fragile = 500 / 40 / +12.00 / NA / x.25

Basket Case = 250 / 35 / +14.00 / NA / x0.075

Imploded = 100 / 30 / +16.00 / NA / x0

(*Lower Unemployment Scores Are Better)


Default Rates and Credit Ratings

1-2% AAA
3-5% AA
6-8% A
10-12% BBB
13-16% BB
17-19% B
20-22% CCC
23-25% CC
26-28% C
29% and up, D

Brought to you by Blake Black, Department of the Treasury, and Rodney Lesson, graphic designer.
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Last edited by Independence Hill on Thu Mar 17, 2022 11:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
NS stats are canon. We are not a copy of the United States of America, just a nation with American elements. The large star in the middle of our flag is to symbolize the executive nation as a uniting force while the crown above is to symbolize that this executive nation also has central banking powers. We are still a democratic republic, with a president, two houses of congress, and a judicial branch.

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