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NS Stats - Trends, Correlations, Anti-Correlations, Oh My!

A place to spoil daily issues for those who haven't had them yet, snigger at typos, and discuss ideas for new ones.

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Trotterdam
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Posts: 9236
Founded: Jan 12, 2012
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Trotterdam » Sat May 09, 2020 1:21 am

The Arms Manufacturing industry includes weapons used locally, not just exports.

So nations with high Defense Forces but low Arms Manufacturing would either need to import most of their weapons, or just have very primitive militaries that rely on poorly-equipped human wave tactics (both are plausible). Nations with low Defense Forces but high Arms Manufacturing sell their weapons to either civilians or other nations.

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Valentine Z
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Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Valentine Z » Sat May 09, 2020 1:25 am

Ahh, that's an interesting one, thanks! My assumption was that it was just weapons exported, not the ones that the country uses as well. Hmm!

I should probably do more research on these topics as I go on. ^^ It's a bit hard for me to guess from face-value of these stats on what they could imply, but it's always good to get more experienced input. :3


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If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
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Zentata
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Founded: Nov 10, 2019
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Zentata » Sat May 09, 2020 1:32 pm

While this is interesting as always, the first sentence in the post says "safety" not "defense forces". Now that would be an interesting comparison! Can't wait to see more!
Last edited by Zentata on Sat May 09, 2020 1:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Semper Thalassia!

I'm the current WAD, Former MoC, Former Deputy MoR, and Former Deputy MoC of Thalassia.

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Valentine Z
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Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Valentine Z » Sat May 09, 2020 7:37 pm

Zentata wrote:While this is interesting as always, the first sentence in the post says "safety" not "defense forces". Now that would be an interesting comparison! Can't wait to see more!

Ahh right, I made a mistake from carrying it over from the previous post. I'll fix that soon, thank you for pointing it out! ^^

And thanks for your support! :D


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

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Valentine Z
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Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

#2-21: Civil Rights (Y) vs. Economic Freedom (X)

Postby Valentine Z » Tue May 12, 2020 5:12 pm

For theses three stats - Civil Rights, Economic Freedom, Political Freedom, we will be trying something... special, when we are looking at these values. I might perhaps use absolute values instead of mere ranks, which in hindsight I should have done it rather a long time ago. We will get back to these stats soon enough and with better metrics! Anyway, let's get started!

Civil Rights (Y) vs. Economic Freedom (X) is a go!

Linear-Linear:
Image


Log-Log:
Image


Linear-Log:
Image


Log-Linear:
Image


The linear regression trend is 0.302279 x + 5.61083, 6 significant figures. Based on the data fed into the graph, there seems to be a very, very small positive correlation there. As the Economic Freedoms increase, so shall the Civil Rights. However, realistically speaking, the two stats do not seem to be related to each other in any way. Sure, there is the "Freedom for one lead to another" but it's not too obvious.

Of note is that Economic Freedom, as discussed earlier, tends to have a "forbidden zone", specifically around -10 < EF < 0 mark.

Trends and exceptions?

High Civil Rights (> 80) and High Economic Freedom (> 50): 708 nations.
These nations enjoy both the civil rights and economic freedom, perhaps even down to the extent whereby it gets anarchic. In some cases, it might not be as beneficial to have high freedoms for both attributes, as it becomes a tad lawless. Of note is that the number might be bloated thanks to me adding the puppet nations from Two Letters, a region of puppets with a lot of Anarchy nations.

Low Civil Rights (< 20) and Low Economic Freedom (< -50): 875 nations.
The opposite of the spectrum. A paradise for heavy-handed Communists and Dictatorships alike, this is where capitalist dreams come to die, and civil rights is a very, very dirty word.

High Civil Rights (> 80) and Low Economic Freedom (< -50): 517 nations.
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise, perhaps? Or even a Democratic Socialism? These nations enjoy a lot of civil rights, but when they go into business, you bet you are monitored to the inch of your life.

Low Civil Rights (< 20) and High Economic Freedom (> 50): 1278 nations.
For those nations that might not value the rights of a person more than the might and power of money. You are free to open a business in any way, shape, or form, but... you might not have a lot of personal freedom outside of your office.

-----

Due to the nature of these stats with a lot of ties, I decided to look at these extremes closely:

Max Civil Rights (100), Max Economic Freedom (100): 31 nations.
Min Civil Rights (0), Min Economic Freedom (-100): 6 nations.
Max Civil Rights (100), Min Economic Freedom (-100): 0 nations.
Min Civil Rights (0), Max Economic Freedom (100): 0 nations.
Last edited by Valentine Z on Tue May 12, 2020 6:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

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Valentine Z
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Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

#2-22: Political Freedom (Y) vs. Economic Freedom (X)

Postby Valentine Z » Tue May 12, 2020 6:28 pm

I will also do this quickly now, since... these two trends tend to share the similar mechanics. Let's get to it, los, los, los!

Political Freedom (Y) vs. Economic Freedom (X) is a go!

Linear-Linear:
Image


Log-Log:
Image


Linear-Log:
Image


Log-Linear:
Image


The linear regression trend is 0.358190 x + 2.83482, 6 significant figures. Based on the data fed into the graph, there seems to be a very, very small positive correlation there. As the Economic Freedoms increase, so shall the Political Freedom. However, realistically speaking, the two stats do not seem to be related to each other in any way. Sure, there is the "Freedom for one lead to another" but it's not too obvious. There is, however, the implied tie between Politics and Business, so we shall look at these as we move on.

Of note is that Economic Freedom, as discussed earlier, tends to have a "forbidden zone", specifically around -10 < EF < 0 mark.

Trends and exceptions?

High Political Freedom (> 80) and High Economic Freedom (> 50): 893 nations.
These nations enjoy both the political freedom and economic freedom, perhaps even down to the extent whereby it gets anarchic. There's no limit for either one of these anymore.

Low Political Freedom (< 20) and Low Economic Freedom (< -50): 1375 nations.
The opposite of the spectrum. You don't have a say in who you want your leader to be, and you cannot raise a business. Either that, or you will be forced to work in one of the state's businesses and jobs, so... depending on how you look at it, it might either be a good or a bad thing.

High Political Freedom (> 80) and Low Economic Freedom (< -50): 749 nations.
Perhaps a Democratic Socialism? These nations enjoy a lot of political freedom, except in business. For business, you have no say and businesses have no political influence.

Low Political Freedom (< 20) and High Economic Freedom (> 50): 2341 nations.
For those nations that might not value the rights of a person more than the might and power of money. You are free to open a business in any way, shape, or form, but... you might not have a lot of political say. Note that you might still have a chance at Civil Rights, but politically? Nope. This could be RL Singapore, if you consider the economic freedom to be rather high. It's easy to open a business here but there are just some limits, and inspections to make sure that you are up to standard.

-----

Due to the nature of these stats with a lot of ties, I decided to look at these extremes closely:

Max Political Freedom (100), Max Economic Freedom (100): 44 nations.
Min Political Freedom (0), Min Economic Freedom (-100): 12 nations.
Max Political Freedom (100), Min Economic Freedom (-100): 0 nations.
Min Political Freedom (0), Max Economic Freedom (100): 0 nations.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

User avatar
Valentine Z
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Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

#2-23 - Civil Rights (X), Political Freedom (Y), Eco Freedom

Postby Valentine Z » Wed May 13, 2020 10:12 am

So.. this is a rather impromptu one, which I will do it on a deeper level, but just for those that wants to see all three freedoms in one chart, here you go!

Civil Rights (X), Political Freedom (Y), Economic Freedom (Z, color scale).

Linear-Linear-Linear:
Image


Linear-Linear-Log:
Image


Log-Log-Linear:
Image


Log-Log-Log:
Image


I decided to use log for the Color Scale, since it seems suited for the Economic Freedom scale. In favor over precise and diverse colors, it simply "squashes" EF into not free (red) or free (blue).

High Civil Rights (X > 80), High Political Freedom (Y > 80), High Economic Freedom (Z > 50): 459 nations.

High Civil Rights (X > 80), High Political Freedom (Y > 80), Low Economic Freedom (Z < -50): 148 nations.

Low Civil Rights (X < 20), Low Political Freedom (Y < 20), High Economic Freedom (Z > 50): 507 nations.

Low Civil Rights (X < 20), Low Political Freedom (Y < 20), Low Economic Freedom (Z < -50): 770 nations.

High Civil Rights (X > 80), Low Political Freedom (Y < 20), High Economic Freedom (Z > 50): 8 nations.

High Civil Rights (X > 80), Low Political Freedom (Y < 20), Low Economic Freedom (Z < -50): 3 nations.

Low Civil Rights (X < 20), High Political Freedom (Y > 80), High Economic Freedom (Z > 50): 5 nations.

Low Civil Rights (X < 20), High Political Freedom (Y > 80), Low Economic Freedom (Z < -50): 2 nations.
Last edited by Valentine Z on Thu May 14, 2020 12:35 am, edited 1 time in total.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

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Zentata
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Founded: Nov 10, 2019
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Zentata » Thu May 14, 2020 7:50 am

That last combination is strange. It's like a democratic dictatorship taken to an extreme.
Semper Thalassia!

I'm the current WAD, Former MoC, Former Deputy MoR, and Former Deputy MoC of Thalassia.

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Valentine Z
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Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Valentine Z » Thu May 14, 2020 9:49 am

Zentata wrote:That last combination is strange. It's like a democratic dictatorship taken to an extreme.

Oh, it indeed is. It seems like... It's a dictatorship, but you at least get a choice on who you want to be in office. But it just so happens that they are controlling in one way or another. :P


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

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Trotterdam
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Posts: 9236
Founded: Jan 12, 2012
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Trotterdam » Thu May 14, 2020 1:08 pm

Remember, the official game name for such governments is Tyranny by Majority.

I see it as enforced conformity. Any behavior that deviates from the average is persecuted. Thing is, everyone deviates from the average in some way or another. (On average, people aren't average, but rather one standard deviation from the average.)

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Valentine Z
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Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Valentine Z » Thu May 14, 2020 1:49 pm

Trotterdam wrote:Remember, the official game name for such governments is Tyranny by Majority.

I see it as enforced conformity. Any behavior that deviates from the average is persecuted. Thing is, everyone deviates from the average in some way or another. (On average, people aren't average, but rather one standard deviation from the average.)

Ahh, that! Seems like a step close to Anarchy, but of course, not an anarchy. It just so happens that you will be swarmed and overwhelmed by the collective / majority, as the title suggests. I wonder if I should make a correlation with Religiousness soon.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

User avatar
Valentine Z
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Valentine Z » Tue May 26, 2020 9:57 am

Third (this time for real) Data Trawl is here!

The third data trawl is here! More nations, more regions, and more importantly... thanks to a lot of you, more stats! ^^ Other than NS Stats, now the Third Trawl boasts Government Expenditure, Economy Type, and Causes of Deaths.

Administration
Defence
Education
Environment
Healthcare
Commerce
International Aid
Law and Order
Public Transport
Social Equality
Spirituality
Welfare

The 13th "Expenditure" is the one without a government - 0% for all categories because of the Complete Abolition of Government.


Black Market
Government
Industry (Private Industry)
Public (State-Owned Industry)


Accident
Acts of God
Animal Attack
Bungee Jumping
Capital Punishment
Cancer
Disappearance
Exposure
Heart Disease
Involuntary Euthanasia
Lost in Wilderness
Malnourishment
Murder
Nuclear Spill
Old Age
Ritual Sacrifice
Scurvy
Space Shuttle Mishap
Suicide while in Police Custody
Sunburn
Vat Leakage
War
Work


civil rights
civil rights rank
economy
economy rank
political freedoms
political freedoms rank
population
population rank
wealth gaps
wealth gaps rank
death rate
death rate
compassion
compassion rank
eco-friendliness
eco-friendliness rank
social conservatism
social conservatism rank
nudity
nudity rank
industry: automobile manufacturing
industry: automobile manufacturing rank
industry: cheese exports
industry: cheese exports rank
industry: basket weaving
industry: basket weaving rank
industry: informtion technology
industry: informtion technology rank
industry: pizza delivery
industry: pizza delivery rank
industry: trout fishing
industry: trout fishing rank
industry: arms manufacturing
industry: arms manufacturing rank
sector: agriculture
sector: agriculture rank
industry: beverage sales
industry: beverage sales rank
industry: timber woodchipping
industry: timber woodchipping rank
industry: mining
industry: mining rank
industry: insurance
industry: insurance rank
industry: furniture restoration
industry: furniture restoration rank
industry: retail
industry: retail rank
industry: book publishing
industry: book publishing rank
industry: gambling
industry: gambling rank
sector: manufacturing
sector: manufacturing rank
government size
government size rank
welfare
welfare rank
public healthcare
public healthcare rank
law enforcement
law enforcement rank
business subsidization
business subsidization rank
religiousness
religiousness rank
income equality
income equality rank
niceness
niceness rank
rudeness
rudeness rank
intelligence
intelligence rank
ignorance
ignorance
political apathy
political apathy rank
health
health rank
cheerfulness
cheerfulness
weather
weather rank
compliance
compliance
safety
safety rank
lifespan
lifespan rank
ideological radicality
ideological radicality rank
defense forces
defense forces rank
pacifism
pacifism rank
economic freedom
economic freedom rank
taxation
taxation rank
freedom from taxation
freedom from taxation rank
corruption
corruption rank
integrity
integrity
authoritarianism
authoritarianism rank
youth rebelliousness
youth rebelliousness rank
culture
culture rank
employment
employment rank
public transport
public transport rank
tourism
tourism rank
weaponization
weaponization rank
recreational drug use
recreational drug use rank
obesity
obesity rank
secularism
secularism
environmental beauty
environmental beauty rank
charmlessness
charmlessness
influence
influence rank
world assembly endorsements
world assembly endorsements rank
averageness
averageness rank
human development index
human development index rank
primitiveness
primitiveness rank
scientific advancement
scientific advancement rank
inclusiveness
inclusiveness rank
average income
average income rank
average income of poor
average income of poor rank
average income of rich
average income of rich rank
public education
public education rank
economic output
economic output rank
crime
crime rank
foreign aid
foreign aid rank
black market
black market rank
residency
residency rank
survivors
survivors rank
zombies
zombies rank
dead
dead rank
percentage zombies
percentage zombies rank
average disposable income
average disposable income rank
deck value
deck value rank


There are also derived stats, such as Absolute Government Expenditure, which I would like to term it as: Percentage Government Expenditure * (Average Income - Average Disposable Income).
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Administration",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Defence",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Education",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Environment",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Healthcare",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Commerce",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: International Aid",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Law and Order",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Public Transport",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Social Equality",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Spirituality",
"Absolute Government Expenditure: Welfare"


In the same vein and fashion, there are also Absolute Market Sector and Absolute Number of Deaths. For the Market Sector, I will assume that it's Market Sector % * Economic Output. Though of course, I will still use the NS Stats' Black Market for, well, Black Market.
"Percentage Market Sector: Black Market",
"Percentage Market Sector: Government",
"Percentage Market Sector: Industry",
"Percentage Market Sector: Public"


Absolute Number of Deaths = Percentage of that particular death type * Death Rate
"Absolute Death Type: Accident",
"Absolute Death Type: Acts of God",
"Absolute Death Type: Animal Attack",
"Absolute Death Type: Bungee Jumping",
"Absolute Death Type: Capital Punishment",
"Absolute Death Type: Cancer",
"Absolute Death Type: Disappearance",
"Absolute Death Type: Exposure",
"Absolute Death Type: Heart Disease",
"Absolute Death Type: Involuntary Euthanasia",
"Absolute Death Type: Lost in Wilderness",
"Absolute Death Type: Malnourishment",
"Absolute Death Type: Murder",
"Absolute Death Type: Nuclear Spill",
"Absolute Death Type: Old Age",
"Absolute Death Type: Ritual Sacrifice",
"Absolute Death Type: Scurvy",
"Absolute Death Type: Space Shuttle Mishap",
"Absolute Death Type: Suicide While in Police Custody",
"Absolute Death Type: Sunburn",
"Absolute Death Type: Vat Leakage",
"Absolute Death Type: War",
"Absolute Death Type: Work"


CII - Combined Industries Index, is also another new thing that I added with my own calculations. It's basically a calculation of Normalized industries, and combining all of these industries. There are 15 industries with 2 sectors (manufacturing and agriculture), and since they have different range and scales (e.g. Cheese Industry has a smaller absolute number than Manufacturing), so each of them are normalized between 0 to 1, and added together. Theoretical Maximum is 1 * 17 = 17, a nation with 1st for ALL Industries and Sectors. I should have added Tourism along the way, which I will do soon to make it 18.

CIWR - Combined Industries World Rank. Works more or less the same as CII, but with World Ranks instead of mere numbers. Lower this combined number, the better.

Sum of 3 Rights: Civil Rights + Political Freedom + (Economic Freedom + 100) / 2, with EF shifted from -100 / +100 to 0 / +100.

Precise Wealth Gap: Direct calculation of Average Income of Rich / Average Income of Poor.

Precise Income Equality: Direct calculation of Average Income of Poor / Average Income of Rich * 100.

There were 53 regions included in this trawl.
10000 Islands
Anarchistan
Atlantian Oceania
Azure Watester Federation
Balder
Birb
Cape of Good Hope
Capitalist Paradise
China
Cymopolia
Devide By Zero
Diarcesia
Empire of Andrew
Esportiva
Europe
Forest
Groland
Furry Antifascist Alliance
Ixars Puppet Storage
Lands End
Lazarus
Monarch Militia
New West Indies
Northern Ocean
OmniOne
Osiris
Protias
Psychotic Dictatorships
Rushmore
Second Kekistani Republic
SICON
Sonnel
Tellus Gaia
Testregionia
Texas
Thalassia
The Church of Yesnt
The East Pacific
The Free Nations Region
The Great Chili
The Great Wonderland
The Labyrinth
The North Pacific
The Pacific
The Rejected Realms
The Secret Order
The South Pacific
The United Islands of the Atlantic
Valentine Day
Villa
Wintercrest
Winterfell
World Conference
Yuno


This makes it a whopping 96268 rows × 281 columns of data, taking 1 d + 8 h + 42 min + 33 s to collect them all, excluding processing time, clearing the data from CTEd nations, and adding a few smaller regions (~ 1 d + 9 h if including them).

27,051,308 data points overall. I am once again ready to take in requests! For now, I will still be finishing up the 2nd Trawl's request list.



Here's CII and both HDIs (from NS Stats and from API call) in action, along with regional filtering (set to Sonnel):
Image


-----

With new data, you are indeed allowed to make the same requests, so don't worry if you are requesting a trend again that I have done for 1st and 2nd Trawls. ♥
Last edited by Valentine Z on Mon Jun 15, 2020 2:13 am, edited 6 times in total.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

User avatar
Tinhampton
Powerbroker
 
Posts: 8224
Founded: Oct 05, 2016
Anarchy

Postby Tinhampton » Wed May 27, 2020 11:54 pm

Have you finally managed to cobble together my CII (which I requested last time without success in the GI? Discord), or did you manage to contrive once again to leave Tinhampton out of your record set? lol
The Self-Administrative City of TINHAMPTON (pop. 319,372): Saffron Howard, Mayor (UCP); Alexander Smith, WA Delegate-Ambassador

Authorships & co-authorships: SC#250, SC#251, Issue #1115, SC#267, GA#484, GA#491, GA#533, GA#540, GA#549
Other achievements: Cup of Harmony 73 champions; -45 Darkspawn Kill Points; Philosopher-Queen of Sophia; "Tinhampton? the man's literally god"
Who am I, really? 45yo Tory woman; Cambridge graduate; possibly very controversial; currently reading 21 Lessons for the 21st Century by Yuval Noah Harari

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Valentine Z
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 10076
Founded: Nov 08, 2015
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Valentine Z » Thu May 28, 2020 12:19 am

Tinhampton wrote:Have you finally managed to cobble together my CII (which I requested last time without success in the GI? Discord), or did you manage to contrive once again to leave Tinhampton out of your record set? lol

More of "I forgot, sorry about that."
278th in the entire 96,000 of my records.
Image

> contrive: manage to do something foolish or create an undesirable situation.

In no way I have any plans to leave you out purposely, and I actually gathered all the data from every region in that bloody list, without skipping anyone out of spite or vindication. The only nations left out, are due to them becoming CTE, which obviously means I can't get their data. What, do you think I am doing all that? That I am somehow leaving you out on purpose? Or that I am a fucking twat?

You asked once, which I took note of (I won't call that """without success"""), and I did just that. Over the days and weeks, I got a lot of other things happening around (contrary to popular belief, my life doesn't revolve on NS 24/7; I have my schoolwork to do as well), and I do forget things. I do apologise for forgetting now and then, but PLEASE, ask! You could have asked me again instead of pure snide.

I really don't appreciate the attitude. I really, really don't. I am not expecting "Oh dear Sir, please do this for me" or asking my foot to be kissed. I really don't. But a little bit of politeness can go a loooong way, and yes, I am aware of the goddamn irony of dropping a F-Fucking-Bomb and talking about politeness!

Did I mention that I am infuriated? Can you tell by my voice and manner of writing? No? Yes? Maybe so? Good.
Last edited by Valentine Z on Thu May 28, 2020 1:42 pm, edited 9 times in total.


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The Free Joy State
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Postby The Free Joy State » Thu May 28, 2020 12:38 am

Valentine, the work you've put into this endeavour is truly impressive.

Now, may I suggest you take a deep breath and take a step back before doing anything that could accelerate your own thread. I understand how easy it is to feel chagrined after all the effort you've put in, but it's easy for miscommunication to occur in a written format.
Last edited by The Free Joy State on Thu May 28, 2020 12:41 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Honeydewistania
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Postby Honeydewistania » Thu May 28, 2020 12:47 am

The Free Joy State wrote:Valentine, the work you've put into this endeavour is truly impressive.

Now, may I suggest you take a deep breath and take a step back before doing anything that could accelerate your own thread. I understand how easy it is to feel chagrined after all the effort you've put in, but it's easy for miscommunication to occur in a written format.

This. While Tinhampton is being annoying, you shouldn’t take your anger out on a public forum. Tinhampton was probably joking and it was probably miscommunication of some sort. If you’re stressed, just take a few deep breaths (I know, cliché)
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Valentine Z
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Postby Valentine Z » Thu May 28, 2020 12:50 am

I really don't have problems with anyone. I really, really don't. Hell, Tin has been fine with me throughout my life and time here.

But let it be said that I am indeed extremely stressed to the point of nearly bursting a vein. It's not just NS, of course. Last term of my school is... less said, the better.

I gonna take my own break and yeah, I know of the limits on this forums well enough.
Last edited by Valentine Z on Thu May 28, 2020 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Honeydewistania
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Postby Honeydewistania » Thu May 28, 2020 12:52 am

Valentine Z wrote:I really don't have problems with anyone. I really, really don't. Hell, Tin has been fine with me throughout my life and time here.

But let it be said that I am indeed extremely stressed to the point of nearly bursting a vein. It's not just NS, of course. Last term of my school is... less said, the better.

I gonna take my own break and yeah, I know of the limits on this forums well enough.

That’s a good idea
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Need me? Click here!
Biggest acheivement: Spelling
Ambassador to the WA: Benji Schubert Hepperle
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Wonderess wrote:frankly someone I don’t want to see gain influence in NS and by extension TNP

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The Free Joy State
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Postby The Free Joy State » Thu May 28, 2020 12:55 am

Valentine Z wrote:I really don't have problems with anyone. I really, really don't. Hell, Tin has been fine with me throughout my life and time here.

But let it be said that I am indeed extremely stressed to the point of nearly bursting a vein. It's not just NS, of course. Last term of my school is... less said, the better.

I gonna take my own break and yeah, I know of the limits on this forums well enough.

For stress, I've found mindful meditation can help. I remember using it in my last year of university.

Also, if you need to let NS things slide a little for a while so you can focus on school, do. RL > NS, every time.
Last edited by The Free Joy State on Thu May 28, 2020 12:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Tinhampton
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Postby Tinhampton » Thu May 28, 2020 1:24 am

I have reproduced the below apology I telegrammed Val Z earlier for your comfort, safety, and peace of mind:
Code: Select all
Honeydewistania is right, pretty much - I have never had any intention of annoying you, in this setting or on past occasions... Sorry for making you a bit more stressed at this stage :3

I hope you can understand that I was not in your second trawl by virtue of being domiciled in The Black Hawks at the time, which was not among the trawled regions, rather than through any deliberate negligence of your own :p

If I wanted to start a foreign affairs incident, I would have done so with The West Pacific or Balder, not with one of the greatest statisticians ever to grace the Issuesverse.
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Valentine Z
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Postby Valentine Z » Thu May 28, 2020 1:42 pm

For what it's worth, I'm sorry about my meltdown a few hours back. @Tinhampton I got your TG, I'm sorry as well. I think it's an understatement to say that I overreacted quite a fair lot. I swear, I am normally not this mad, and I am not boastful about how angry I can be; if anything, I take it as a mark of shame that "Oh God, I explode much harder than others."

But yeah, I'm fine now! No hard feelings from me, really. ^^

-----

I'm moving on to the backlog of trends with the second trawl of data, so.... I really want to get them done so that I can move on with the new and exciting data! :D

Next up: #2-24: Corruption vs Economic Freedom - Requested by Angshire
Last edited by Valentine Z on Thu May 28, 2020 1:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
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Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
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Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
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Valentine Z
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#2-24: Economic Freedom (X) vs Corruption (Y)

Postby Valentine Z » Sat May 30, 2020 5:08 pm

Finally moving on to the next one - Economic Freedom (X) vs Corruption (Y)!

Image

Image

Image

Image


Linear regression line equation is -0.047014 X + ( 25.982924 ), to 6 significant figures.

I would say it's not necessarily a linear regression, but there seems to be an even-power correlation, i.e. x2, x4, x6... Going too left to having very little economic freedom would breed corruption (dictatorships), but at the same time, having little to no restrictions on your economy is grounds for breeding corruption due to the lack of overwatch. But at the same time, it's not the -100 and +100 nations that has the greatest corruption rates; it goes to the high-but-not-top nations in terms of economic freedom.

Let's look at the trends and exceptions to this rule. The Top 10% of the corruption has more than 50 kickbacks, while the Top 90% / Bottom 10% has less than 0.70 kickbacks. For Economic Freedom, I'm taking the Top and Bottom as -60 and +60 respectively. The % doesn't really work given the amount of nations tied for 100.0.

High Economic Freedom, High Corruption: 570 nations
Low Economic Freedom, Low Corruption: 609 nations
High Economic Freedom, Low Corruption: 3704 nations
Low Economic Freedom, High Corruption: 3392 nations

Strangely enough, it seems to be the alternating trends that has more nations, as opposed to the direct correlation. Which would probably mean that the correlation is not entirely linear. There are certain points where a high economic freedom would spell disaster in transparency (since you are free to do whatever you want), as with low economic freedom yielding transparency if the dictatorship, pray tell, is actually pretty clean in the economy sense. Perhaps a Benevolent Dictatorship and most Left Wings, if you will, that has no hand in demolishing civil rights and political freedoms, but only wants the best for the people in the economy sector.

The top and bottom for corruption respectively. I decided to take out Economic Freedom max/min, since there are multiple nations. There were 52 nations with +100 EF, and 22 nations with -22 EF.
Image

And as you can see, the highest and lowest corrupt countries are not necessarily the ones with the lowest or highest EF.


Photography Stuff.
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If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
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Valentine Z
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#2-25: Arms Industry (X) vs Corruption (Y)

Postby Valentine Z » Sat Jun 06, 2020 11:28 am

Okay, so I did a bit of a change. Instead of Integrity, I decided to go with Corruption, because of the bigger range that it offers, since Integrity is limited to 0-100 %. Here it is!

Linear-Linear:
Image
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Image


Log-Log:
Image
Image


Linear-Log:
Image
Image


Log-Linear:
Image
Image


You will notice that there are now two variants - one with Frequency / Density to show where nation distributions are. The frequency graphs are best-viewed for Linear-Linear because for Logarithmic ones, unless you do know how to read them, it will seem like the distances do not correlate to the frequency / density. Such is the case with 100 and 101.

Linear regression line equation is 0.004271 X + (0.846531), to 6 significant figures.
The R-Squared Score is 0.482443, the Standard Error is 3.166296e-05.

So, there is quite a good linear correlation, it seems. Would seem as if as the Arms Industry gets bigger, a nation tends to get more corrupted. Or just that the more corrupt nations tend to have bigger arms markets thanks to them selling and distributing them, legally or otherwise.

10th Percentile of Corruption is around 0.70. The 90th Percentile is around 50.
10th Percentile of Arms Manufacturing is around -7.75. The 90th Percentile is around 11500.

High Arms Manufacturing, High Corruption: 1671 nations
Low Arms Manufacturing, Low Corruption: 1011 nations
High Arms Manufacturing, Low Corruption: 953 nations
Low Arms Manufacturing, High Corruption: 1527 nations

It would seem this time that there are no exceptional exceptions out there. All the 4 trends are equally possible, some more than others. You can be a corrupt businessman that exports a lot of weapons to war-torn countries, or a saintly businessman that simply delivers and provides weapons to other countries for the sole purpose of military exercises (like providing equipment to Singapore, as a RL example and experience).

It is also possible for a nation to have no arms industry and is on either end of Integrity. Maybe they just don't see the need for weapons and sought for peace, or they just did not export and sell weapons to other countries.

The Max and Min for Corruption and Arms Industry. This time again, we have 3 nations with Tzo bottoming out both stats!

Image
Last edited by Valentine Z on Wed Jun 10, 2020 6:36 am, edited 5 times in total.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
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Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
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Trotterdam
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Postby Trotterdam » Sat Jun 06, 2020 11:31 am

Are you sure it's just the Arms Manufacturing industry that's associated with corruption, rather than industries in general?

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Valentine Z
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Postby Valentine Z » Sat Jun 06, 2020 11:35 am

Trotterdam wrote:Are you sure it's just the Arms Manufacturing industry that's associated with corruption, rather than industries in general?

My words are: Would seem as if. So... I am not saying with certainty. It would just seem like there's a trend / slight correlation between the two, as shown by the R-score.

There are other industries involved, that is indeed true! But for these two stats alone, that seems to be a likely case.

It's neither an absolute association nor a direct proportion; it's a trend, a correlation that nations with bigger arms industries tend to have corrupt practices. Implications and interpretations, not absolutes. C'est l'intention originale, as one would say, heh heh!

-----

With the third data trawl, I will be looking into Combined Industries Index vs Corruption, which would fit more with what you are asking!

EDIT: My bad on the most recent one. I realized that I used the wrong dataset, so now this is using the correct dataset, i.e. one from Nov 2019. The trend is more or less the same, except with fewer points.
Last edited by Valentine Z on Wed Jun 10, 2020 6:35 am, edited 8 times in total.


Photography Stuff.
Flag Bracket - 1st for Mk I! 2nd for Mk II!
Issues Thread 4th in Gen Sec

The Sixty! Opinions Deposit! Valentian Stories! Gwen's Adventures! Cat Anthem! Valentian News.
If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down !
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
Q & A Here! | Heights of NS! | F7 Etiquette

Clarissa mistaken for Smurf/Avatar: 14
Valentijn Misgendered: 57
Valentijn now a She!

• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• As a wise man once said: 我等は砲兵 皇国の護り (We are Artillery Guardians of the Empire).
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.

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