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PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 1:59 am
by Imperializt Russia
United Kingdom of Poland wrote:
Rio Cana wrote:

That is the problem. The idea of putting NATO troops in the Ukraine. Remember, when the Soviets collapsed and the Russian Federation came into being, it was agreed that NATO would not go further east. The Russians should have asked for it in writing but it was only by word of mouth. So they do not trust the West and NATO which wants to drive up to the border with Russia. NATO should have waited a few decades before even trying to get too involved in the Ukraine.

Having said that the Russians have done the following to counter the Western NATO advance on them.

Short news video from March - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gPPlKI7VnSU

and more recently from last month.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G-CZEXkKLvQ

to be fair, if the Russians honestly had expected that all the former Warsaw Pact nations would be buddies with them after almost 50 years of being oppressed, they may have been sampling a little to much of their own product.

Who ever suggested Russia wanted the former Warsaw Pact as "buddies"?
It would be a rather strict working relationship.
Organized States wrote:
The Orson Empire wrote:If NATO goes to war with Russia, it will most likely end with both sides firing nukes at each other, resulting in the extinction of the Human race....so, I'm not really sure this is a good idea.

I'm not too entirely sure of that, both would lose tremendously from any Nuclear Conflict, so contrary to popular belief, neither side would deploy nuclear weapons.

They probably would, we'd see a tactical nuclear exchange.
What's worrying is that the NATO tactical nuclear arsenal is much smaller than the Russian arsenal. The primary nuclear arm of NATO is the B-61 gravity bomb, though it can be dialled up to 300kt or so. There are about 180 of these in Europe of a total US stockpile of about 400.
This said, the US does have nuclear tomahawks for air and sea launch. Their range would probably consider them strategic arms, though their launch platform would make them valid as military arms. TLAM-A was supposedly retired last year.

You would deploy tactical nuclear arms against forces in the field and against all the targets you'd be using guided conventional weapons - air defences, headquarters, artillery, depots, forward bases. No doubt a large number of B-61s (180 B-61s is a lot more than it seems, to be honest, plus the rest of the serviceable stockpile) would be reserved for the striking of more strategic facilities, such as petrochemical, ports, airbases etc.
Northwest Slobovia wrote:
Padnak wrote:Mentioning guerrilla war... they were victorious in Chechnya with a military that was a shadow of what it is today with an economy close to collapse and their opponent was rather determined and quite well armed

Let's see... fighting started in 1994, the Russians gave up for a while, then fighting resumed, and the Russians declared they won in 2009. That took them 15 years, against guys yes, determined and armed, but not AFAIK, armed with modern NATO weapons. Also, all of Chechnya has a population less than that of Kiev (~1.5M vs ~2.1M), much less all of the Ukraine (44M). Little different, eh? Lots more people to try to keep down, lots more money to buy weapons with, even assuming NATO doesn't just give them stuff for fun.

What do you mean "without modern NATO weapons"?
For a fairly long list of reasons, what the Chechens had were Soviet-era (which wasn't that long ago tbh) infantry weapons and artillery. For a similarly long list of reasons, they did have access to Soviet "heavy" weapons, such as MANPADS, so trying to go Afghanistan on the Chechens probably wouldn't have really done much. In 1994, the Russian Ground Forces were in a truly dire state, never mind what happened in Georgia.
Saiwania wrote:
-The Unified Earth Governments- wrote:No, unless Putin is an idiot, he won't resort to using nukes at all.


Russia launching any nukes would essentially be giving NATO full permission to do the same to Russia. No- if anything, diplomacy and heaven forbid even conventional warfare should be given a chance before considering the use of nuclear weapons. Going straight to the last resort weapon and not having any restraint in exhausting all the other options first, would be dooming Russia and perhaps the rest of the world to ruin.

Tactical nuclear arms are not "last resort" weapons.
Tactical nuclear exchange also has little reason to escalate directly to strategic nuclear exchange, because Europe, Russia and the US would be fucked. NATO and Russia will swallow their losses and continue to swap their limited tactical arsenal.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:05 am
by Lyttenburg
Organized States wrote:Seems kind of baity to me, but I'm a fairly reasonable guy, and I'll ignore the snarky comment.

But I have a quote from Mr. Secretary General Rasmussen,
NATO Secretary-General Anders Rasmussen said Friday that NATO would allow Ukraine into the alliance, provided “Ukraine so wishes and fulfills the necessary criteria,”

The Alliance is still considering it.


No, it's not "Alliance still considering" (my quotes provide the Alliance actual attitude). It's Herr Rasmussen spreading his Fog of war. He can promise anything - even NATO's lunar military bases, because he won't be Sec-Gen any longer very soon.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:08 am
by Saiwania
Imperializt Russia wrote:Tactical nuclear arms are not "last resort" weapons.
Tactical nuclear exchange also has little reason to escalate directly to strategic nuclear exchange, because Europe, Russia and the US would be fucked. NATO and Russia will swallow their losses and continue to swap their limited tactical arsenal.


Tactical nuclear weapons still shouldn't be used, unless both sides don't care about the radioactive fallout which will last for many decades to come.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:12 am
by Beta Test
Oh it's all over now, we're all doomed. The end is nigh! Putin is going to kill us all! Can't you see what's about to happen!?

GET TO YOUR SHELTERS PEOPLE!

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:13 am
by Imperializt Russia
Saiwania wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:Tactical nuclear arms are not "last resort" weapons.
Tactical nuclear exchange also has little reason to escalate directly to strategic nuclear exchange, because Europe, Russia and the US would be fucked. NATO and Russia will swallow their losses and continue to swap their limited tactical arsenal.


Tactical nuclear weapons still shouldn't be used, unless both sides don't care about the radioactive fallout which will last for many decades to come.

Mostly irrelevant to health concerns, which will be generally minimal.
Studies in the west concluded that even after a full strategic exchange, after about 16 weeks it would be safe to spend a 16 hour day outside of shelter. For a tactical nuclear exchange, where arms deployed will be limited and scatter limited material over a limited area within a very large battle area - there's a very simple preventative measure, which is don't move to a nuclear crater and live in it.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:17 am
by Bojikami
Well, fuck.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:25 am
by Sebastianbourg
Bojikami wrote:Well, fuck.

I think that's the best and truest response I've seen so far! :clap:
No Sarcasm Intended!

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:31 am
by Degenerate Heart of HetRio
United Russia-dominated republic should have never happened from a Western POV, I think this is clear to all of us.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:36 am
by Organized States
Lyttenburg wrote:
Organized States wrote:Seems kind of baity to me, but I'm a fairly reasonable guy, and I'll ignore the snarky comment.

But I have a quote from Mr. Secretary General Rasmussen,

The Alliance is still considering it.


No, it's not "Alliance still considering" (my quotes provide the Alliance actual attitude). It's Herr Rasmussen spreading his Fog of war. He can promise anything - even NATO's lunar military bases, because he won't be Sec-Gen any longer very soon.

I seriously doubt that. The Alliance, still needs to vote, and discuss it more during the Summit in Wales. The quote, still is correct, and provides the current View of the North Atlantic Council.

Your attack on me and the "Herr Rasmussen" comment, greatly bring down your credibility.

PostPosted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 3:56 am
by Elepis
I lived in Russia for three years and I can tell you Putin will not fire on the west unless NATO attack him first, which they will not seeing as Russia has half the worlds nuclear warheads.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:24 pm
by Shaka-Zulu
The Two Jerseys wrote:
Neoconstantius wrote:Really? NATO expansion in Eastern Europe and forward missile deployments aren't meant to contain and intimidate Russia? I think both sides need to evaluate what year it is, cuz it's not 1960.

Yes, Russia needs to learn that it's not 1960 and it doesn't own Eastern Europe anymore.

Nope. Russia does not own Eastern Europe anymore. They are the rightful owners of all of Europe.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:30 pm
by Shaka-Zulu
Imperializt Russia wrote:
Conserative Morality wrote:Forward missile deployments - Jesus, you act like ABMs situated along the predicted flight path of Iranian missiles are nuclear warheads pointed at Russian military bases.

Not that I'm really all that hot on the idea of a West-Iranian Cold War, but know who the fuck this shit is targeting.

And NATO expansion? Countries wanting to join a defensive pact is threatening to Russia? Why is this? Is Russia planning on invading someo-

Oh, right. Odd. Almost like these countries lining up to join NATO don't trust one of their neighbors.

I would bet my own money that the forward missile deployments were never to counter Iranian weapons. They'd have sat them in Turkey. Turkey's been perfectly happy accepting American heavy weapons for decades.

Poland was a very particular choice, to antagonise Russia. It was sold as "defending against Iran" (against missiles they didn't and don't have) because that was the talking point of the time. Russia had been out of the "ebul thweat" pool for some time given the "axis of evil" rhetoric Bush spent almost a decade spoon-feeding the west.
There's a long list of reasons why Russia opposed the move so violently.

Just like the Cuban Missile Crises except this time it will be the Polish Missile Crises. Obama puts missiles in Poland. Russia tells them to remove the missiles or face all out nuclear war. Just like Kennedy did with Russia over the whole Cuba thing.

That, putting nuclear missiles inside Poland, would be the most likely trigger for a Russia/NATO war. I don't think Putin would hesitate if he found out that Obama was putting nuclear warheads on missiles in Poland or Latvia or any other East European country. That is probably the red line.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:32 pm
by Murkwood
Degenerate Heart of HetRio wrote:United Russia-dominated republic should have never happened from a Western POV, I think this is clear to all of us.

Meh, what could we have done?

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:34 pm
by Shaka-Zulu
Dumb Ideologies wrote:Russia isn't going to use nuclear weapons given NATO's ability to strike back - that just cripples both and is nothing even resembling a trump card.

Meanwhile, lukewarm sanctions continue to be a mild but tolerable inconvenience for Russia. Russian support continues to ensure that a decisive victory for the Ukrainian government is not possible, and overturns some of the advances made recently by the government forces. US and EU won't increase sanctions dramatically for fear of damaging economic reprisals, and won't step up assistance out of fear of the expense of being dragged into a proxy war. Ukraine will end up de facto and probably de jure split - Russia will be an overall loser in terms of the costs of sanctions and armaments versus the worth of the territory, but will be a "power-politics" winner.

It's not really a mushroom cloud sort of conflict.


You know who would be crippled in a nuclear war? Europe.

You know who could survive or even win a nuclear war? The United States and Russia.

The guy in the middle is almost always the one who pays the price and guess who is between the United States and Russia?

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:38 pm
by Shaka-Zulu
Burleson wrote:
Memell wrote:




Tell me about the NSA-gate, Gladio and other stay-behinds, Pinochet and all his friends in Latin-America. Treaties and "International laws" are just chimeras, pieces of papers meant to to shut the hypocritical and bigoted public eye.

And why should he not protect Russia's interests? All the major powers of the world do it, blatantly violating any kinf of international law all the time.

Invading Ukraine has nothing to do with their interests unless their interests are oppression and imperialism.
You mean just like the United States?

"Oh we don't like Saddam Hussein being in charge of Iraq. It's time for an illegal American led regime change in downtown Baghdad."

"Oh we don't like Gaddafi's government so we are going to arm the rebels and bombs away over Tripoli because Tripoli does not have a proper western style government."

"Let's go to Somalia together to force western values on them at the point of gun."

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:42 pm
by Pimps Inc
Someone call Kennedy!

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:42 pm
by The United Colonies of Earth
I'm absolutely horrified.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:45 pm
by Hladgos
Putin's trying to be a big man and pull Russia out of mediocrity because he's bored of being a looked-over nation. I'm not sure how this whole scheme is going to play out in a few decades, but I know that the economic benefit of all these sanctions he's getting won't be worth it.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:49 pm
by Saiwania
Shaka-Zulu wrote:"Let's go to Somalia together to force western values on them at the point of gun."


I'd say that Somalia actually is in need of an invasion, their civil war has gone on since 1991 for over 23 years and has become a haven for piracy. Enough is enough, if any nations truly cared about stability in the Horn of Africa they'd have forcibly occupied Somalia by now or chosen a side and flooded in equipment to ensure one faction's victory. I think Ethiopia would gain the most in clearing Somalia out.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:49 pm
by Solaray
I, for one, welcome our glorious Русский overlords.

Да :p

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:51 pm
by Ulrenon
I'd actually be pretty satisfied with a final victory that consisted of bringing the world down in flame around me.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:51 pm
by South Pacific Republic
Brunstab wrote:TL:DR version

Putin: if you don't let me invade this neutral country ill nuke ya!

is it just me or does this sound like a psychopath at the hands of a nuclear armed state?


Not sure if Bond villain or president of Russia

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:52 pm
by Geilinor
Shaka-Zulu wrote:
Burleson wrote:Invading Ukraine has nothing to do with their interests unless their interests are oppression and imperialism.

"Let's go to Somalia together to force western values on them at the point of gun."

That's not what happened in Somalia. What happened was that Somalia didn't have a functioning government and UN humanitarian operations were extremely difficult to carry out.

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:53 pm
by Solaray
South Pacific Republic wrote:
Brunstab wrote:TL:DR version

Putin: if you don't let me invade this neutral country ill nuke ya!

is it just me or does this sound like a psychopath at the hands of a nuclear armed state?


Not sure if Bond villain or president of Russia

Both

PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 6:53 pm
by Empire of Narnia
If I was Russia I would just straight-up invade Ukraine. Nobody is going to destroy the world over it.