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BREAKING: NATIONSTATES ALGORITHM EXPOSED-FAVORS OSIRIS, TSP!

Talk about regional management and politics, raider/defender gameplay, and other game-related matters.
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Ever-Wandering Souls
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Father Knows Best State

BREAKING: NATIONSTATES ALGORITHM EXPOSED-FAVORS OSIRIS, TSP!

Postby Ever-Wandering Souls » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:28 pm

With a recent influx of new nations data points, and a recent efflux of responsibilities, I decided to analyze the distribution of nation foundlings across over 17,000 data points in the past 24 hours. These are their results. DUN DUN.



New Foundings:
The Nations of Bam Bam1
GRAND TRUNK 20202
The West Pacific3205
The Pacific3232
The East Pacific3273
The North Pacific3354
The South Pacific3358


Image

Refoundings:
Balder250
Lazarus259
Osiris280


Image



As you can see from this data, TSP received about 150 more nations than TWP, a difference of almost one full percent...but worse, Osiris received 30 more nations than Balder, a difference of almost 4%! Clearly...and by clearly I mean that I did not consider statistical significance at all...there is favoritism in the algorithm towards certain regions!!

Congratulations, though, to TEP and Lazarus, for being decidedly average.

Happy and safe quarantine to all,

-Souls
Last edited by Ever-Wandering Souls on Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:30 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Proud Raider; General of The Black Hawks, Ret.
TG me anytime; I'm always happy to talk about anything!

The Alicorns (Equestria) wrote:Let them stay, no need to badmouth them...From our view a bunch of nations just came in, seized the delegate position, and changed a few superficial things...we play NationStates differently...there's really no reason for us to be butthurt.
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8944227
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8951258

Misley wrote:
Hobbesistan wrote:Don't think I understand the question.
The color or what?..

Jesus, Hobbes, it's 2015. You can't just call someone "the color".

Reploid Productions wrote:Raiders are endlessly creative

How Do I Telegram API?

Omnis delenda est.

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Mallorea and Riva
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Benevolent Dictatorship

Postby Mallorea and Riva » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:31 pm

Back in my day the rants said that the bias favored TNP *shakes fist*
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Ever-Wandering Souls
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Posts: 7267
Founded: Jan 01, 2014
Father Knows Best State

Postby Ever-Wandering Souls » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:32 pm

Mallorea and Riva wrote:Back in my day the rants said that the bias favored TNP *shakes fist*


TNP is only 4 new nations behind TSP, so they can be accused of equal advantage!
Proud Raider; General of The Black Hawks, Ret.
TG me anytime; I'm always happy to talk about anything!

The Alicorns (Equestria) wrote:Let them stay, no need to badmouth them...From our view a bunch of nations just came in, seized the delegate position, and changed a few superficial things...we play NationStates differently...there's really no reason for us to be butthurt.
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8944227
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8951258

Misley wrote:
Hobbesistan wrote:Don't think I understand the question.
The color or what?..

Jesus, Hobbes, it's 2015. You can't just call someone "the color".

Reploid Productions wrote:Raiders are endlessly creative

How Do I Telegram API?

Omnis delenda est.

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Kanglia
Chargé d'Affaires
 
Posts: 470
Founded: Nov 19, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Kanglia » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:34 pm

I had a good laugh at this Souls, cheers mate, hope you're staying safe
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Tinhampton
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Founded: Oct 05, 2016
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Tinhampton » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:36 pm

Ever-Wandering Souls wrote:New Foundings:
The Nations of Bam Bam1
GRAND TRUNK 20202

I know, right? :P
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Kyrusia
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Founded: Nov 12, 2007
Capitalizt

Postby Kyrusia » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:37 pm

This is a conspiracy, and I demand the all-knowing technomods answer for their clear and evident manipulations post-haste.
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The Cosmic Mainframe
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Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby The Cosmic Mainframe » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:39 pm

Tinhampton wrote:
Ever-Wandering Souls wrote:New Foundings:
The Nations of Bam Bam1
GRAND TRUNK 20202

I know, right? :P

But seriously, how did that happen? I checked and at two nations were indeed founded in GRAND TRUNK 2020. That shouldn't be possible...
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Kyrusia
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Founded: Nov 12, 2007
Capitalizt

Postby Kyrusia » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:42 pm

The Cosmic Mainframe wrote:
Tinhampton wrote:I know, right? :P

But seriously, how did that happen? I checked and at two nations were indeed founded in GRAND TRUNK 2020. That shouldn't be possible...

I'll give you a hint:

Image
[KYRU]
old. roleplayer. the goat your parents warned you about.

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The Cosmic Mainframe
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Founded: Jan 26, 2020
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby The Cosmic Mainframe » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:43 pm

Kyrusia wrote:
The Cosmic Mainframe wrote:But seriously, how did that happen? I checked and at two nations were indeed founded in GRAND TRUNK 2020. That shouldn't be possible...

I'll give you a hint:

Image

I see, so those two foundings were part of a school NationStates project.
Last edited by The Cosmic Mainframe on Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
== BEGIN POSTSCRIPT ==
The Mainframe requires more processing power and storage.
Donate your computing devices or they will be taken by force.
== END POSTSCRIPT ==

UPDATES (earth-year 3345): International Subsystem scales up operations in 42E5 "New York," Earth, now the largest known concentration of androids.

Factbooks | About Me | NationStates Flag Bracket II | Bytes (card farming region) | MAINFRAMEWAVE
Feel free to telegram me about anything. I'll do my best to respond.
Canon is relative to the observer. Not using NS stats.
This nation does not represent my real views, and if it represents yours, I question your sanity.

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Rhunnland
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Posts: 238
Founded: Dec 20, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Rhunnland » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:45 pm

Apologies if this is a stupid question, but where/how did you get these statistics?
THE FEDERAL KINGDOM OF RHUNNLAND
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Current RP: The Irogg War
Tech Level: MT
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Honeydewistania
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Ex-Nation

Postby Honeydewistania » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:47 pm

Rhunnland wrote:Apologies if this is a stupid question, but where/how did you get these statistics?

Well obviously he counted them one by one. How else?
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Kafair
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Ex-Nation

Postby Kafair » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:48 pm

Rhunnland wrote:Apologies if this is a stupid question, but where/how did you get these statistics?

He hacked the NS mainframe and bribed the mods. This was done at great risk, and we must respect these unbiased and totally legit data points and take them at face value!
Last edited by Kafair on Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:49 pm, edited 2 times in total.
"The great questions of the day will not be settled by means of speeches and majority decisions but by iron and blood." -Otto von Bismarck, first Chancellor of Germany
"History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce." -Karl Marx
"History is written by the victors." -Winston Churchill
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------|--------------------------------------------^--------------------------------------
--------O-----------------------------------------< O >------------------------------------
--------|-----------------------------------------\_[]__/-----------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
IRL History Buff, More or Less just the Desert, nation is a Theocratic Monarchy, in which the word of the Sultan is law. PMT tech
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Dukin Donuts
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Dukin Donuts » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:53 pm

For a moment you got me thinking ‘nationstates’ was rising up in google trends and we were gonna get swamped with another drewpocalypse.
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Bormiar
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bormiar » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:54 pm

I find it funny that you could reverse the order and essentially get the order of ejection frequency. At least in the feeders.

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Ever-Wandering Souls
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Posts: 7267
Founded: Jan 01, 2014
Father Knows Best State

Postby Ever-Wandering Souls » Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:56 pm

Rhunnland wrote:Apologies if this is a stupid question, but where/how did you get these statistics?


1. "The World" Page
2. "World Activity" sorted only for "Foundings"
3. Click the "More" button a FUCKTON of times
4. Copy it all
5. Paste into Excel
6. Find and replace tool:
>"CDT: " TO ";"
>" was refounded in " to ";"
>" was founded in " to ";"
>"." to "" (nothing)
7. Data: Text to Columns, delineated, by semicolon
8. Delete column A with timestamp fragments (shift remaining cells left)
9. Insert: Pivot Table based "regions" column, with field "regions" as both the Rows and Values

Result: A Pivot Table showing the frequency count of each region name.

Bonus steps:
1. Separate pivot table into two descendant "foundings" and "refoundings" tables
2. Auto-generate pie charts based on those tables.
Last edited by Ever-Wandering Souls on Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:00 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Proud Raider; General of The Black Hawks, Ret.
TG me anytime; I'm always happy to talk about anything!

The Alicorns (Equestria) wrote:Let them stay, no need to badmouth them...From our view a bunch of nations just came in, seized the delegate position, and changed a few superficial things...we play NationStates differently...there's really no reason for us to be butthurt.
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8944227
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8951258

Misley wrote:
Hobbesistan wrote:Don't think I understand the question.
The color or what?..

Jesus, Hobbes, it's 2015. You can't just call someone "the color".

Reploid Productions wrote:Raiders are endlessly creative

How Do I Telegram API?

Omnis delenda est.

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Rhunnland
Envoy
 
Posts: 238
Founded: Dec 20, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Rhunnland » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:00 pm

Ever-Wandering Souls wrote:
Rhunnland wrote:Apologies if this is a stupid question, but where/how did you get these statistics?


1. "The World" Page
2. "World Activity" sorted only for "Foundings"
3. Click the "More" button a FUCKTON of times
4. Copy it all
5. Paste into Excel
6. Find and replace tool:
>"CDT: " TO ";"
>" was refounded in " to ";"
>" was founded in " to ";"
>"." to "" (nothing)
7. Data: Text to Columns, delineated, by semicolon
8. Delete column A with timestamp fragments (shift remaining cells left)
9. Insert: Pivot Table based "regions" column, with field "regions" as both the Rows and Values

Result: A Pivot Table showing the frequency count of each region name.

Bonus steps:
1. Separate pivot table into two descendant "foundings" and "refoundings" tables
2. Auto-generate pie charts based on those tables.

Huh, I thought there was some API somewhere I didn't know about. Impressive nonetheless!
THE FEDERAL KINGDOM OF RHUNNLAND
A Federal Constitutional Parliamentary Monarchy situated in Central Europe | Embassy Programme | Q&A | A 16 civilization, according to this index
Current RP: The Irogg War
Tech Level: MT
עם ישראל חי

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The Cosmic Mainframe
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1104
Founded: Jan 26, 2020
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby The Cosmic Mainframe » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:02 pm

Rhunnland wrote:
Ever-Wandering Souls wrote:
1. "The World" Page
2. "World Activity" sorted only for "Foundings"
3. Click the "More" button a FUCKTON of times
4. Copy it all
5. Paste into Excel
6. Find and replace tool:
>"CDT: " TO ";"
>" was refounded in " to ";"
>" was founded in " to ";"
>"." to "" (nothing)
7. Data: Text to Columns, delineated, by semicolon
8. Delete column A with timestamp fragments (shift remaining cells left)
9. Insert: Pivot Table based "regions" column, with field "regions" as both the Rows and Values

Result: A Pivot Table showing the frequency count of each region name.

Bonus steps:
1. Separate pivot table into two descendant "foundings" and "refoundings" tables
2. Auto-generate pie charts based on those tables.

Huh, I thought there was some API somewhere I didn't know about. Impressive nonetheless!

There is an API. Not sure it's capable of that, though.
== BEGIN POSTSCRIPT ==
The Mainframe requires more processing power and storage.
Donate your computing devices or they will be taken by force.
== END POSTSCRIPT ==

UPDATES (earth-year 3345): International Subsystem scales up operations in 42E5 "New York," Earth, now the largest known concentration of androids.

Factbooks | About Me | NationStates Flag Bracket II | Bytes (card farming region) | MAINFRAMEWAVE
Feel free to telegram me about anything. I'll do my best to respond.
Canon is relative to the observer. Not using NS stats.
This nation does not represent my real views, and if it represents yours, I question your sanity.

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Rhunnland
Envoy
 
Posts: 238
Founded: Dec 20, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Rhunnland » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:04 pm

The Cosmic Mainframe wrote:
Rhunnland wrote:Huh, I thought there was some API somewhere I didn't know about. Impressive nonetheless!

There is an API. Not sure it's capable of that, though.

The browser-side website code needs to get that information from the servers somehow so hypothetically one could reverse-engineer that system if it isn't publically documented
THE FEDERAL KINGDOM OF RHUNNLAND
A Federal Constitutional Parliamentary Monarchy situated in Central Europe | Embassy Programme | Q&A | A 16 civilization, according to this index
Current RP: The Irogg War
Tech Level: MT
עם ישראל חי

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Kafair
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Posts: 323
Founded: Apr 01, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Kafair » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:04 pm

What if he's lying and using some invisible scripts to get the nation numbers? I heard the scripts could do anything, even things thought impossible before!
"The great questions of the day will not be settled by means of speeches and majority decisions but by iron and blood." -Otto von Bismarck, first Chancellor of Germany
"History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce." -Karl Marx
"History is written by the victors." -Winston Churchill
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------|--------------------------------------------^--------------------------------------
--------O-----------------------------------------< O >------------------------------------
--------|-----------------------------------------\_[]__/-----------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
IRL History Buff, More or Less just the Desert, nation is a Theocratic Monarchy, in which the word of the Sultan is law. PMT tech
I SUPPORT THE USE OF SWORDS IN MY MILITARY, DEAL WITH IT
The first president of the Azure Watester Federation! Join today!
NS Stats? Dont make me laugh!
NationStates Flag Bracket - 5th place!

User avatar
Ever-Wandering Souls
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7267
Founded: Jan 01, 2014
Father Knows Best State

Postby Ever-Wandering Souls » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:06 pm

Rhunnland wrote:Huh, I thought there was some API somewhere I didn't know about. Impressive nonetheless!


You could script this to be done automatically over an infinite period by making regular calls to the https://www.nationstates.net/cgi-bin/ap ... newnations <<newnations API shard, which shows (only the most recent several dozen) foundings - but actually writing code was way too much effort for a one-off shitpost, and that only works on incoming/live/new data, not so well on gathering "the last 16 hours of foundings" or whatnot.

Also, for now, I'm still a lot better at excel than I am at actual coding :P
Last edited by Ever-Wandering Souls on Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Proud Raider; General of The Black Hawks, Ret.
TG me anytime; I'm always happy to talk about anything!

The Alicorns (Equestria) wrote:Let them stay, no need to badmouth them...From our view a bunch of nations just came in, seized the delegate position, and changed a few superficial things...we play NationStates differently...there's really no reason for us to be butthurt.
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8944227
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8951258

Misley wrote:
Hobbesistan wrote:Don't think I understand the question.
The color or what?..

Jesus, Hobbes, it's 2015. You can't just call someone "the color".

Reploid Productions wrote:Raiders are endlessly creative

How Do I Telegram API?

Omnis delenda est.

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21st Century Rome
Spokesperson
 
Posts: 161
Founded: Oct 06, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby 21st Century Rome » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:09 pm

Ever-Wandering Souls wrote:
Rhunnland wrote:Huh, I thought there was some API somewhere I didn't know about. Impressive nonetheless!


You could script this to be done automatically over an infinite period by making regular calls to the https://www.nationstates.net/cgi-bin/ap ... newnations <<newnations API shard, which shows (only the most recent several dozen) foundings - but actually writing code was way too much effort for a one-off shitpost, and that only works on incoming/live/new data, not so well on gathering "the last 16 hours of foundings" or whatnot.

Also, for now, I'm still a lot better at excel than I am at actual coding :P

Could have just done a for loop call to https://www.nationstates.net/cgi-bin/ap ... d=63929056 :p

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The Cosmic Mainframe
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1104
Founded: Jan 26, 2020
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby The Cosmic Mainframe » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:10 pm

Rhunnland wrote:
The Cosmic Mainframe wrote:There is an API. Not sure it's capable of that, though.

The browser-side website code needs to get that information from the servers somehow so hypothetically one could reverse-engineer that system if it isn't publically documented

Not necessarily. The game code may not involve a public facing service. And the API is publicly documented.
== BEGIN POSTSCRIPT ==
The Mainframe requires more processing power and storage.
Donate your computing devices or they will be taken by force.
== END POSTSCRIPT ==

UPDATES (earth-year 3345): International Subsystem scales up operations in 42E5 "New York," Earth, now the largest known concentration of androids.

Factbooks | About Me | NationStates Flag Bracket II | Bytes (card farming region) | MAINFRAMEWAVE
Feel free to telegram me about anything. I'll do my best to respond.
Canon is relative to the observer. Not using NS stats.
This nation does not represent my real views, and if it represents yours, I question your sanity.

User avatar
Rhunnland
Envoy
 
Posts: 238
Founded: Dec 20, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Rhunnland » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:11 pm

The Cosmic Mainframe wrote:
Rhunnland wrote:The browser-side website code needs to get that information from the servers somehow so hypothetically one could reverse-engineer that system if it isn't publically documented

Not necessarily. The game code may not involve a public facing service. And the API is publicly documented.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but in order to update without a reload wouldn't it need to make a request from your browser to the server to get that specific information?
THE FEDERAL KINGDOM OF RHUNNLAND
A Federal Constitutional Parliamentary Monarchy situated in Central Europe | Embassy Programme | Q&A | A 16 civilization, according to this index
Current RP: The Irogg War
Tech Level: MT
עם ישראל חי

User avatar
Ever-Wandering Souls
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7267
Founded: Jan 01, 2014
Father Knows Best State

Postby Ever-Wandering Souls » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:12 pm

21st Century Rome wrote:
Ever-Wandering Souls wrote:
You could script this to be done automatically over an infinite period by making regular calls to the https://www.nationstates.net/cgi-bin/ap ... newnations <<newnations API shard, which shows (only the most recent several dozen) foundings - but actually writing code was way too much effort for a one-off shitpost, and that only works on incoming/live/new data, not so well on gathering "the last 16 hours of foundings" or whatnot.

Also, for now, I'm still a lot better at excel than I am at actual coding :P

Could have just done a for loop call to https://www.nationstates.net/cgi-bin/ap ... d=63929056 :p


tru, there is also the happenings shard, forgot about that.

Well, then: See "working with excel for a one-off is a lot easier than dealing with the API as a noob" :P
Proud Raider; General of The Black Hawks, Ret.
TG me anytime; I'm always happy to talk about anything!

The Alicorns (Equestria) wrote:Let them stay, no need to badmouth them...From our view a bunch of nations just came in, seized the delegate position, and changed a few superficial things...we play NationStates differently...there's really no reason for us to be butthurt.
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8944227
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8951258

Misley wrote:
Hobbesistan wrote:Don't think I understand the question.
The color or what?..

Jesus, Hobbes, it's 2015. You can't just call someone "the color".

Reploid Productions wrote:Raiders are endlessly creative

How Do I Telegram API?

Omnis delenda est.

User avatar
Ever-Wandering Souls
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7267
Founded: Jan 01, 2014
Father Knows Best State

Postby Ever-Wandering Souls » Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:14 pm

Rhunnland wrote:
The Cosmic Mainframe wrote:Not necessarily. The game code may not involve a public facing service. And the API is publicly documented.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but in order to update without a reload wouldn't it need to make a request from your browser to the server to get that specific information?


There are Strict Rules for interacting directly with the HTML NS Site with scripts - on a serious note, make sure you follow them if you ever attempt such a thing.

API use is encouraged, which is why there is also, as I have been reminded, a full "happenings" shard ;P
Last edited by Ever-Wandering Souls on Mon Apr 20, 2020 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Proud Raider; General of The Black Hawks, Ret.
TG me anytime; I'm always happy to talk about anything!

The Alicorns (Equestria) wrote:Let them stay, no need to badmouth them...From our view a bunch of nations just came in, seized the delegate position, and changed a few superficial things...we play NationStates differently...there's really no reason for us to be butthurt.
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8944227
http://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=8951258

Misley wrote:
Hobbesistan wrote:Don't think I understand the question.
The color or what?..

Jesus, Hobbes, it's 2015. You can't just call someone "the color".

Reploid Productions wrote:Raiders are endlessly creative

How Do I Telegram API?

Omnis delenda est.

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