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by AiliailiA » Sat Mar 28, 2015 8:59 am
Cannot think of a name wrote:"Where's my immortality?" will be the new "Where's my jetpack?"
Maineiacs wrote:"We're going to build a canal, and we're going to make Columbia pay for it!" -- Teddy Roosevelt
Ifreann wrote:That's not a Freudian slip. A Freudian slip is when you say one thing and mean your mother.
by Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Mar 28, 2015 9:33 am
Ailiailia wrote:Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Interestingly for people familiar with the FPTP system. The width of the bars corresponds with the years a certain cabinet remained in office. The 2010 cabinet fell after two years, and the current 2012 cabinet has been in office for two years now (just about). Asn you can see, there were no elections between 1940 and 1945, somehow. Didn't know how that happened.
That is interesting, because FPTP governments rarely fall, if at all. Some heinous shit has to happen in a FPTP system if a cabinet is broken. In a system like described above, there is the possibility of rising disagreements between the ruling parties, leading to a 'cabinet crisis' and eventually a breakdown, followed by new elections once the Prime Minister announced his resignation. This means that, when a government (like Rutte I) loses favour half way through their term, they can get ousted. Whether that is a good or a bad thing I don't know, but it's certainly interesting.
I certainly favour elections to resolve such crises. Give a government three or four years (or perhaps even longer) between elections, to make policy and have the effects play out. But if they are unable to govern in the configuration of parties they chose to form government, then hold another election.
Though cabinet members should still be sacked in some circumstances. They showed promise but turned out to be bad. They had health problems, or some other problem which would excuse them from being a cabinet minister, but still allow them to serve as a regular member. Gross misconduct. Death. Obviously there needs to be some mechanism to replace Cabinet ministers without calling new elections.
I'm guessing the party of a sacked, resigned or deceased Cabinet minister chooses the replacement? That's not considered "Cabinet breaking"?
by Seleucas » Sat Mar 28, 2015 9:56 am
Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Seleucas wrote:
Which one?
I just prefer having representatives being allotted on the basis of states (like what is done with senators and representatives in the US), so that local interests are represented and that there can be more decentralization.
Well, a proportional system does not stop you from having local representation, and FPTP does not make that any easier. If anything, FPTP does a shit job of actually representing the views of the citizenry.
by Skappola » Sat Mar 28, 2015 9:59 am
Seleucas wrote:Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Well, a proportional system does not stop you from having local representation, and FPTP does not make that any easier. If anything, FPTP does a shit job of actually representing the views of the citizenry.
I am not sure how one could combine the two; if you can only have a single representative from each district, that rules out having proportional representation. It is an acceptable loss if some votes are 'wasted', so to speak.
by Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Mar 28, 2015 10:01 am
Seleucas wrote:Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Well, a proportional system does not stop you from having local representation, and FPTP does not make that any easier. If anything, FPTP does a shit job of actually representing the views of the citizenry.
I am not sure how one could combine the two; if you can only have a single representative from each district, that rules out having proportional representation. It is an acceptable loss if some votes are 'wasted', so to speak.
by AiliailiA » Sat Mar 28, 2015 10:44 am
Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Ailiailia wrote:
I certainly favour elections to resolve such crises. Give a government three or four years (or perhaps even longer) between elections, to make policy and have the effects play out. But if they are unable to govern in the configuration of parties they chose to form government, then hold another election.
Though cabinet members should still be sacked in some circumstances. They showed promise but turned out to be bad. They had health problems, or some other problem which would excuse them from being a cabinet minister, but still allow them to serve as a regular member. Gross misconduct. Death. Obviously there needs to be some mechanism to replace Cabinet ministers without calling new elections.
I'm guessing the party of a sacked, resigned or deceased Cabinet minister chooses the replacement? That's not considered "Cabinet breaking"?
Interesting question, and luckily for you, this has happened just this month here! The cabinet minister of Safety and Justice, Ivo Opstelten, and a State Secretary, Fred Teeven, resigned after a scandal. They had given wrongful information surrounding a certain high-profile criminal. Not on purpose, but they resigned anyway goven the shady background of the dealings (FYI, a State Secretary, or Staatssecretaris, is a member of the minister's entourage, a lieutenant of sorts). So, Opstelten and Teeven both resigned, leaving two vacant places. In that case, someone becomes acting minister while the Prime Minister and the cabinet try to find someone to take the job. This is not something that would let a cabinet fall, unless the ruling parties cannot decide over a replacement. A minister resigning will generally not result in loss of support among the coalition members, so the coalition can go on governing. So, the governing coalition gets to choose who replaces a certain minister. In this case Ard van deer Steur, a member of the Second Chamber and a former lawyer.
To understand this, you have to know what a coalition exactly is. A coalition is a collaboration of parties deciding they are going to run a country together. This kind of coalition is forged in a 'coalition agreement', in which the coalition parties agree over their planned course for the coming years in office.
So, a Labour party and the Liberal party will try and reach the middle ground in their agreement, both needing each other to be a part of the government. The parties included in the coalition will also decide the cabinet positions among themselves, so the cabinet is a patchwork of all kinds of ministers from different parties. As long as this coalition has 51% of the seats in the Second Chamber and the Senate (First Chamber), all is well.
Of course, certain events can shape the relation between parties. Sometimes, they have to decide over matters not covered in the Coalition Agreement.
Or a Coalition party senses that their popularity has increased significantly since the last election. If one party retracts their support, a few situations might occur. The coalition can fall, because the nation becomes ungovernable without the support of the Second or First Chamber. In a situation like what happened in the US, with the GOP controlling both the Senate and the House, in the Netherlands, the coalition would have fallen, leading to new elections.
Sometimes, governing remains fragile but possible if the opposition is 'kind' enough, but this generally doesn't happen. Losing support in one of the chambers generally foretells doom. But this is alright. We might have to get to the voting booth every two years, but at least out government keeps being active (active or die) and it generally heeds the will of the people. Unpopular lawmaking might give the opposition or the coalition partners ideas of grandeur.
Cannot think of a name wrote:"Where's my immortality?" will be the new "Where's my jetpack?"
Maineiacs wrote:"We're going to build a canal, and we're going to make Columbia pay for it!" -- Teddy Roosevelt
Ifreann wrote:That's not a Freudian slip. A Freudian slip is when you say one thing and mean your mother.
by Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Mar 28, 2015 11:06 am
Ailiailia wrote:By the way, I didn't vote in the poll. I'm for Mixed Member Proportional, but not for Party List.
I would happily have voted Other, and explained my choice in-thread.
My advice to the OP is: the forum allows you to add a poll, at any time after starting the thread, by editing the Original Post. When you run out steam writing the OP, as you obviously did, don't make a poll in the last two minutes before clicking Submit on your new thread. It's a rather bad poll, but you can't change it now. Next time, take a rest before adding the poll.Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Interesting question, and luckily for you, this has happened just this month here! The cabinet minister of Safety and Justice, Ivo Opstelten, and a State Secretary, Fred Teeven, resigned after a scandal. They had given wrongful information surrounding a certain high-profile criminal. Not on purpose, but they resigned anyway goven the shady background of the dealings (FYI, a State Secretary, or Staatssecretaris, is a member of the minister's entourage, a lieutenant of sorts). So, Opstelten and Teeven both resigned, leaving two vacant places. In that case, someone becomes acting minister while the Prime Minister and the cabinet try to find someone to take the job. This is not something that would let a cabinet fall, unless the ruling parties cannot decide over a replacement. A minister resigning will generally not result in loss of support among the coalition members, so the coalition can go on governing. So, the governing coalition gets to choose who replaces a certain minister. In this case Ard van deer Steur, a member of the Second Chamber and a former lawyer.
To understand this, you have to know what a coalition exactly is. A coalition is a collaboration of parties deciding they are going to run a country together. This kind of coalition is forged in a 'coalition agreement', in which the coalition parties agree over their planned course for the coming years in office.
Sounds good. It's what I called "the configuration of parties to form government". A coalition of parties after the election, who agree at least enough to appoint a Prime Minister.
There would be a period of negotiations after the election I presume? Before the parliament comes into session and formally votes in the Prime Minister and Cabinet?So, a Labour party and the Liberal party will try and reach the middle ground in their agreement, both needing each other to be a part of the government. The parties included in the coalition will also decide the cabinet positions among themselves, so the cabinet is a patchwork of all kinds of ministers from different parties. As long as this coalition has 51% of the seats in the Second Chamber and the Senate (First Chamber), all is well.
Of course, certain events can shape the relation between parties. Sometimes, they have to decide over matters not covered in the Coalition Agreement.
I am curious: is the Coalition Agreement made public? Is there a publicly declared part of it, but also a secret part of it? And is it a legal requirement that they make public their agreement?Or a Coalition party senses that their popularity has increased significantly since the last election. If one party retracts their support, a few situations might occur. The coalition can fall, because the nation becomes ungovernable without the support of the Second or First Chamber. In a situation like what happened in the US, with the GOP controlling both the Senate and the House, in the Netherlands, the coalition would have fallen, leading to new elections.
The US, by long experience of the stupid system of two chambers elected differently, each able to block the other (the "balance of powers") has found a way around it. Mandatory spending: permanent bills which do not need approval by both chambers to continue. To kill them or alter them in any way, opponents need agreement in both chambers (and of course, the Senate requires 60% to pass such a bill, in a truly weird restriction of the Senate power imposed by the Senate itself). This allows a strong majority in the Senate plus a majority in the House to nail in place their policy, never to be pried away unless opponents of it can muster a majority in the House and supermajority in the Senate. It's an inherently conservative system. The government continues to do what it did before, unless a strong and enduring majority stops it.
Well shit is well fucked-up in the US. Balance of powers baloney. I'm not asking for you opinion on that, I'm just ranting a bit.
Let's return to your specialty, Netherlands electoral system.Sometimes, governing remains fragile but possible if the opposition is 'kind' enough, but this generally doesn't happen. Losing support in one of the chambers generally foretells doom. But this is alright. We might have to get to the voting booth every two years, but at least out government keeps being active (active or die) and it generally heeds the will of the people. Unpopular lawmaking might give the opposition or the coalition partners ideas of grandeur.
Well I didn't know you had two chambers. Elected by different methods?
I voted today
Around lunchtime, I went to the voting station at my local primary school. I politely declined the "how to vote" leaflets, waited in a queue for two minutes, gave my name to the registrar and got my House and Senate paper ballots. Filled them out with the pen provided, and inserted my ballots into the big cardboard boxes. Got back on my bike and continued up to the shops. The whole business of voting took under ten minutes, more like five. It was a pleasure.
by Vozergovnia » Sat Mar 28, 2015 11:16 am
by Greed and Death » Sat Mar 28, 2015 11:33 am
by Greater-London » Sat Mar 28, 2015 12:51 pm
The Nihilistic view wrote:FPTP. It means voting can be as much about the candidate as the party and bad politicians can be kicked out of politics more easily. I hate list systems with PR and other election methods as the public are then at the mercy of whoever our magnanimous leaders decide they want to put at the top of the list.
by Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Mar 28, 2015 12:55 pm
Greater-London wrote:The Nihilistic view wrote:FPTP. It means voting can be as much about the candidate as the party and bad politicians can be kicked out of politics more easily. I hate list systems with PR and other election methods as the public are then at the mercy of whoever our magnanimous leaders decide they want to put at the top of the list.
I agree that party lists are a supremely bad way of deciding who gets elected. I also appreciate that FPTP is very good at getting rid of bad governments and bad politicians. The problem with FPTP that can't be ignored is the fact that is can lead to some really ridiculous results; I mean look too May where UKIP will poll around 15% and get 1 - 3 seats, whilst the SNP will poll nationally around 5% and that's going to translate into about 50.
by Greater-London » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:02 pm
Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:How exactly does FPTP get rid of bad politicians and bad governments exactly?
by New Stephania » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:05 pm
Greater-London wrote:Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:How exactly does FPTP get rid of bad politicians and bad governments exactly?
Well it does compared to proportional systems. True you can get a majority government under FPTP with around the 37% - 38% mark but if its bellow that your out the running. If you have PR systems you end up with governments hanging in by clumping together rainbow coalitions. I mean if we had PR in the UK for instance we would have Liberal/Labour coalitions indefinitely.
by Greater-London » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:08 pm
New Stephania wrote:Sounds good to me considering the major parties' track records of ramming through legislation that shits on people. I dread to think about what the Tories would have done over the last five years without having to wrangle in a coalition, I dread to think about what they will do if they win a majority in May.
by Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:12 pm
Greater-London wrote:New Stephania wrote:Sounds good to me considering the major parties' track records of ramming through legislation that shits on people. I dread to think about what the Tories would have done over the last five years without having to wrangle in a coalition, I dread to think about what they will do if they win a majority in May.
I'm not going to try and defend the Torries, or the coalitions record in government; simply that any electoral system that allows for perpetual governments of any colour is bad because it breads incompetence.
by The Joseon Dynasty » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:15 pm
Meridiani Planum wrote:Caninope wrote:I'm not really sure Bayesian regret is legitimate, because it's trying to use utility functions in a manner that seems pretty cardinal, and range voting has some pretty problematic features (treating preferences as cardinal, not ordinal).
Voter preferences strike me as fundamentally cardinal, with ordinal only as an abstraction. I have no difficulty with rating candidates on a 0-9 cardinal system as A=1, B=9, C=8, instead of merely B>C>A. The ordinal system leaves a great deal of information on voter preferences out.
by New Stephania » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:16 pm
Greater-London wrote:New Stephania wrote:Sounds good to me considering the major parties' track records of ramming through legislation that shits on people. I dread to think about what the Tories would have done over the last five years without having to wrangle in a coalition, I dread to think about what they will do if they win a majority in May.
I'm not going to try and defend the Torries, or the coalitions record in government; simply that any electoral system that allows for perpetual governments of any colour is bad because it breads incompetence.
by Greater-London » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:21 pm
Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:I wonder, how does a coalition government breed a system of perpetual governments? Any more than a FPTP model, that is? Because I see nothing inherent to a proportional system that would lead anyone to believe that it would lead to perpetual governance. There are still elections every four years, and the party with the largest number of votes still gives us our Prime Minister. That party still becomes the ruling party.
by British Home Counties » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:23 pm
New Stephania wrote:Greater-London wrote:
I'm not going to try and defend the Torries, or the coalitions record in government; simply that any electoral system that allows for perpetual governments of any colour is bad because it breads incompetence.
Surely our current system allows for a perpetual duopoly. We had 13 years of Labour wrecking the country, before that we had 18 years of the Tories. I think we only ended up with a coalition this time because people were sick of either having all the power.
by Greater-London » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:25 pm
New Stephania wrote:Surely our current system allows for a perpetual duopoly. We had 13 years of Labour wrecking the country, before that we had 18 years of the Tories. I think we only ended up with a coalition this time because people were sick of either having all the power.
by Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:31 pm
Greater-London wrote:Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:I wonder, how does a coalition government breed a system of perpetual governments? Any more than a FPTP model, that is? Because I see nothing inherent to a proportional system that would lead anyone to believe that it would lead to perpetual governance. There are still elections every four years, and the party with the largest number of votes still gives us our Prime Minister. That party still becomes the ruling party.
Because FPTP over represents majorities, you nearly always end up having a majority government. If you have a proportional system you end up where a party can do badly in an election and still be in government, if not the senior member of a coalition. It doesn't always lead to perpetual governance but it does make it more liekly.
As for the parties receiving the largest number of votes becoming a ruling party , you can do very well in a PR system get say 40% - 45% of the vote but be excluded from govenrment because all the others clump together to keep them out - like how the Italian communist party was kept out of government during the cold war.
by New Stephania » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:32 pm
Greater-London wrote:New Stephania wrote:Surely our current system allows for a perpetual duopoly. We had 13 years of Labour wrecking the country, before that we had 18 years of the Tories. I think we only ended up with a coalition this time because people were sick of either having all the power.
True. However proportional systems mean that even after those 13 or 18 years you can have those parties still in government. For instance theres no doubt in my mind that if we had PR in 2010 the incredibly unpopular Gordon Brown would still be our PM
by Greater-London » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:43 pm
Great Confederacy Of Commonwealth States wrote:Yeah, in a proportional system, a party can do badly and still be included, but with much, much less power. If a party has only five seats in a Chamber, they are not going to be the most influential people. They might be in the governing coalition, but not with the power they once had. They still only represent the people who voted for them. Of course, one could call that 'perpetual governance', but if the CDA had been included in the Rutte I coalition, you could hardly have called that 'perpetual rule'. They went from being the largest party to a backwater in national politics, without the influence to get even the most basic bills past. Had they been in the coalition, they would have been the butler of the real ruling party, not the commander.
In a good proportional system, the largest party gets the right to initiate talks. This usually ensures that the biggest party becomes the ruling party. If this is not the case, as it was in Italy, one can assume that that one big party is not very favourable among the people or the political class. After all, the communist party in Italy was trying to form a one party state. Try getting anyone to go with that... In that case, it was probably for the best that 40% of the people didn't decide to abolish the democratic system they had. Had Italy known a FPTP model, the communist party would have been the ruling party, capable of doing enormous harm with a minority vote. Now, which alternative is better? Because a ruling coalition always has the support of the majority of the population, at least in the beginning.
by Crezilivion » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:51 pm
by New Stephania » Sat Mar 28, 2015 1:52 pm
Greater-London wrote:Also ruling coalitions don't always have a majority of population of support either, the arithmetic in parliament reflects how people voted but they don't get to decide who gets into bed with who. You don't vote for coalitions and in plenty of instances parties go into coalitions with each other that voters would probably have rejected.
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